UNDER RECORD
RAQUEL VILLAÉCIJA
GABRIELA GALARZA
Updated Wednesday, November 30, 2022-23:30
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This year the Spanish are going to digest some Christmas lunches and dinners marked by inflation, probably the most expensive in a long time.
The typical products in a Christmas basket have risen by 12.45% as a whole, although they could become up to 10% more expensive in the final stretch before the key dates of the holidays.
EL MUNDO has made
a selection of several common products
in these meals, such as lamb, seafood, smoked foods, wines, sparkling wines, Christmas sweets, fresh fruits and cheeses.
you
All these products have become more expensive in the last year, according to the latest data available from the INE (October), and together they do so by 12.45%.
The CPI for food that month was 15.8%.
Beef, for example, is up almost 15%;
the bird does 18%,
that of sheep (lamb) is almost 10% more expensive and shellfish has an increase of 9%
.
Cheeses grew by 18% and smoked cheeses by 13%.
in the basket
others commonly used have also been included, such as oil
(15.7% more expensive), legumes and vegetables (25%) and fresh fruit, for which we pay 13% more.
Regarding desserts, chocolates grew by 5.6% and confectionery products (here are included
nougats, polvorones and marzipan
), 9.5%.
Spirits are the ones that rise the least and still do so by 4.6%.
There is no product that is cheaper than a year ago.
More hikes
These are October prices, although holiday shopping tends to be concentrated in the two weeks leading up to Christmas Eve and New Year's Eve.
Already last year OCU
detected an increase of 10% on average in the shopping cart for Christmas meals
on those dates compared to the end of November.
Today
Iberian ham
(bait) costs 59.77 euros per kilo, compared to 57.5 euros last year, with an increase of almost 4%.
At the end of November the red cabbage cost 1.51 euros and is up 12.7% compared to last year at this time.
The only positive note in this basket is provided by prawns, which fell by 7.6%
.
Today they are worth 10.66 euros.
These increases could be greater in the coming weeks, although "this year we started from already very high prices, so the increases could moderate," explains Ignacio Biedman, an expert in mass consumption at the Nielsen consultancy, who does believe that "at least planning there will be worse.
abnormal rise
Nielsen has analyzed the evolution of prices in the last quarter in a specifically Christmas basket (includes packaged products, nougat, cava, smoked, but excludes oil and fresh).
In this case, this purchase rises 5.6%, compared to the 11.1% increase of a normal basket.
Last year "we already saw a price increase of 5%, which is high, since
in a normal year the increases move around 1-1.7%
.
Now we add a point and that we are not in the middle of the campaign, ”recalls Biedma.
For comparison, at Christmas 2020-201, for example, the consultant registered an increase in the basket in the entire campaign of 1.7%.
He adds that “everything will depend on what is included in the purchase for dinners.
With perishable fresh the cost will grow.
Meat and fish have more moderate rises than fresh fruits, for example, which register increases of 30%.
In his basket, what grew the most were fruits in syrup (16.2%) and canned meat and pâtés (14.7%).
If prices soar further in the coming weeks,
households could make adjustments to the baskets, substituting the most expensive for other cheaper alternatives.
"In the face of Christmas, almost 70% of Spaniards say they are going to adjust their budgets versus 33% who do plan to spend more," explains María Miralles, a partner at McKinsey & Company who leads Consumption in Spain.
According to data from
AECOC Shopperview,
According to the barometer of the Association of Consumer Goods Companies, this year consumers will anticipate their purchases, reduce those of fresh products and look for offers to optimize their budget.
40% will buy less meat and fish
, although it will not lower the quality.
Another 52% will anticipate purchases to prevent products from skyrocketing.
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