Will the reconfined Paris also be under curfew soon?

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JEANNE ACCORSINI / SIPA

  • This Tuesday morning, Gabriel Attal, government spokesperson, announced the impending establishment of a curfew in Paris, information denied in the following minutes by Matignon.

  • Despite the corrigendum, the idea seems indeed on the table according to Olivier Véran and the prefect of Paris.

  • Can a curfew during lockdown really help?

We were not yet fixed on which product was or not essential for sale when Gabriel Attal announced this Tuesday morning on BFM a new curfew to come applying in Paris, even in Ile-de-France, in addition to containment.

Denial a few minutes later by Matignon, who corrects the government spokesperson by specifying that the curfew in Paris was "absolutely not decided at this stage".

The Minister of Health confirmed a little later that "a consultation with all the elected officials of Ile-de-France will be conducted".

Beyond the government's groping, a question arises: what is the concrete use of a curfew during confinement?

An admission of failure for containment 2.0?

First element, a curfew in confinement is quite simply useful when confinement is not (enough) respected.

For Jérôme Marty, general practitioner and president of the French Union for Free Medicine (UFML), there is no doubt that this muddled "announcement" of curfew is "proof that the re-containment was misunderstood and badly announced. if at the end of a few days we have to strengthen it ”.

Communication problem on the part of the Elysee above all according to the doctor.

Talking about a light confinement, less harsh than the first, or more flexible, “it was perceived as a light confinement during which people can still go out.

You can't even blame them, they just follow the music dictated by the government.

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On a visit to Gennevilliers, Olivier Véran spoke on LCI, effectively emphasizing a confinement not always respected in the capital: “The basic subject is that the Paris police prefect has made it clear that there are a certain number of 'gatherings in the evening, which can be correlated with the keeping open of essential shops in the evening,' said the Minister of Health.

Potentially small gains

For epidemiologist Pascal Crépey, things are clear: “If confinement is respected, a curfew over it does not increase its effectiveness.

If the signals show a relaxation, then putting an additional curfew may clarify the need to limit person-to-person contact.

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For him, it is not the night walks or jogging that strongly increases the incidence rate of the coronavirus, "from the moment you walk alone and masked in the streets, the risks of contamination are logically very low".

As for regroupings, more likely to give rise to virus transmissions, the epidemiologist wonders: "If people regroup illegally after confinement after 9 p.m., one wonders if an additional curfew will prevent them from doing so. make ?

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Effective but inaudible measures?

Jérôme Marty nevertheless specifies that in absolute terms, we cannot fundamentally be against a curfew, since the measure is in the process of proving its effectiveness, with decreases in cases and incidence observed in cities. 'having applied from October 16.

Based on this premise and depending on the source of contamination, since we cannot touch the private family unit in the same home, there is no question of going back to face-to-face at school for the moment. some companies do not play the telecommuting game, “we have to act on what we can, namely the transmissions outside, hence the curfew.

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A good idea after all, then?

If the measure does not seem able to do any harm, since it will not change much for people respecting confinement and that it could in the best case convert some Sunday resistance fighters to stay at home, it remains to be wary consequences that it could have on the communication already strongly criticized of the government during this second wave.

"If the curfew is established, it will be necessary to bring to the table of comments the evidence which required it, otherwise the population will not understand anything", estimates Pascal Crépey.

Jérôme Marty also goes in this direction: "The paradox of this second wave is that we have much more evidence than in March - number of tests, positivity rate, knowledge of the virus, etc ..., but that people believe in it much less.

It is the consequence of inaudible communication.

We must be wary of a stack of measures going in all directions, at the risk of completely separating the country.

"Either before tightening the screw so that this confinement is better applied, ask yourself why it would be little followed.

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  • Confinement

  • Paris

  • Curfew

  • Covid 19

  • Society

  • Coronavirus

  • epidemic