• Only 20% of households saved in the pandemic and have an extra cushion to weather inflation

Inflation has

caused

a rise in the cost of living, that is, an

impoverishment

that is already calculated for this year at

34,000 million euros

, to which an additional

8,100 million will be added in 2023

.

In total, families will have

42,000 million euros less between this year and next.

Prices in Spain have risen an average of

9%

in 2022 -with data up to September- and it is expected that in 2023 they will rise an

additional 5-6% on average,

according to forecasts.

This means that in the absence of similar increases in income (which are not taking place), families will continue to lose purchasing power.

According to calculations by

Funcas

shared with EL MUNDO, the increase that has occurred this year of 5.5% in the remuneration of employees (which is influenced by both the increase in employment and wages), together with the increase in another type of income (non-wage remuneration, dividends, interest, etc.) or the 5.8% rise in public transfers, once taxes and other deductions have been deducted, reflect an

increase in household disposable income in nominal terms 3.5%,

to which

inflation must be discounted.

The subtraction yields a result in real terms of loss of purchasing power.

"

Our estimate of loss of purchasing power of families as a whole is 34,000 million in 2022.

This is a

drop of 4.2%

. This percentage is for all families, which includes those who found a job (something that mitigates the total impact).The reduction in purchasing power discounting the effect of employment (which is perceived by most families) is therefore even greater:

-6.5%

, according to our estimates", explains

Raymond Torres

, director of the situation of Funcas.

It refers to the fact that the total number of families includes

some that in 2022 have found a job

, while the previous year they were unemployed, and for them -despite inflation- there has been a gain in purchasing power.

Its inclusion in the total distorts somewhat the loss of purchasing power that has occurred in any average household in which the same level of employment has been maintained (the same people and in the same positions continue to work).

By

2023

, given that inflation will continue to rise and incomes will not grow at the same rate,

they expect household disposable income to fall another 1%,

the equivalent of €8.1 billion.

Thus, two years in a row of loss of purchasing power would be chained, after a

2021

in which households had

7,700 million more purchasing power

, especially due to the improvement in employment that occurred that year compared to that of the pandemic.

We start saving less

Despite the fact that the Spanish are suffering a drop in purchasing power this year (with their income, even if they rise slightly, they can buy much less),

they are not having to resort in global terms to the savings cushion accumulated during the pandemic

, but this is it is translating into saving less, at rates similar to those before the pandemic.

If they had to pull the savings from 2020 and 2021, in 2022 there would be no savings, and the data shows that families are saving, even if it is less than in the last two years.

The

pandemic

and the administrative

restrictions

imposed in

2020

to contain the virus prevented Spaniards from spending as they had in the past.

Travel, leisure and even certain purchases were reduced to a minimum (new clothes were not needed to be at home) hence households managed to

accumulate record savings

in that year:

63,900 million euros in deposits and current accounts,

according to the Bank of Spain data.

In the year

2021

there were still some limitations to the activity -especially in the first half of the year-, hence the savings for that year were also unusually large (

42,400 million

) and, with the arrival of

2022

, with the pandemic overcome and the restrictions eliminated, everything seemed to indicate that households

would spend happily again and stop saving

, but

the war in Ukraine disrupted that roadmap.

Economic uncertainty and inflation have impoverished families and consumption has once again been put in check, because everything is more expensive (average inflation is 8.98%) and because it is feared that more funds will be needed in the future.

For this reason, households have once again increased their savings, although at a slower rate this time.

In the first eight months of the year they have preserved

34,000 million euros in deposits,

according to data from the Bank of Spain, but

the savings rate

(that is, what they save with respect to their disposable income) has dropped to the point of assuming at the end of the second quarter

8.5%, compared to 13.7% in 2021

on average, as collected by the INE.

Although the data from the Bank of Spain seem to indicate that savings in deposits is being stronger this year than last year, the truth is that total household savings include money deposited in other financial instruments (stock market, bonds, insurance, etc.). pension plans, etc.), hence

the savings rate is the best indicator

of how savings fluctuate.

"This drop of more than five points in the savings rate means going from preserving 108,000 million euros in 2021 to 71,000 million in 2022, that is,

37,000 million less savings ", points out the

Funcas

expert

, although he believes that here it is It is important to point out the

heterogeneity of households

: "the people who continue to be able to save the same, consume the same; but there are others who have already had to pull the savings and have even spent it all, and those are the ones who stop consuming".

Savings are concentrated by 20% of families

He refers to the fact that the problem is that

savings are not distributed evenly

among all households (if savings were the same in all households, each one would have saved 2,241.5 euros in 2021 and 1,797.4 euros in which goes from 2022, only in deposits);

but according to the European Central Bank (ECB),

only 20% of families in Europe managed to save during the pandemic

, which means that all that money is accumulated by few hands.

Given that

there are

18.9 million households in

Spain

, according to the latest data from the National Institute of Statistics (INE),

only 3.78 million households have managed to save

in recent years, at a rate of 28,121.6 euros each one in deposits between 2021 and 2022. All the others would not have been able to separate any of their income for savings and would have been forced to spend everything they entered, to have to go into debt to maintain a level of consumption or even to have to reduce their shopping level.

Although households have not had to pull from that savings that they managed to accumulate during the pandemic, the truth is that it has been eroded by the effect of inflation: assuming that the Spanish have maintained this year the same level and composition of consumption as the Last year,

the 42,400 million they managed to save in 2021 would be equivalent to 38,600 euros today,

since there has been a loss of purchasing power equivalent to 3,800 million euros due to the mere existence of inflation (which is on average 8.98% so far this year), while the

63.9 billion they saved in 2020

would be equivalent to

55.465 million today.

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