In this regard, the "Scenarios" program (8/10/2020) followed the expectations of the American Center for Strategic and Security Studies "Stratfor", which tried to foresee the tracks of the most prominent issues during the last quarter of the year.
An expert on infectious diseases at the University of Oxford, Peter Dorobak, expressed his optimism about the good results that could appear by the end of this year, as there are more than 150 vaccines under testing, and some of them entered the third stage for humans to determine if the vaccine was successful and safe, indicating that there are many More people want to participate in these tests, and new results may appear on these tests in the next three months.
The Stratfor Center had expected that the troubles of the world's economies due to the Corona pandemic were likely to continue, with the exception of China, despite it being the source of the virus.
The center expected vaccines to be reached before the end of the year, but these achievements will be dominated by scientific uncertainty and the predominance of political employment, especially in the United States.
Doroback considered that it is not important to race towards the position of the first country to produce a vaccine against the Corona virus, but rather more importantly is to produce the vaccine according to strict scientific standards that give the vaccine confidence in its production and use, explaining that China has given some preliminary approvals for its vaccines before entering the stage of human trials.
He explained that all countries are trying to obtain the vaccine, especially since world leaders have a political interest in the success of the vaccine because they are struggling to cope with the economic repercussions, considering that it is a mistake to insert political things before the completion of all stages of testing the vaccine that guarantee its effectiveness.
Israel and Iran
As for the expectations regarding Iran after the US elections, the Stratfor Center believed that Tehran would demand the cancellation of all US sanctions imposed by President Donald Trump's administration, but it expects a strong reaction from Republican representatives in the event that the Democratic candidate, Joe Biden, wins.
This will hinder his ability to roll back some of the tough sanctions imposed by the Trump administration.
Regarding the expected repercussions of the US election results on Israel, the Stratfor Center expected that it would be divided into two levels:
The first relates to Israel's plans to annex parts of the West Bank, and is part of Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's personal strategy to remain in power, while the second relates to its efforts to isolate Iran and is linked to Israel's comprehensive regional strategy.