Beijing's second-hand housing transaction volume hits a new high: more than a dozen waves of customers seeing homeowners panic in one day!
Sino-Singapore Jingwei client, June 3 (Xue Yufei) The Beijing real estate market quickly picked up in May, and Guo Lin (a pseudonym) of a real estate brokerage company in Fengtai District felt it. He said: "Our store signed 17 orders in May, which is a very good performance. Now there are many people who look at the house. On the weekend, there are more than a dozen waves of customers to see a house in one day, and the owners are panicked. , I feel that the house is very sought-after." Another real estate agent also said that the number of stores signed in May was more than twice the usual amount.
According to the Shell Research Institute, the number of second-hand housing network signings in Beijing was about 16,100 units in May, an increase of 22.5% month-on-month, and an increase of 17.2% year-on-year. The Central Plains Real Estate Research Center said that at the end of May, there was another record of more than 1,000 network signings in one day. Due to the lag in the number of online signings, the actual transaction volume of second-hand housing in the whole month may have exceeded 20,000 units, setting the highest level after the new policy of "317" regulation in 2017.
Intermediaries said the store sales volume increased from busy early to late weekend
Affected by the epidemic, Beijing's real estate market in February and March was relatively sluggish. Guo Lin said that after the company resumed work in early February, the brokers were basically at home and communicated with customers through online tools such as VR. Some orders have been negotiated before the epidemic, and transactions have been reached in February and March. But the overall trading volume is less.
Beijing second-hand housing supply and demand trend source: Lianjia.com
According to the data from Lianjia.com, in February this year, the number of new homes and the number of passengers in Beijing's second-hand housing declined sharply. The market in March began to recover. By April, the number of new housing and the number of views were 18172 Sets, 420,000 times, all recovered or even exceeded the average level of each month last year.
On June 1, the Sino-Singapore Jingwei client saw at a real estate agency store in Fengtai District, Beijing that although it was a working day, there were still some housekeepers who were dragging their homes to consult about the transaction in the store. Guo Lin said that on weekdays from Monday to Friday, they are still a little more leisurely. If it is Saturday or Sunday, they rarely stay in the store and all go to show their customers.
"In the past few weekends, there have been a lot of customers who watched the house. The 15 signing agents in the store were basically busy from morning to night. From 8 to 9 in the morning, they took customers to look around the house. Sometimes I was busy until 11 o'clock in the evening before I got off work. A client signed in and signed in at more than 1 o'clock in the morning." Guo Lin told the client of China-Singapore Jingwei.
A second-hand house listing for sale in Fengtai District, Beijing. Photo by Xue Yufei
The increase in the number of housekeeping customers directly brought about an increase in transaction volume. He introduced that throughout May, their stores had a total of 17 second-hand house sales transactions, which is already a good performance in the company's Fengtai area. In normal times, the monthly turnover of the store is only 6 or 7 orders.
He said that on the weekend, there was a house with more than a dozen waves of customers to visit within a day, and the owners were a little flustered, feeling that the house was very sought-after. However, Guo Lin, who has 10 years of experience in the industry, is not surprised by the fiery market. "The backlog of demand in the previous months was released in May, and the housing policy of the Xicheng District School District changed at the end of April. It stimulated the entire market, which led to an increase in trading volume."
The turnover was good, and a real estate agency store in Daxing District was also confirmed. The store's agent Ma Xiao (pseudonym) said that they signed a total of 24 orders in May, which has more than doubled compared with the number of orders and dozens of orders opened each month. The average is more than one order per person. .
According to data from the Shell Research Institute, the number of second-hand housing nets signed in Beijing in May was approximately 16,100, an increase of 22.5% month-on-month and 17.2% year-on-year. According to the data provided by Centaline Real Estate, in addition to the May Day holiday and weekends, the daily number of second-hand housing online sign in Beijing has remained at hundreds, and as of May 29, the number of online signings reached 1,000. Zhang Dawei, chief analyst of Centaline Real Estate, said that the number of second-hand housing nets signed in a single day amounted to 1,000, which is a high level after regulation.
Zhang Dawei told a reporter from China-Singapore Jingwei that the number of second-hand housing online signings in May was 16,125 sets. However, due to the lag in online signing data, the real volume of transactions in the market will be higher. 317" The highest value after the regulation of the New Deal.
The transaction volume of newly-built houses or the price of over 5,000 sets is generally stable
Sales Office of Jiangshan Fenghua Project, Daxing District, Beijing. Photo by Xue Yufei
There has also been a wave of popularity in the new home market. The Sino-Singapore Jingwei client learned in the Jiangshan Fenghua Project in Daxing District that the overall transaction volume has remained relatively good since April.
Property consultant Li Feng (pseudonym) told the Sino-Singapore Jingwei client that the project's large apartment is more recognized by the market. After the launch of new buildings in April, the transaction is also very fast, and now there are 89 square meters of small three-bedroom residences. Due to the lack of large apartments, the transaction volume of the project in May was not as good as that in April, but the number of signing contracts per day was maintained.
The Central Plains Real Estate Research Center said that in May, the number of newly-built residential nets in Beijing reached 4,172 units, up 31% year-on-year and 34% month-on-month, the highest record in the past 10 months. Also due to the lag in data from online signing, the actual transaction volume of newly-built houses in the month may exceed 5,000. According to statistics from Beijing Central Plains, transaction data for new office buildings and commercial properties in May remained sluggish, showing a negative growth trend.
Although the number of online signings has increased significantly, the interviewed brokers and property consultants all said that the transaction price has not changed much and the overall market is stable. Guo Lin said that recently some owners feel that there are too many people looking at the property and want to increase the price. We will suggest that the owners should not adjust the price and tell them that these customers have been backlogged in the past few months, and the market has not increased significantly. Price trend.
Li Feng said that during the epidemic, the Jiangshan Fenghua project launched a few special rooms through live broadcasts, but the location and floor of these listings are not good, and their selling prices cannot be directly compared with the prices of other listings. There is no argument for price increases. Li Feng also said: "Special rooms may be located on the ground floor or the top floor. When selling online, no buildings are marked. You all know these."
A residential area in Daxing District, Beijing. Photo by Xue Yufei
According to the data released by I Love My Home Research Institute, as of May 27, the average price of second-hand residential transactions of Beijing brokerage agencies was 58,997 yuan/square meter, an increase of 8.32% from the same period in April and an increase of 2.95 from the same period in May 2019. %. The institute analyzed that the main driving force for the relatively large increase in the average transaction price came from Xicheng District. Affected by the imminent implementation of the "multi-school planning" policy in Xicheng District, the second-hand housing market in this district experienced a panic purchase in May, and the volume and price rose sharply. Its transaction volume increased by 49 percentage points month-on-month compared with the non-Western city area. The month-on-month increase was 5.28 percentage points higher than that in the non-Western region. It is estimated that in May, Xicheng District raised the increase in Beijing's housing prices by about 4 percentage points.
However, the interview also found that the current bargaining space for second-hand housing is already small. "There is a two-bedroom apartment with a total price of 4.1 million yuan near the store. The owner sells it in good faith. The price cannot be said and can't be discussed, but there is only 50,000 to 50,000 yuan. 50,000 yuan is a threshold. More than 3.9 million, the owners did not show up at all, just do not talk about it." Guo Lin said that after two years of regulation, house prices have dropped a lot, and the owners' current listing prices are very close to their psychological prices. Therefore, most houses do not have much room for bargaining. It is basically impossible to cut down 100,000 or 200,000 unless the owner urgently needs money and the customer can pay in full.
In Daxing District, a residential area next to the subway has a set of 4.2 million yuan of two-bedrooms for sale. Ma Xiao said that the owner of this house is selling it in good faith, but there is not much room for negotiation on the price. Some time ago, the house with the same house and the same type of house was sold for 4.29 million yuan, but the building belongs to the "building king" of the community, and the location is better. some.
Regulatory policies have not been loosened in June, the market may go down
Regarding the warming of the market, Zhang Dawei analyzed that Beijing didn't gradually resume the second-hand housing offline viewing until mid-April. During this period, there was a large backlog of demand for home purchases. This time, the heating up is more of a recovery. At the same time, the decrease in the supply of new housing in Beijing in May is also a reason for the increase in the turnover of second-hand housing. The housing policy adjustments in the Xicheng District are superimposed, which makes the market significantly active.
"The price of housing has recovered by about 2%, which has basically recovered compared with the downward adjustment during the epidemic." Zhang Dawei also said that overall, the Beijing real estate market has basically recovered and the impact of the epidemic has passed. I love my research institute also judged that the transaction volume and price of the second-hand housing market in Beijing in May has reached the level of "Xiaoyang Chun" in 2019, and the market is filling up the market postponed by the epidemic.
However, the government has once again reiterated "no housing, no speculation", Beijing's real estate market regulation policy has not been loosened, and the industry is more cautious about the market outlook. The Shell Research Institute said that the second-hand housing market entered the late "Xiaoyang Chun" market, but regardless of whether it is based on the seasonality of the year or the current market supply and demand, the market will show signs of natural decline.
I love my home research institute pointed out that in May this year, the transaction volume of second-hand housing was only the same as that of 2018 and 2019. Although the price of housing has increased significantly, it has not exceeded the high point of the previous two years, so the second-hand housing market has only recovered. Normal trend, not overheated. In 2018 and 2019, Beijing's second-hand housing market has stabilized since the emergence of "Xiaoyang Chun". This year it is highly probable that the trend of the previous two years will be repeated.
Zhang Dawei predicts that the number of second-hand housing online signings is expected to exceed 16,000 in June. If the subsequent loan interest rate is not lowered, the market transaction volume may gradually decline from the high level. High volume."
As for new houses, the Shell Research Institute said that the recovery rate of the new house market after the epidemic was slower than expected, and it is difficult for large-scale compensatory growth to occur under the premise of market stability. As of the end of May, the inventory area of Beijing's commercial housing was 10.62 million square meters, and the clearance period was 22 months. Due to the epidemic situation, the degeneration rate since this year is not as fast as the same period last year, making the clearance period longer. (Sino-Singapore Jingwei APP)
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