• Covid-19. Last minute on the coronavirus

The coronavirus causes us to look at the curve of the deceased, infected and patients in the ICU day by day, which is going up while waiting to reach the desired "peak" to start going down, although the discharge curve also grows. A detailed look at the data since March 14, the day the state of alarm was decreed, reflects some irregular percentages.

Spain has counted since last January 31, when a positive case imported in the Canary Islands was confirmed, until March 25 more than 47,000 confirmed cases of coronavirus and almost 3,500 deaths, surpassing the number of deaths in China, epicenter of the pandemic.

Eleven days after the country was in a state of alarm, we lived in the "hard" week , reiterates these days the director of the Center for Coordination of Emergencies and Health Alerts, Fernando Simón.

And he repeatedly explains that the comparison of data is not easy because there can be a lot of variability in the different parameters and changes in trends.

For example, the pressure on the health system , specifically on ICUs, will go beyond the moment when the transmission of the virus in Spain is controlled.

That will be because the hospitalized who go to Intensive Care do so in many cases days after being counted as diagnosed and being hospitalized.

Precisely, if we look at the number of patients in the ICU, we find that the curve is ascending , but their percentages per day are quite irregular, as is the case with the number of discharges or people cured.

The Update document . Disease by the coronavirus of the Ministry of Health, which is renewed every day, established on March 11 that there were 183 discharges and 142 people in the ICU.

Ten days later those figures rose to 2,125 and 1,612 , that is, almost two thousand more discharges and one thousand more patients in the ICU, respectively, and only a little over a week had passed.

If we refer to percentages, in intensive care units the number of patients increased, for example, by 43.1% on March 13 compared to the previous day.

But later, 30.3% on day 15 ; 21.3% 19 ; 41.2% on day 21 ; 10.7% on 22 ; 31% 23 ; or 11.9% on day 24 .

Very irregular percentages such as those registered among the number of people cured, as it rose just 5.1% on March 18 compared to the previous day.

However, it grew to 34.6% on day 21 ; 30.2% on day 23; and it fell to 13.08% on day 24.

Regarding the number of cases that have tested positive for coronavirus , the percentages also evolve, growing and, again, irregularly.

They rose 18% on day 16 compared to the previous day; but then 25% on day 17; or 19.8% on day 24.

And if we look at the numbers of people who died from the Covid-19 , the upward curve also reflects, day by day, variable percentages: it grew to 111.7% on day 15 from the previous day.

Later, 58.8% on day 17; 28.2% on day 19; 32.3% on day 21; or 26.8% on day 23.

These are data that demonstrate the variability of the parameters that make up the Covid-19 curve, in which, unfortunately, the large number of health professionals affected by the pandemic , around 5,400 infected and two deceased, would have to be specified.

But there is room for hope because the number of discharges that occur each day is exceeding that of the deceased.

Thus, between March 23 and 22, the number of deceased was 462 while discharges rose to 780.

And between March 24 and today 25 there have been 738 more deaths but 1,574 more discharges.

According to the criteria of The Trust Project

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  • Coronavirus
  • Covid 19
  • Spain
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