The International Monetary Fund (IMF)
has sent a message of cautious optimism about the world economy.
In the usual January review of its 'World Economic Outlook' report, the institution led by
Kristalina Georgieva
raises its growth forecast for this year and considers that inflation has peaked.
In the words of the institution's chief economist,
Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas
, "prospects are less gloomy" than those of last October, both because of slightly higher growth and because of what he
described as "improvement" in inflation expectations at world level
.
According to the Fund,
the great engines of global recovery will be India and China
, which will contribute no less than half of
global GDP growth.
, while the United States and the European Union will barely add 10%.
The change in expectations in China is especially great if one takes into account that, despite the fact that it is barely two months since the Beijing government lifted the Covid-19 restrictions, the IMF raises its growth forecast for that country by 8 tenths in 2023.
The Fund also stops considering that
the GDP of Germany and Italy will register contractions this year
and, likewise, seems to rule out that the US economy will register a quarter with negative growth, since it raises its growth forecast from 1% to 1 ,4%.
For Spain, the changes are minimal.
He estimates growth in 2022 at 5.5% -- actually, three tenths less than that announced last week by the National Institute of Statistics -- and confirms the slowdown in 2023, leaving GDP at 1.1% , one tenth below the October forecast.
The only relevant economy that will have negative growth will be the British.
According to the criteria of The Trust Project
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