Under the patronage of His Highness Sheikh Mohammed bin Rashid Al Maktoum, Vice President and Prime Minister of the UAE and Ruler of Dubai, the 12th session of the "Arab Strategic Forum" will be launched in Dubai with the participation of a group of international officials and global strategic experts.

And this year’s version of the Arab Strategic Forum bears special significance in view of its convening under the title “Foreseeing the Next Decade 2020-2030” with the aim of foreseeing the entire next ten years and the effects of its events on international relations in various political, economic, diplomatic and other aspects.

In conjunction with the launch of its work, the Arab Strategic Forum issues 3 reports titled "The World in 2030 - Trends, Shifts, Opportunities and Challenges", "11 Questions for the Next Decade" and "Mosque and State: How do Arabs see the next decade?"
A platform for sharing ideas and visions.

The Minister of Cabinet and Future Affairs and Chairman of the Arab Strategic Forum, Mohammed bin Abdullah Al-Gergawi, affirmed that the Forum continues in its twelfth session globally and regionally as an open and creative platform for exchanging ideas and visions between the elite thinkers, experts and future global advisors, and continues to consolidate its role as a regional and international forum that contributes to the perception and expectation The most prominent events, trends and transformations witnessed by the world, while providing an in-depth reading of its various indicators and coordinates, and dealing with it positively.

He explained that the Arab Strategic Forum translates His Highness Sheikh Mohammed bin Rashid Al Maktoum's vision for the future outlook on accurate scientific grounds to contribute to his industry.

And he said that this year’s session of the Arab Strategic Forum expanded the time scale to look to the future to focus on the entire decade (2020-2020), which gives it special importance in light of the acceleration of geopolitical events and changes taking place in the region and the world in recent years, stressing the importance of this year’s version From the forum, its outputs and recommendations, in anticipating anticipated challenges, exploring opportunities, monitoring risks and taking precautions to continue development paths and accelerate their pace during the next ten years.

He pointed out that the forum continues for the twelfth session in a row to work to provide visions, information and recommendations through the best global experts to anticipate the future economically and politically so that those interested and decision makers can develop realistic action plans and flexible modern policies that overcome challenges and turn them into opportunities.

3 reports for the outlook 10 years

In conjunction with the launch of its 12th session, the Arab Strategic Forum issued 3 important reports to anticipate the next ten years, as the report “The World in 2030 - Trends, Transformations, Opportunities and Challenges”, prepared in cooperation with the FutureWorld Foundation, presents some of the most important global events expected in the coming years, including the exposure of the current global system and its main institutions - The United Nations, the International Monetary Fund, the World Bank Group, and the World Trade Organization - under great pressure over the next decade and a marked decrease in the relative importance of the G7 (United Kingdom, USA, Germany, Japan, France, be Da and Italy) as a force that sets the standards of the global economy and transforms the global economic power of the seven major emerging economies E7, including China, India, Brazil, Russia and Indonesia and the intensification of competition in the Middle East region for scarce resources as a result of climate change.

In cooperation with Good Judgment Inc, the most accurate institution in the world in geopolitical and economic forecasts, the forum launched a report "11 questions for the next decade" to answer through it the most prominent questions raised during the coming period, and it is expected that oil will continue to be used as long as it exists despite the global trend towards renewable energy .

The mosque and state report: How Arabs see the next decade, prepared in cooperation with Arab News, discusses the state of political Islam in the region.

The launch of these reports comes with the participation of academics, media professionals and researchers to enhance the position of the Arab Strategic Forum as a knowledge platform and a permanent source of information for those interested throughout the year, as the forum relies on its extensive media partnerships and works with a group of experts around the world and the best global research centers to achieve this goal.

Busy agenda

With a view to presenting future scenarios based on current data and indicators to make accurate readings available to decision-makers, this year’s version of the forum includes six dialogue sessions and two lectures within its busy schedule that continues over a full day.

The agenda includes a session entitled "Top 5 Risks - 2020" by Nick Alan, CEO of Control Risks, in which he discusses potential global political and security risks and the new reality for 2020 to help public and private institutions identify the major economic and political developments that can It affects its decisions in the coming year, and the roadmap on the expected global risks next year for Control Risks for 2020 will be launched during the forum.

Sean Clary, vice president of the Future of the World Foundation, talks at a session titled "The World in 2030" about the major transformations, developments and trends that are likely to emerge at the political, economic and social levels over the next decade.

In general, all activities of the twelfth edition of the Forum will focus on events that will shape the future of the region and the world during the next ten years.

Speaking at the "Future of Islamization during the Next Decade" session, His Excellency Omar Saif Ghobash, Assistant Minister of Foreign Affairs and International Cooperation for Cultural Affairs, the author of "Letters to a Muslim Young Man", the British expert and writer Ed Hussein, founder of the "Quilliam" organization to combat extremism and the author of " Al Islami ", run by Faisal Abbas, editor-in-chief of" Arab News ", and deals with expectations regarding political Islam over the next ten years.

The world economically

As for the session "Is the world on the verge of a global economic crisis?" The lecturer at Harvard University and author of "Bombstology: Discovering Financial Bubble Before Exploding" will host global economist Dr. Vikram Mancharamani, to analyze in it all the views about the prospects of a global economic recession with the start of the new decade and from where it will erupt if it occurs and what countries will be affected by it and how Out of it and he will answer questions about the possibility of more recessions around the world in the coming years and the proposed economic reforms to avoid them, and the session will be moderated by Hadley Gamble, CNN’s broadcaster. NBC.

Arabs economically

The session "Arab Economic Transitions During the Next Decade" discusses the possibility of achieving qualitative leaps in the reality of the Arab economy with the presence of new economic visions, the role of oil and gas in the economic future of the region in light of global energy trends, the future of unemployment and debt in the countries of the region and its impact on political stability and the future of leadership Business and the private sector as a partner in advancing development and facing economic challenges, in which the Director General of the Arab Monetary Fund Board Chairman Dr. Abdul Rahman bin Abdullah Al-Hamidi, and a member of the International Consultative Council of the Atlantic Council, Allan Bajani, speak. The head of the advisory board of the Egyptian Center for Thought and Strategic Studies, Dr. Abdel-Moneim Said, a global oil expert and professor of oil and energy economics at ESCP European Businessmen’s College in London, Dr. Mamdouh Salama, is managed by Zeina Soufan, anchor of Dubai TV anchor.

Power scales in the area

The forum will host, in a dialogue session entitled "The Race of Power and Influence in the Region during the Next Decade: Gulf Countries, Iran, Turkey, Russia", four experts to explore the dynamics of interaction between powers and they are a consultant at the Russian Institute for Strategic Studies Dr. Elena Soponina, an expert in Iranian affairs and a colleague in Carnegie Endowment for International Peace “Karim Sajjadpour”, Professor and Head of the Department of International Relations at the Middle East Technical University and Deputy Director of the Institute of Foreign Policy in Ankara “Husayn Bagogi”, and the founder and president of the Gulf Research Center Dr. Abdulaziz bin Saqr, moderated by session Becky Anderson, anchor of the S channel The. that.

The Arabs politically

Former Lebanese Prime Minister Fouad Siniora, and former Jordanian Deputy Prime Minister and Minister Marwan Moasher, will participate in a session entitled "Political Transitions in the Arab World in the Next Decade".

The talk, which is moderated by Egyptian journalist and thinker Emad El Din Adib, addresses the political turmoil in the Arab world and its future in the next ten years, the political dimensions of the discovery of natural gas fields in the Mediterranean, and the future of the Palestinian issue in the next ten years.

Between China and the United States

Within the activities of the 12th session of the Arab Strategic Forum, a round table session entitled "Global System 2030: Between China and the United States of America" ​​brings together the forty-sixth Vice President of the United States Dick Cheney and former Chinese Foreign Minister Chairman of the Foreign Affairs Committee of the National People's Congress Li Zhaoxing, as the latter will talk about the vision that guides Chinese foreign policy and its motives over the next ten years, the role of China in the Arab region and the endeavors for peace in it, the impact of the Belt and Road Initiative on Chinese foreign policy, and the trade sphere between China and China The United States in recent years and the form of cooperation that can take place between the two countries under the new international order, while Dick Cheney talks about his views of the world order in the next decade in light of the rise of forces such as China and Russia and the impact of economic, technological and security trends on the position of the United States in maintaining global security, And the possibility of the United States forming a new world order working with its historic allies and China.
Historical overview of the forum.

His Highness Sheikh Mohammed bin Rashid Al Maktoum, Vice President and Prime Minister of the UAE and Ruler of Dubai, directed the launch of the Dubai Strategic Forum, which later turned into the Arab Strategic Forum with the aim of bringing together intellectuals, political and economic experts and decision makers on one platform.

This platform works to benefit from two very important scientific methodologies, namely the strategic approach to outlook and the strategic approach to planning for the future, in addition to benefiting from historical indications and analyzing the current conditions in order to explore future events at the political and economic levels.

The first session

Looking ahead to the new economy in 2001, the first session of the Dubai Strategic Forum was launched, which later turned into the Arab Strategic Forum to focus on local issues, where His Highness Sheikh Mohammed bin Rashid Al Maktoum, Vice President and Prime Minister of the UAE and Ruler of Dubai, revealed Dubai's strategic vision during the years The following ten years, stressing that developments and changes in the international arena are catching up with amazing speed and imposing on all of humanity new concepts in politics, economy, trade, culture, society and in the way of life, which drives Dubai to invite specialized experts and internationally acclaimed university professors to hubs They are in the world scene details of the basic variables, both in the new economy or in politics and sociology and international relations.

The second session ... the regional dimension in 2002

The second session of the Forum carried a regional dimension, as it presented a comprehensive picture of the challenges facing the region, and shed light on global changes and current and future developments in the areas of economic and political future.

The forum succeeded in drawing future scenarios that helped decision makers in the region to take appropriate decisions according to global changes.

The third session .. Global outlook in 2004

The status achieved by the Forum as a global regional platform for discussing vital issues of concern to the region has been strengthened and its name has been changed to the "Arab Strategic Forum" to become the most prominent event in exploring the state of the world politically and economically.

And the third session of the forum carried the slogan "the Arab world 2021", in which a group of officials and politicians such as former US President Bill Clinton, the late Lebanese Prime Minister Rafik Hariri, former Libyan Prime Minister Shukri Ghanem, and the former Malaysian Prime Minister Abdullah Badawi participated alongside a large number of ministers and senior officials. Arabs and foreigners.

The forum discussed various political, economic, security and social scenarios and the risks and opportunities associated with each.

Fourth session: global changes and chances of success in 2006

The fourth session of the Arab Strategic Forum bore the slogan "Global Variables and Opportunities for Success", in which a group of political leaders and leaders participated, including Sheikha Haya Bint Rashid Al Khalifa, President of the 2006 session of the United Nations General Assembly, and the former Special Adviser to the United Nations Secretary-General Lakhdar Brahimi, and the former head of North Atlantic General Wesley Clark, as well as the participation of more than 30 entrepreneurs in the world.

The outcomes of the fourth session of the Arab Strategic Forum focused on the importance of diversifying the economic structure, creating new job opportunities, promoting political reforms, and supporting change processes to extract new growth opportunities in the Arab world.

The participants called for the development of education and basic services and the formulation of strategies to develop human cadres, stressing that the reforms imposed by external parties are not welcome and do not serve the interests of the peoples of the region.

The importance of the issues discussed by the Forum in the fourth session is evident in that it is an attempt to anticipate the economic changes that the world witnessed in 2008. The call for diversification in the economic sectors and structural reforms were sufficient, if implemented, to reduce somewhat the effects of the global financial crisis.

The importance of the 2006 forum’s invitation to Arab regimes was also highlighted by the importance of adopting a fundamental policy change that meets the aspirations of peoples and which could have limited the impact of the events of the so-called Arab Spring in 2011.

Fifth session: Building a strong economy and stable societies

After the outbreak of the global financial crisis, the Arab Strategic Forum discussed in its fifth session in 2009 the importance of knowledge to build a vibrant economy and stable societies, as demonstrated by the experience of subsequent years, as Arab politicians and decision makers deepened the need to modernize education systems and provide sources of knowledge in order to build an economy Strong, energetic, and active and productive societies.

The fifth session, titled "Towards a Knowledge Society in the Arab World", discussed the relationship between knowledge, freedom and development, and highlighted the vast gap between knowledge and Arab development policies.

Sixth session: the political exploitation of social communication

The sixth session of the Arab Strategic Forum came in 2013 to discuss the issue of social networks, especially after the role it played in the events of the so-called Arab Spring.

The seventh session: regional conflicts

The seventh session in 2014 witnessed a focus on looking ahead to the geopolitical future of the region and its vulnerability to global changes, in response to the growing intensity of regional conflicts and the polarization it established in the global political scene, the growing threat of terrorism and armed groups, and the forum began to provide prospects for the short term annually, including Looking forward the future of the Arab economy in light of the decline in oil prices and trying to map the most important forces affecting it and the most important economic and political trends that will arise during the following years.
This session witnessed a new pattern in dealing with crucial issues through its inclusion of four axes: the political situation of the Arab world, the state of the Arab world economically, the state of the world politically and the state of the world economically.

And participated in the seventh session of the Arab Strategic Forum, a group of thinkers and decision makers, most notably the political expert author of the book "The End of History and the Last Man" Dr. Francis Fukuyama, who won the Nobel Prize for Economic Sciences in 2008, and Bruce de Mascita, Dr. Paul Krugman, the owner of one of the most important theories in the field Future scenarios, political expert Dr. Ghassan Salameh, former Lebanese Minister, Special Representative of the Secretary-General of the United Nations to Libya, Ahmed Abul-Gheit, former Egyptian Foreign Minister, Secretary General of the Arab League now and former Secretary General of the Organization of Exporting Countries Oil "OPEC" Dr. Abdullah Salem Al-Badri, economist and former CEO of Deutsche Bank in the Middle East and North Africa region, Dr. Henry Azzam.

Speakers expected at the seventh session of the forum the growing role of China and the United States of America on the global political and economic scene and pointed out that regional conflicts in the region will continue in the absence of serious efforts to develop solutions ... which is really what happened in the following year, and came in line with what the strategic forum expected Arabi.

They also agreed that the global economy will witness more crises, especially with regard to Europe's ability to meet its public debt, and the ability of the global economy to rise in light of declining demand for products and raw materials.

Eighth session .. Loss of conflict

The successes achieved during its previous sessions have earned the Arab Strategic Forum greater credibility among experts and decision-makers, and it has devoted its position as a reliable platform to discuss the reality and prospects of political and economic affairs in the Arab world in particular and the world in general.

In 2015, this session examined the geopolitical and economic developments in the region and the world, and focused mainly on the potential risks portended by the political and economic uncertainty that prevails in most Arab regions.

The Forum issued an expanded report on the losses of the Arab world due to internal conflicts, which amounted to about 833.7 billion US dollars, in addition to 1.34 million people who were killed or injured due to wars and terrorist operations, as well as social disintegration, sectarian division and the decline of development efforts.

The eighth session of the Arab Strategic Forum also witnessed a review of a set of global reports by organizations and institutions such as the World Bank, the International Monetary Fund and the World Economic Forum.

A group of Arab and foreign politicians and thinkers participated in this session, most notably: Prince Turki Al-Faisal, Chairman of the King Faisal Center for Research and Islamic Studies and Political Thinker Ghassan Salama, former Palestinian Prime Minister Salam Fayyad, First Vice President of the World Bank Mahmoud Mohiuddin, and the British Foreign Secretary Former William Hague, former US Treasury Secretary Dr. Larry Summers and New York University Professor of Economics Dr. Nuriel Robbini.

The ninth session .. the threat of terrorist groups

The ninth session held in 2016 was distinguished by the extent of specialization and professionalism gained by the forum through accumulating the experiences of past years. The forum sessions witnessed the presence of the most prominent international economic institutions, and specialized discussions issued by comprehensive reports under the supervision of a group of local and international experts, in addition to a number of initiatives that were issued On the forum, to transform political and economic outlook into a vital scientific function and the formation of a human cadre specialized in future science.

The session was attended by a group of experts and specialists on the Arab and international levels such as former British Prime Minister David Cameron, Director of Intelligence Agency and former US Secretary of Defense Leon Panetta, former Egyptian Foreign Minister Nabil Fahmy, political thinker Ghassan Salama and the International Monetary Fund Natalia Tamerissa, and Chairman of the Board The global development of former US President Barack Obama, Dr. Muhammad Al-Arian, former Lebanese Minister of Finance Dr. George Qurm, global oil expert Dr. Mamdouh Salama, and head of the Eurasia Group specializing in political studies and consultations Bremer.

The tenth session ... a year of Donald Trump presidency

In conjunction with the completion of its first decade of the important sessions that established the position of the Arab Strategic Forum globally as the main platform for anticipating the geopolitical and economic events that the region and the world go through, the 2017 session enjoyed the participation of a group of senior thinkers, experts and political and economic analysts with the aim of foreseeing the state of the world and reading and analyzing the challenges that The world faces on the economic and political levels, and the development of various and alternative analyzes and scenarios that are compatible with the conditions and interests of the region in parallel with these events.

The forum's activities included comprehensive approaches within the framework of political and economic expectations, globally and Arably, as he spoke at the session "The State of the World Economically in the Year 2018" American economist Joseph Stiglitz, Nobel Prize winner in economics, where he offered readings about the most prominent economic change a year after Donald Trump presided over the states United, and whether the world will witness an economic crisis? And who will be the beneficiaries of the economic situation in 2018.

Dr. Jihad Azour, from the International Monetary Fund, addressed many urgent questions that affect the future of the Arab region, and how the process of economic development in Saudi Arabia will affect the region and the world.

And each of the former French President, François Hollande, has put forward several political scenarios about the future of the European Union and whether the coming period will witness a strong return to French diplomacy.

Former US Secretary of Defense Robert Gates spoke about the expected situation in the relationship between America and North Korea and the Russian role in the world.

The eleventh session .. There is no justification for pessimism

Despite the global geopolitical changes, the sessions of the eleventh session of the Arab Strategic Forum identified a set of strategic expectations about the economic and political situation of the world for the year 2019, and most participants agreed that there is no justification for pessimism despite all the geopolitical changes that the world is witnessing, foremost of which is the high risk of cyber attacks and the war of the generation The fifth technology between China and the United States of America, the US-China conflict continues, the growing populism in the European Parliament, and the implications of the Brexit Agreement.

The former Lebanese Minister of Economy and Trade, Dr. Nasser Al-Saidi, and the first vice-president of the World Bank Group, Dr. Mahmoud Mohieldin, spoke about a possible economic recession in the Arab region during the next two years, and they confirmed that the growth rates in the Gulf Cooperation Council countries will be 3% in the next year, with Confirmation that oil prices will not rise and will range between $ 47 and $ 69 in 2019.

Former US Treasury Secretary Professor Law Low predicted that 2019 will be a year of calm in the global tariff and trade war specifically between the United States of America and China, while former Bank of England Governor and House member Lord Mervyn King considered that the global economy in 2019 will continue Innovating and creating successful practical solutions.

It is worth noting that the Arab Strategic Forum, which was launched in 2001 under the guidance and patronage of His Highness Sheikh Mohammed bin Rashid Al Maktoum, provides accurate annual forecasts of important events throughout the year.

The forum brings together senior government officials, strategic experts and academics from the Arab region and the world, to benefit from reliable source opinions and data and in-depth analyzes with the aim of facilitating the process of anticipating future regional challenges and opportunities.

The Arab Strategic Forum employs new outlook mechanisms and reliable research from regional and international institutions, with the aim of building new generations of advisors who are able to read transformations in the region, and to contribute to shaping policies and strategies to meet future challenges.