The protest wave in Belarus had already fizzled out, but then the meek Belarusians were inspired by the success of the Kyrgyz revolt - and a second wave arose in Minsk.
“How are we following the path of Kyrgyzstan?
We urgently need to turn around! "
- sane Belarusian citizens should have exclaimed.
Kyrgyzstan is not the most prosperous country in the region, due to large part of the political instability.
And the advanced part of Belarusians wants to learn from her?
Absurd!
But the zmagarov were delighted with the spectacle of the "victory" in Bishkek, and they exclaimed: "Let's not be goodies anymore!"
Their last demonstration was more aggressive and was strongly rebuffed by law enforcement officers.
And then the European Union decided to interfere in the internal affairs of the Belarusians and impose new sanctions on the republic.
The main instigators were usually the Baltic neighbors of Belarus, together with Ukraine and Poland.
They had their reasons.
They wanted to lure Belarusian IT specialists raised and fed by the Belarusian budget to themselves, and people are needed to harvest strawberries.
And this is not to mention geopolitics, the desire to close the sanitary corridor around Russia.
This time, Germany became the ringleader.
Heiko Maas, the German Foreign Minister, was the loudest demanded sanctions, emphasizing the dispersal of demonstrations in Minsk.
“You see a straw in someone else’s eye, you don’t see a log in yours” - this maxim applies to Germany in the first place.
More recently, German police have violently dispersed a gigantic authorized demonstration in Berlin and other cities in the country, a demonstration that brought together hundreds of thousands of protesters against the "coronaterror", a demonstration approved by the Supreme Court, a peaceful demonstration with the participation of international observers.
They said the demonstration could trigger a pandemic outbreak and therefore need to be dispersed.
Are biology and virology in Belarus so different from German ones?
Can't a mass demonstration in Minsk result in thousands of infected, sick and, God forbid, dead?
The absolute shamelessness of the German Minister of Foreign Affairs outrages: the Germans are concerned about their health, and let the Belarusians get sick, so long as they overthrew their president, who is unwanted by the West!
Despite the demands of Germany, the European Union refrained from imposing personal sanctions on Alexander Lukashenko, but threatened to return to this issue.
We are talking about sanctions on the leadership of the Republic of Belarus, as well as, in order not to get up twice, on Russian civil servants according to the invented “Navalny's list”.
The "poisoned" patient of Charite himself demands that the list of sanctions be extended to art workers like the venerable conductor Valery Gergiev.
No, even Navalny does not claim that Gergiev injected him with poison from his conductor's baton, but he is not hostile to the Russian state system - and for this he should be punished.
Belarus and Russia again found themselves together, chained by the same chain of Western sanctions.
However, Moscow and Minsk are satisfied with this - that's what a single state is for.
Moscow used counter-sanctions imposed by Minsk on European officials, and this is good.
Counter-sanctions may turn out to be painful for European bureaucrats, just as the past Russian counter-sanctions for the economies of the EU countries turned out to be.
Meanwhile, the tug of war continues in Belarus.
Experienced ruler Alexander Lukashenko knows how to play this game like few.
There is not only strength, but also dexterity.
So, he met with his oppositionists in the KGB detention center and held constructive negotiations with them.
This is an unusual format, but perhaps it will prove to be productive.
Those oppositionists who are ready to return to the legal field, undertake to act within the framework of the law, return home, and those who insist on Kyrgyz methods receive a Kyrgyz, or even German (and it will be tougher) response.
Ahead is the formation of a body for drafting the Constitution and a new referendum.
But in due time.
In response to the calls of the instigators to switch to forceful methods, the Belarusian authorities reminded that the security forces have service weapons and if there are not enough water cannons, then there will definitely be enough bullets for especially presumptuous zmagars.
Let's hope it doesn't come to this, but we need to remind you.
The state has the right and the monopoly of violence.
Otherwise, the state will collapse, anarchy will reign, and everything created by the labor of generations of Belarusians will end up in the deep pockets of foreign oligarchs.
The situation is especially dangerous now, at the height of the crown.
Sometimes they say that "Old Man does not believe in the crown."
It's not like that at all.
Coronavirus is not a holy spirit, it does not require faith.
It undoubtedly exists, and many preventive measures are being taken in Belarus, the entire health care apparatus that has been preserved from Soviet times is involved.
And since the people are disciplined, there was no need to tightly control their behavior.
Belarus followed the path of Sweden, because these countries with their strong welfare state and people's trust are in many ways similar.
However, zmagars, with their untimely demonstrations and rallies, can lead to an outbreak of the disease, and it is the direct duty of the state to prevent this.
The coming month can be challenging.
Here is your crown, here is the bad example of Kyrgyzstan, already reflected in Khabarovsk, where peaceful protesters decided to try not to obey the police, here is the influence of the American BLM, which also induce a wave of protest, here is direct intervention from the outside, as exemplified by the sanctions.
And finally, the growing threat of civil war in the United States, in the hegemonic country, yesterday's only superpower.
God only knows how the American elections will be held and what the consequences will be, but the Kyrgyz option in Washington is not at all excluded.
When there is such a struggle of titanic forces, with trillions of budgets and millions of armies, it is better for Belarus to crunch popcorn, and not make noise in the squares.
The author's point of view may not coincide with the position of the editorial board.