There is a change taking place in the world and it is a natural phase in the life cycle and the Sunnah of God in the universe. We cannot easily anticipate because change is slow and takes time to complete, but its features will become clearer from 2025 onwards.
The classical theory of politics says that world leadership will go from west to east, and its proofs that Asia, with the paradigms of China, Korea, Hong Kong, and Taiwan, has surpassed crisis management over the West represented by America and Europe. This is reasonable for two reasons that Europe does not agree with America on blaming China, and is content with criticism to protect its trade relations with Beijing.
But Washington did not rest and blamed China and held it responsible for the spread of the epidemic and insisted on punishing it. What is happening here is that Washington knows that Beijing is competing fiercely in Asia and it is now competing for the leadership of the world. For this reason, it tells the world that Beijing is the cause of spreading the epidemic due to its mismanagement of the crisis, and therefore does not deserve to prevail in the world.
That is why we have said that the tension will increase after the crisis between Washington and Beijing, because it is human nature not to give up the preference represented here by Washington, the world. In fact, America is between two extremes. Its president, Donald Trump, is an isolationist who wants to go inside, but his party insists on continuing American domination outside the borders to protect interests.
Trump and his supporters want US companies to be repatriated or transferred to countries other than China, reflecting that Washington wants to build a new global system that isolates China. Beijing on the other side does not know if it is ready to lead the world, and it will only know when it holds the matter undisputed, and since the crisis is healthy and not a military political, the issue will take time until it crystallizes.
Washington is dispersed between two fronts, "Covid-19" internally and the leadership of the world externally. This does not mean that it is necessarily losing control, but it certainly means that the world is on the verge of entering into a chaotic phase due to the great power's preoccupation with the internal crisis.
One of the most prominent features of Washington's internal occupation is North Korea's launch of missiles, the increase in Taliban attacks, and Iran's launch of a ballistic missile carrying a satellite. Even Russia, which is fighting "Covid-19" on the home front, has not been absent from its spheres of influence, especially the Syrian square, and all this puts pressure on Washington.
In Arabic: Even if America wipes out Covid-19, there is a process of rearranging the internal house, correcting mistakes, paying bills, and facing the economic consequences of a recession that may be the worst in a century, which means that it will have to lean on itself for a period of time, and it may not This is necessarily a benefit for China.
Abdulla.AlQamzi@emaratalyoum.com
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The tension will increase after the crisis between Washington and Beijing, because it is human nature not to give up on preference.