Will China understand that the US is fighting with it to destroy and push the world into a global depression?
The latest news from the fields of US trade aggression against China: Trump announced his desire to continue negotiations. This happened after Trump's sudden promise from September 1 to increase duties on 300 billionth import from China not to 10%, but to 15% and from October 1 to increase again to 30% the import duties already raised from 10% to 25% from 250% billion (that is, duties will increase on all imports from China, taking into account its possible growth) and China's reciprocal promise to increase duties on imports from the United States by $ 75 billion.
Trump continues to demonstrate the filigree skills of memorable Russia for the saints for the liberals and the bloody for the rest of the 1990s racketeering-hitting technology, giving a master class in modern political warfare.
This term, introduced in England more than a century ago, in the mid-1990s, was framed in the USA in the form of the concept of a “hybrid war” (then Russia was blamed for its invention) and means the destruction of the enemy by all methods, except the military. It was the political war that crushed the USSR, today its target is China.
The US is accustomed to impose on the “partners” (in fact, the satellites) the most favorable rules for themselves, winning the deliberately unfair competition organized by them. But China began to defeat them according to their own rules in all areas, and under Trump the United States changed the method, moving to a demonstrative rejection of any rules, proving their exceptional impunity.
Wanting "only" the growth of prosperity, China quietly became an obstacle to their arbitrariness - and therefore, in the understanding of their elite (despite its split, this consensus had already formed by 2009) to be destroyed in any way: as existential, not commercial threat.
The trade war is designed to intensify the contradictions within the Chinese elite and provoke dissatisfaction with Xi Jinping (because he could not avoid a confrontation with the United States). American strategic planners rightly see him as an exceptional leader, deeply understanding long-term processes, and therefore consider weakening his position as the key to the destruction of China.
A key part of China’s managerial elite has become accustomed to progress through close ties with the United States and is still in shock because of their unprovoked aggression. For them, this is a new, unexpected and incomprehensible situation. Development in a tough encounter with a key source of this development is a non-trivial task, the solution of which becomes a matter of life and death.
The trade war unleashed by Trump cannot be considered in isolation from the Hong Kong protests under the banner of the United States. They laid bare the craftsmanship with which the United States exacerbated China's internal contradictions for their transfer into a full-fledged domestic crisis.
Indeed, in his coastal megacities and even in Beijing, the very same “financial and office plankton” has grown that fights on the streets of Hong Kong today (ultimately for its self-destruction as one of the financial centers of the world). Suppression of the irreconcilable enemies of the "Chinese dream" in Hong Kong can cause an outbreak (albeit a short one) of unrest in other coastal megacities of China.
Putting order in Hong Kong scares the representatives of the rich coastal regions in the Chinese elite, as it can damage their global business even without probable attempts of direct isolation (like the one that followed Deng Xiaoping's refusal from the Gorbachev perestroika analogue in 1989).
But even the delay in suppressing the protests leads to a painful loss of face in the Chinese culture of representatives of the inner regions of China, including Xi Jinping himself.
In general, the suppression of the “seaside front”, useful from the point of view of the struggle of the patriots against the liberal globalists who reappeared in China (indeed, Hong Kong itself has played a role and has already begun to become an unnecessary competitor to its new economic centers from the vital instrument of China's development towards the start of protests) , can cause economic (and, consequently, socio-political) losses, for which the political class of China, which has not yet recovered from the shock after the sudden US aggression, is not yet ready.
However, the main thing in the political war unleashed by the USA against China is that, regardless of the outcome, it will bring the world to the abyss of the Global Depression.
After all, Trump attacks only because the United States can no longer live by its own rules: maintaining the capital inflow they need requires expanding the chaos of the world. Bush and Obama solved the problem with conventional wars. The inability to bomb Russia, Iran and North Korea forced Trump to go on a political war.
Its defeat will bring down the world based on the dollar and the arbitrariness of the United States, as well as the defeat of China: after Atlas, after the crisis of 2008-2009, it holds the entire world economy on its shoulders (even a slowdown in its growth to 4% will destroy its modern model).
Therefore, supporting China as a comrade in containing the global aggressor, Russia must quickly prepare for the collapse of world markets into macro-regions and a breakdown in the Global Depression.
The author’s point of view may not coincide with the position of the publisher.