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Electric car at a charging station: The switch means, in particular, less revenue from mineral oil tax

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Julian Stratenschulte / picture alliance / dpa

The switch to electric cars could cost the federal government almost 50 billion euros in tax money by 2030 - despite the cancellation of the electric car bonus. The management consultancy EY calculated this in a study available to SPIEGEL.

The majority of this, around 36 billion euros, could be lost to the tax authorities because the expected shortfall in tax revenue from the mineral oil tax cannot be nearly compensated for by additional revenue from the electricity tax.

The federal government also supports company cars with electric motors. Two thirds of electric cars in Germany are registered to businesses. This also leads to reduced income. EY estimates that the federal government could lose around 11.8 billion euros between 2024 and 2030 due to reduced income tax revenue.

In their scenario, the consultants assume that around 13.2 million purely battery-powered cars and plug-in hybrids will be on German roads by 2030. There are currently 2.3 million such vehicles.

“Almost two percent of the Federal Republic’s tax revenue has so far been generated at the gas station,” says Constantin Gall, Managing Partner at EY. Promoting electromobility makes sense for climate protection reasons. “However, the consequences in terms of tax revenue will be painful.”

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