The opposition failed to control the legislature after the ruling coalition won a majority of seats in the new parliament. Erdogan's lead by nearly 5 percentage points over Kılıçdaroğlu in the first round of the presidential election already makes Erdogan the favorite to win the run-off.
Erdogan ran against 3 tough rivals: a unified opposition in a way that modern Turkish politics has not seen, high inflation and the repercussions of a devastating earthquake. The opposition is still weaker in terms of the ability to bring about a major political transformation in Turkey.