• Live.Coronavirus in Spain today

  • Data. "We are better prepared for the fourth wave, but we are far from seeing the end"

The data for the last days of Easter have yielded contradictory results that, waiting to be defined and updated in the coming days, reflect a complex situation and several unknowns: what influence did the San José bridge have?

What will Easter have?

And the British variant?

The good news would be, while waiting to see the effect of the delays in notifications, that the accumulated incidence, on the rise for a few weeks, does not end up shooting.

In fact, it was down a few points on Saturday, although it seems clear that

the decline is just a mirage

caused by the aforementioned delay.

Catalonia, for example,

did not add any cases that day

, while Castilla La Mancha counted

six

and Madrid stayed at

396, compared to the 2,013

that it had reported for the last 24 hours in the previous report, published on Holy Thursday.

Added to the holidays is the

recent change in the population statistics

, which also caused a small sawtooth in the contagion curve last week.

Thus, the latest data for the whole of Spain, published by the Ministry of Health on Saturday, showed a cumulative incidence of 151.79 cases per 100,000 inhabitants in 14 days, less than two points above the high risk and below of the 154.76 of two days before.

In the data of March 18, the last published before the San José bridge, the accumulated incidence was 128.7 for the country as a whole, so

the rise is clear but not very pronounced

, always with the precaution of taking into account account for the indicated statistical effect.

The pressure in hospitals does not budge

The communities that suffer the most transmission at the moment are Navarra (326.23), whose authorities have shown in recent days

their concern about the effects of the English variant

, and Madrid (267.01), in addition to the two autonomous cities ( Ceuta: 315.91; Melilla: 416.88).

The question is to what extent these data adequately reflect a possible effect of the March bridge or we will still have to wait a few more days.

Especially worrying, in any case, are

the hospital pressure figures

, which have barely moved in recent weeks, despite the fact that the third wave, which caused 24,000 deaths and 120,000 hospitalizations during the winter, is increasingly far away.

Currently, there are 6.80% of beds in Spain occupied by coronavirus patients, a percentage that rises to 19.15% in the ICU.

Ceuta (35.29%), La Rioja (35.85%), Madrid (35.25%) and Catalonia (34.6%) are above the maximum risk threshold in intensive care units (25%).

Covid income in the last 24 hours (914) far exceeded the high (520), although, again,

the distorting effect of holidays

should be taken into account here

.

The uncertainty is great

The uncertainty, therefore, is great: it will take time to confirm the possible effect on the contagions of Holy Week, but it is not clear yet whether the San José bridge has influenced, nor to what extent the available data show the real situation of the epidemic in Spain, where the British variant is already clearly dominant.

Just before the accumulation of festivities that now ends began, experts in the evolution of the epidemic commented to this newspaper that Spain was in a situation of uncertainty, in an imperfect balance that could be resolved in one way or another.

After the holidays, the only thing clear is that we are worse, but we still do not know how much.

According to the latest data from the Carlos III Health Institute, the reproductive number R, which measures the speed at which the epidemic spreads, is already above 1 for the whole of Spain (1.04), which means that transmission is out of control.

According to the criteria of The Trust Project

Know more

  • Covid 19

  • Coronavirus

  • Science and Health

CoronavirusA six-month-old baby mistakenly receives the Chinese vaccine against Covid-19 in Chile

Coronavirus The pandemic has killed 112 doctors, one every three days

Covid-19Coronavirus Spain today, breaking news |

Incidence drops to August levels and Spain is already at 'medium risk'

See links of interest

  • Work calendar

  • Home THE WORLD TODAY

  • Southampton - Burnley

  • Alavés - Celta de Vigo

  • Sporting de Gijón - Mirandés

  • Live, Doha GP

  • Seville - Atlético de Madrid