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The official death toll from coronavirus has been 'closed' at 28,313 victims to date. The official data on deaths from Covid 19 had not been updated since June 7 and remained frozen at 27,136 , despite the fact that fatalities continued to be reported daily, waiting to debug the series and validate data on deaths prior to May 11 that they had been notified on one date but had actually occurred on another.

For weeks, Health has been relocating the deceased over time to have what it considers "a more real photo of the situation" and to avoid that late notifications distort the image of the actual evolution of the epidemic . This relocation in the time of the deceased has, however, caused for more than a month that the figures did not finish matching any day, communicating for example zero new deaths in the last 24 hours but actually giving the subtraction from the previous day several dozens of deceased.

But the series has also been refined to eliminate from the list cases that were not confirmed by PCR , which even caused 2,000 victims to disappear from the list of deceased on May 26, when the official death toll from coronavirus fell from 28,752 to 26,834, generating even more mistrust in the data.

Now Healthcare has already concluded the bulk of this data cleansing, and has closed the official number of deaths from coronavirus at 28,313 victims. This figure will increase day by day if there are new fatalities, but what will not change "or will hardly do so" according to official sources is the number of deaths at previous dates, as had been happening up to now constantly.

Despite the dramatic figure of 28,313 official deaths due to coronavirus, this figure is still considerably lower than the 43,340 extra deaths that have occurred on schedule in the MOMO mortality surveillance system since the state of alarm (between March 13 and May 22). They are also less than the 48,000 registered by the INE in a similar period of time and the slightly more than 40,000 deaths due to coronaviruses reported by the autonomous communities.

Collateral causes of the epidemic

The formal explanation for these discrepancies is that not all excess mortality would be deaths from coronaviruses, but part of them could be due to collateral causes of the epidemic , such as deaths from strokes or heart attacks in people who, for fear of contagion, have Late to the hospital or unable to be properly treated due to the collapse of the hospitals themselves.

In fact, according to official data that have been known this Friday at the worst moment of the epidemic, up to 50% of all patients admitted to hospitals were patients with coronavirus, compared to only 1,994 that currently would be . In the case of ICUs, more than double the capacity they had initially was required before the number of beds was expanded, with more than 5,500 patients who were admitted to intensive care units during the peak of ICUs in mid-April. , compared to 312 currently.

Regarding the number of cases, the Government estimates that between 18% and 20% of all the cases that occur (including asymptomatic) are being detected, which would represent double those that were detected (9%) during the worst days of the epidemic. Of these, the origin of the contagion would be known in approximately 50% of cases. Specifically, 34 outbreaks have been detected in the last month, of which half a dozen would still be active.

The government has closed after weeks of controversy the official death toll (which will only be re-purged once every fifteen days or once a month) but the State of Alarm will conclude next Sunday without the data on infections and deaths in nursing homes, while the Executive continues to cling, as it has for more than two months , to the fact that it is carrying out a detailed analysis on the matter and that it will offer the data when they are available.

In accordance with the criteria of The Trust Project

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