Interview: "With prices so high, governments cannot target only very low incomes"
Inflation
stood
at
8.9% in September
, after falling from the
10.8% it reached in July
and
10.5% in August
, as confirmed this Friday by the National Institute of Statistics (
INE
). ), which at the end of the month had anticipated a 9% rise in the Consumer Price Index (CPI).
The definitive data, published today, means that
prices in September were 8.9% higher
than those registered in the country a year ago, in September 2021, but
fell 0.7% compared to August
.
The INE had anticipated a decrease of 0.6%.
Core
inflation
stood at 6.2%, in line with what the Institute had anticipated.
It is an indicator that is given more and more importance because it measures the evolution of all consumer prices except those of energy products and fresh food and, therefore,
reflects the contagion effect
of the increase in costs to the whole of the economy.
In fact, the
price of food and non-alcoholic beverages
shot
up 14.4% in September, the largest increase
recorded in this group
since the historical series began in 1994.
With the confirmed CPI data,
inflation in Spain so far this year stands at an average of 8.98%
, while the
index
that will be used to
revalue pensions for 2023
(taken from the average of the interannual rates from December 2021 to November 2022) stands at
8.75%
for the moment in the absence of knowing the rates for October and November.
The Government has already advanced that it expects pensions to rise by around 8.5% next year, with which they expect the year-on-year rate of inflation to moderate very slightly in the coming months.
The Funcas
panel of economists
, made up of twenty of the most important macroeconomic study and analysis services in the country, expected that
the CPI rose by 9.4% in September, and for the coming months it is expected to fall to 8.4% in October;
in November, to 8.2% and in December, to 7.5%.
In October,
the gas VAT reduction from 10% to 4%
will come into force and the base effect will be perpetuated (comparison with price increases last year that were already higher -in October 2021 prices rose by 5.4%-) , with which a moderation of the index can be expected.
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Inflation