• Interview: "With prices so high, governments cannot target only very low incomes"

Inflation

stood

at

8.9% in September

, after falling from the

10.8% it reached in July

and

10.5% in August

, as confirmed this Friday by the National Institute of Statistics (

INE

). ), which at the end of the month had anticipated a 9% rise in the Consumer Price Index (CPI).

The definitive data, published today, means that

prices in September were 8.9% higher

than those registered in the country a year ago, in September 2021, but

fell 0.7% compared to August

.

The INE had anticipated a decrease of 0.6%.

Core

inflation

stood at 6.2%, in line with what the Institute had anticipated.

It is an indicator that is given more and more importance because it measures the evolution of all consumer prices except those of energy products and fresh food and, therefore,

reflects the contagion effect

of the increase in costs to the whole of the economy.

In fact, the

price of food and non-alcoholic beverages

shot

up 14.4% in September, the largest increase

recorded in this group

since the historical series began in 1994.

With the confirmed CPI data,

inflation in Spain so far this year stands at an average of 8.98%

, while the

index

that will be used to

revalue pensions for 2023

(taken from the average of the interannual rates from December 2021 to November 2022) stands at

8.75%

for the moment in the absence of knowing the rates for October and November.

The Government has already advanced that it expects pensions to rise by around 8.5% next year, with which they expect the year-on-year rate of inflation to moderate very slightly in the coming months.

The Funcas

panel of economists

, made up of twenty of the most important macroeconomic study and analysis services in the country, expected that

the CPI rose by 9.4% in September, and for the coming months it is expected to fall to 8.4% in October;

in November, to 8.2% and in December, to 7.5%.

In October,

the gas VAT reduction from 10% to 4%

will come into force and the base effect will be perpetuated (comparison with price increases last year that were already higher -in October 2021 prices rose by 5.4%-) , with which a moderation of the index can be expected.

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  • INE

  • Inflation