Securities Times reporter Wu Jiaming
Recently, good news about the real estate market has been coming in, and the expectation of a recovery in the real estate market is gradually heating up.
As one of the most regulated cities, every move of Shenzhen has attracted much attention.
In recent days, rumors such as "significant increase in transaction volume" and even "relaxation of regulation" have begun to stir up the Shenzhen property market.
However, as of now, there have been no significant changes in the regulation and control policies of the Shenzhen property market, and buyers should also be vigilant, and all information should be subject to official releases.
The reporter found that there are market rumors that the single-day transaction volume of second-hand housing in Shenzhen has exceeded 500 units.
Not only that, some real estate intermediary managers, while pushing "bamboo shoots" listings to home buyers, will also "add fuel and vinegar" to some news in the market. Most of the content emphasizes that now is a good time to buy a house, and some real estate intermediaries even The manager became a "prophet" and issued rhetoric such as "It is estimated that the second-hand housing transaction volume has exceeded 1,000 this week", "It is expected that more owners will raise prices", "Shenzhen will start to study and introduce relaxation policies", urging buyers to close the deal as soon as possible .
According to official data, in November this year, 2,168 sets of second-hand commercial housing were sold in Shenzhen, an increase of 25.1% from the previous month.
Although there was a month-on-month increase, the overall turnover was still at a low level.
According to data from the Shenzhen Real Estate Intermediary Association, 691 second-hand housing units were recorded in Shenzhen last week, down 0.7% month-on-month. Compared with online signing data, this data can reflect market dynamics in a timely manner.
At present, the volume of second-hand housing recorded in December has indeed increased month-on-month, but if 500 units are sold in a single day as rumored, then the monthly transaction volume of second-hand housing in Shenzhen may "easily" exceed 10,000 units, which is obviously different from the current market conditions do not match.
When the reporter interviewed in several districts of Luohu and Futian, several real estate intermediary managers said that the number of house inspections has increased significantly since the end of November, but due to the epidemic in the past week, the number of buyers who came to view houses has relatively decreased. And buyers are still generally cautious.
Many house buyers also told reporters that there is nothing wrong with real estate intermediary managers selling sales, but in addition to telemarketing, they are now releasing a lot of unverified information through WeChat to encourage transactions. Departments can strengthen supervision.
In addition to the rumors of a sharp increase in transaction volume, there has recently been a discussion in the Shenzhen market about "unlimited purchases of single apartments with 70-year property rights". The rumor originated from the Yuchengfu project that obtained a pre-sale certificate in Nanshan District.
Information from the Shenzhen real estate information platform shows that the land use of the project is residential land, the housing use is single apartments, and the property rights of the houses available for sale (single apartments) are 70 years.
The final public information shows that this is the first small-area residential project in Shenzhen that does not require a quota for purchasing a house, because the project is a historical issue.
Since there are still a large number of similar "single apartments" in the Shenzhen market, the news aroused widespread discussion.
The reporter consulted the relevant staff of the Shenzhen Real Estate Registration Center through the 12345 hotline, and the reply was that the land use is residential land, and the house use is a single apartment. The purchase of housing is the same as commercial housing. Notice on Unlimited Purchase of Real Estate".
As far as the second-hand housing market is concerned, in order to promote transactions in the second-hand housing market, various regions have continued to relax the previously implemented second-hand housing-related policies since 2022, including shortening the sales restriction period of second-hand housing, canceling the sales restriction of second-hand housing, withdrawing the reference price of second-hand housing, and accelerating the implementation The "transfer with mortgage" model, etc., supports the second-hand housing market from the aspects of transaction links and transaction thresholds.
Li Yujia, chief researcher of the Housing Policy Research Center of the Guangdong Provincial Urban Planning Institute, believes that from the perspective of the national market, in the future, if the commercial housing market is to stabilize in the short term, it will drive domestic demand and consumption, and the release of improved demand is the key.
He predicts that the purchase restriction policy, the down payment and interest rate of second-home loans, and housing transaction taxes and fees may all be adjusted.
The circulation of stock houses will release the stock of small-sized and low-priced second-hand houses. This is also the path for new citizens to buy houses and just need to buy houses.