No faction becomes the largest faction !? That person behind the cabinet remodeling? September 19 9:12

First remodeling of the cabinet.
As Prime Minister Abe's LDP presidential term remains for two years, he notices that the existence of “Ano-san” who has denied faction politics has gradually grown.
Where is the personnel and aim of this time?
(Government Club)

No faction becomes the “largest faction”! ?

“It was a moving moment that I had never experienced in 57 years of life.”

It was Kazuhide Sugawara, who was appointed by the Minister of Economy, Trade and Industry, that he wrote in the blog about the feelings of Prime Minister Abe's first admission to the cabinet.

He is a six-time electoral deputy who is also known for his close friendship with SAM of “TRF”.
The post of important ministers and Ministers of Economy, Trade and Industry was shot in the first cabinet.

Like Sugawara, there are six unaffiliated cabinets that do not belong to any faction.
Compared to the fact that there were 2 to 3 people from each major faction, it was a much larger “high power”.

The biggest factor is pointed out by the Secretary of Secretary of Secretary.

He has served as the chief of the secretary for nearly seven years since the beginning of the second Abe Cabinet, and has supported the cabinets of the cabinet with both Deputy Prime Minister and Finance Minister and name. Tsuji himself is not a faction.

The ministers of the sect are Kashiwa and Sakakibara, as well as Mr. Sanae Takaichi, Minister of Justice, Katsuyuki Kawai, Minister of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries.

And that Shinjiro Koizumi, Environment Minister.

He is known for denying factional politics, but an increasing number of legislators mourn for him.

“Ganesha”, “Sunflower”, “Ryowa”

Both are regarded as a gathering of unspoken parliamentarians.
There are more than 50 unsuccessful members in the party. With the exception of the “Sunflower Club” to which 17 people belong, the number of members is not disclosed in consideration of the fact that the faction era has ended. There is some mysterious feeling.

Sugawara belongs to the “Ryowakai” and Kawai belongs to the “Sunflower Association”.

Sakai, who once struggled out of the faction, struggled.
“Middle-class and young people who are not in the faction should not be disadvantaged by human resources or become depopulated.”

“Shinjiro Koizumi can be a minister”

A dialogue between Tsuji and Shinjiro Koizumi was published in the monthly magazine “Bunju Shunju” released a month before the remodeling.

“I like it”
When the moderator asked, “Is Koizumi already a minister?” Said clearly.

On a daily basis, reporters and even close politicians don't give HR speech. “Nagatacho” was awkward before the cabinet remodeling.

And Koizumi decided to fulfill his first admission at the age of 38.

Koizumi has a reputation for communication and is one of the future prime minister candidates. At each election, he ran around the country with a support speech, and gained experience mainly in party duties such as the chairman of the agriculture and forestry department and the chairman of the welfare labor department. However, it won four times. In general, it is still too early to enter the cabinet.

However, Koizumi's treatment is of interest. In fact, there was a company that reported immediately before that Koizumi was sent off.

The fact that Koizumi visited the Prime Minister's official residence last month for a marriage report with Kristel Takigawa was another factor that made her close up.

Prior to the remodeling, Koizumi confirmed Koizumi's intention under the direction of Prime Minister Abe.
Eventually, Abe, who has personnel rights, consulted Koizumi himself, but how did Sakai's presence affect this appointment?

After the new cabinet was established, the reporter asked if Abe had promoted Koizumi's appointment as a minister, saying, “Human resources are the exclusive matter of the Prime Minister, and the appointment of Congressman Koizumi is also the judgment of the Prime Minister.” did.

It is a coincidence that many factional members have been appointed.
"I'm sure Mr. Tsuji is moving"

This is also known as “Ryowa Unji” when the new era was announced.
One of the candidates for “Post Abe” also has a name. The Secretary of the Secretary who has made such a strong presence in human resources is hard to find in the past.
You will be able to keep an eye on it for a while.

Kishida finally raised his voice

"If you can get a post that works well in a new era"

Mr. Kishida, the chairman of the survey, who is eager to post Abe, finally gave a voice.
This is a remark made at a Kishida school workshop on the evening of September 4th, a week before the Cabinet reshuffle and LDP officials.
It is rare for a careful Kishida to explicitly mention the post.

That morning, Kishida had a meeting with Prime Minister Abe.
After the meeting, he just said, “I talked about various things” and wrapped the reporters in smoke.

Actually, this was the moment when the post of the post was solidified after the president of the political survey was reported.

This meeting decided to maintain the framework of the cabinet and party, including Aso, Tsuji and the second floor.
Should the subsequent “post request” remarks be re-declared to prepare for the post “Abe”?

This time, Kishida has succeeded in joining Naoichi Takemoto, who was elected eight times at the age of 78, as well as Aso, and Seigo Kitamura, who was elected seven times at 72.

Both are so-called “waiting to enter the cabinet”.

The waiting group is a member of the Liberal Democratic Party who has no election experience in the House of Representatives more than 5 times and in the House of Councilors more than 3 times. Before the remodeling, about 70 people in the party fall under this category.

In the previous election of the House of Councilors, four members of the faction belonged to Kishida who lost their seats and thanked him. However, the waiting group was first introduced into the cabinet, and this time the cabinet was restructured. Kishida looked back on this personnel.
“It was a good HR when thinking about unity of factions”

Abe said that Kishida's treatment was temporarily considered as a secretary general. It can be said that it is a testimony with high expectations as one of our successor candidates.

Abe thinks the faction of the faction territory is how the standby group can be entered into the cabinet. Kishida was encouraged not to lose to other candidates.

By faction, there are three members from the Hosoda and Aso groups. Two people from Takeshita, Kishida, and each faction on the second floor enter the cabinet.
This time, the first cabinet was 13 people, including the first cabinet, the highest number of Abe cabinets. 11 of them are waiting groups.

On the other hand, there were no appointments from the Ishiwata, Ishihara, and Tanigaki groups.

“Post-Abe” is an important policy

Ministers who are in charge of policies in important fields were appointed “Post-Abe”, leading candidates for the future prime minister, and young Hope. What kind of aim is there?

Minister Kono

"I want to endeavor to come when it will no longer be a post."
Mr. Taro Kono, who has stated that he will become the Prime Minister since his first election, said this.

When he assumed office as the Minister of Defense, he made a clear announcement again.
Since being appointed as the Minister of Foreign Affairs for the Ototoshi Cabinet Reform, he has visited more than 100 countries and has been focusing on Middle East diplomacy.

He builds a relationship using his special English and exchanges emails with foreign ministers Kang Kyung-hwa in Korea.

As Japan-Korea relations deteriorated, the issue of “recruitment” continued to be consistently stunned, calling on the Korean Ambassador to Japan and protesting with a strong tone.

“It was very disappointing that everything was stopped by the court's ruling on 'collection'.”
Kono, who regretted the position of the Foreign Minister, will face the increasingly severe security environment in East Asia as a Defense Minister.

Foreign Minister Mogi

Toshimitsu Mogi is the Foreign Minister after Kono.

Since being appointed as the Minister of Economy, Trade and Industry in the second Abe Cabinet, appointments have continued in the cabinet and party positions.
It is also known as a tough negotiator, with a policy of both domestic and foreign policy.

As Minister for Economic Revitalization, he led a new trade negotiation between Japan and the United States to a broad agreement, and at the G7 Biarritz Summit held in France in late August, he accompanied Abe to a Japan-US summit meeting with President Trump. Also attended.

Appointment to the foreign minister was almost solidified at that time.
Abe aims to strengthen economic diplomacy as the free trade system fluctuates. Mogi is a perfect person.

There are multiple challenges that are difficult to overcome, such as the restructuring of Japan-Korea relations, which is said to be the worst after the war, and the progress of peace treaty negotiations with Russia, which has been stagnant.

In stepping up to a true prime minister candidate, the true value will be asked.

Minister of Health, Labor and Welfare

Kato is in charge of social security policy.

In-law's father, June, is known as Abe's father, Abe Shintaro, a former foreign minister's friend.
Kato served as Deputy Secretary of the Secretariat, Minister of Health, Labor and Welfare for the second Cabinet, and since October last year, has steadily improved his career along with the long-term administration to become the General Affairs Chairman of the LDP.

Due to his high practical ability, he is appointed again as Minister of Health, Labor and Welfare, and tackles many challenges, including all-generation social security reform.

Kato talks about the re-climbing as follows.

“I am in a challenging position. It ’s important to work one by one rather than post.”

Koizumi Environment Minister

Young Hope Koizumi works as an environmental minister 10 years after the first election, working on environmental issues that are also important issues for the Abe Cabinet.

Environmental issues are a theme Abe struggled with at the G20 Osaka Summit. In connection with the Paris Agreement, Abe spoke directly with the opposing American President Trump and French President Macron, and put together a summit declaration.

I expect Koizumi to promote the Paris Agreement and send Japan's efforts to the world.
Koizumi's appointment is aimed at nurturing future candidates as prime ministers by developing the skills of negotiation, coordination and response through the ministerial experience.

“It's not a reason. A request to enter the cabinet, feeling that you've come out of your body naturally,“ Thank you. ”Koizumi said.

The word that Abe gave to Koizumi ’s first admission was “I want to see results.”

Is it a result that is required as a minister or a politician of the ruling party?

Active appointment of people close to Prime Minister Abe

Another feature is that many people who seem to be close to Abe were appointed.

The Minister of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology and Minister of Economic Revitalization Nishimura belonged to Abe's origin faction and Hosoda faction, and served as the Deputy Secretary of the Secretariat.

Minister of Health, Labor and Welfare Kato who belongs to the Takeshita school and Hironori Seko, who became a senior party leader and secretary general of the House of Councilors, also have experience as a Deputy Secretary of the Secretariat. Have piled up.

Now, it has become a central human resource in each faction.

Minister of Justice Kawai, Minister of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries of Eto and Minister of Edo 100 million in total achievement are all experienced as an assistant prime minister.

The opposition responded quickly.
Constitutional Democratic Party, Fukuyama Secretary-General, “It ’s“ Friends Absent from the People, Close Cabinet ””.

The ruling party also pointed out a harsh indication that they only had the impression that they were solidified with friends.

In the US, the direction of the policy has shifted a little, and the president murmured on Twitter. Abe thinks that it is natural that he has a good understanding of the policy, and there is no sign of such criticism or indication.

Scandinavian ministers leave immediately

The scandal of the minister is a concern when the cabinet reshuffle is changed drastically.

For Abe, the first cabinet is a bitter memory.
Support rate plummeted due to pension record issues and successive scandals of ministers. The majority of the House of Councilor elections suffered a defeat and led to retirement.

Naturally, we pay close attention to human resources so as not to follow the same traps, but the scandals and disclaimers of the ministers will not go away.

Yoshitaka Sakurada was appointed minister in charge of the Olympics and Paralympics in the 4th Abe Remodeling Cabinet established last year. Sakurada, who belongs to the second-floor school, was in the waiting group seven times.
From the beginning, he continued to “stray” due to misreading of answers and remarks outside the Diet.

The opposition party continued to blame Sakurada and the appointed Prime Minister Abe, and after half a year after the remodeling, the opposition party was virtually resigned with remarks over the reconstruction of the Great East Japan Earthquake.

In addition, the remodeling in September 2014 tried to renew people's minds, but behind the scenes.

It continued for over 600 days without a change of one minister, but a major remodeling was carried out.
Five female ministers were appointed as symbols of women's success, but Midori Matsushima was pursued by the opposition party for his activities in the constituency.

Yuko Ogura, Minister of Economy, Trade and Industry, was also pursued on issues related to political funds.

Eventually, the two resigned in less than two months after the remodeling.

Since the inauguration of the second Abe Cabinet, eight ministers have been resigned or resigned due to scandals or disclaimers.
However, the cabinet support rate remained at a certain level, and the situation did not reach a level that would shake the administration.
Except for those who are really difficult to replace, the damage control that “does not protect the minister more than necessary” is one of the factors that has become a record long-term administration.

What will happen to this remodeled cabinet, the first 13 people in the Abe Cabinet to enter?

Bulletin “I became a private minister”! ?

“Thank you so much for everything.

Kono, whose post had been replaced by the Minister of Foreign Affairs, appeared suddenly at the Ministry of Foreign Affairs press club around 3:30 pm the day before the cabinet reshuffle. Then, “I got a call from the Prime Minister when I entered the government office,” and made it clear that he had not slipped to the Defense Minister.

Sugawara, who was appointed by the Minister of Economy, Trade and Industry, also revealed with excitement that he had received his first admission on his blog the night before.

"Tomorrow's Cabinet remodeling, I received a call from Prime Minister Abe today.
Ask the Minister of Economy, Trade and Industry.
It was a moving moment that I had never experienced in my 57 years of life. ''

Don't wait for the official announcement, and get a quick report on SNS.
In the past, there were things that did not become apparent until the minister himself appeared in the Prime Minister's office, but it has changed a lot. The era when the Prime Minister himself murmurs “@@ Minister XX Now” may come soon.

I'll do it again, the Cabinet remodeling, and the dissolution and general election

Kashiwa, Kishida, Motegi, Kato, Kono, and Koizumi.
“Post-Abe” is to place a well-balanced parliament who is considered a candidate for the future prime minister.

This was the biggest eye of this personnel affair, and Abe's heart was broken. Maintaining centripetal power is the key to keeping someone in a good balance.

The biggest feature of Abe HR is that powerful and promising members continue to use them even if they change posts.
On the other hand, in response to the intentions of the faction, the standby group has been eliminated, leading to the stabilization of the administration base.
As a result of “maintaining centripetal force” by “election of leading lawmakers” and “dissolution of the waiting list”, Abe's tenure has reached the longest in constitutional history in November, excluding former Prime Minister Katsura Taro.

Next year, in 2020, the Tokyo Olympics and Paralympics.
At the end of September 2021, he served as LDP president.
One month later, the term of office of the House of Representatives will expire.

While Abe ’s term of office remains two years, the biggest focus is the dissolution and general election of the House of Representatives.
Is the face of the House of Representatives election Abe himself or is someone “post Abe”?

Once a year, Abe, who has reorganized the cabinet and appointed Liberal Democratic Party officers, is likely to do it again.
The possibility will increase if the power of the administration is in line with the faction's speculation that “further eliminate the waiting group”.
There are even voices from the party expecting the fourth term of the president.

What kind of judgment will Abe make while maintaining centripetal force by personnel?
Looking ahead two years later, political movements have already begun.

(Honorifics omitted in the text)