Newspaper editorial department
Scientifically judging the situation, taking advantage of trends, giving play to advantages, and leading the situation are important prerequisites and guarantees for doing a good job in economic work, and are crucial to the management of economic development expectations.
Since March this year, the complex and evolving international situation and the ups and downs of the new crown pneumonia epidemic have superimposed unexpected factors, which have brought a lot of impact to the Chinese economy, which is recovering well, and the downward pressure has attracted much attention.
Recently, General Secretary Xi Jinping presided over a meeting of the Political Bureau of the CPC Central Committee to analyze and study the current situation and economic work, based on the overall situation, grasping the general trend, emphasizing that the epidemic must be prevented, the economy must be stabilized, and development must be safe. , Accelerate the construction of a new development pattern, build a strong and resilient national economic cycle system, and insist on expanding high-level opening to the outside world.
Among them, it not only contains the concept of development, but also emphasizes the methodology, which is of great guiding significance for us to scientifically judge the situation, comprehensively grasp the overall situation, strengthen confidence, overcome difficulties, and achieve high-quality economic development.
Those who are good at planning go far, those who are practical are successful.
We must not only scientifically and rationally recognize the current economic situation, grasp and respond to the impact of short-term fluctuations, face up to and solve difficulties and pressures, but also understand the internal laws and general trends of the Chinese economy from a longer period of time, and grasp the potential of the Chinese economy. , resilience, confidence, and staying power, so as to maintain composure, actively respond, calmly and calmly deepen reforms in an all-round way, promote comprehensive opening-up, unswervingly do one's own affairs well, and firmly grasp the development initiative.
The tenacity is still the same
Foreign capital is a bellwether.
In recent years, despite the impact of the epidemic and geopolitics, some foreign-funded enterprises have begun to diversify their layout, but the pace of investment in China has not slowed down.
After the actual use of foreign capital exceeded the trillion yuan mark for the first time in 2021, my country's foreign investment continued to climb. From January to April this year, the actual use of foreign capital was 478.61 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 20.5%.
Reports from the German Chamber of Commerce in China and the American Chamber of Commerce in China show that over 70% of German-funded enterprises and over 60% of US-funded enterprises plan to increase investment in China, and many well-known multinational companies have increased their presence in China around low-carbon businesses.
Mature investments tend to seek long-term stable returns.
For foreign investment in the Chinese market, the "long-term" is reflected in the fact that no matter how the international situation changes, China's determination to expand a high level of opening up will not change, nor will its willingness to provide more market opportunities, investment opportunities and growth opportunities for the world; "Stability" is reflected in the advantages of my country's complete industrial system, perfect infrastructure and super-large market, which still have strong attractiveness.
The "overweight" of foreign capital is a solid "like" for China's market potential and economic prospects.
Through the foreign investment window, we have seen medium and long-term expectations and confidence, but we must also face up to the current pressure and difficulties.
To look at the situation and take the situation, it is necessary to separate the steady recovery of the national economic operation from January to February this year from the situation since March, otherwise it may interfere with our judgment and grasp of the real situation, changing trends, opportunities and challenges of economic operation.
In the first two months of this year, my country's industrial production accelerated, the added value of industrial enterprises above designated size increased by 7.5% year-on-year, and the high-tech manufacturing and equipment manufacturing industries showed a good growth trend; the service industry maintained recovery, and the production index increased by 4.2% year-on-year, accelerating from December last year. 1.2 percentage points; the employment situation was generally stable, with 1.63 million new jobs in urban areas; the total retail sales of consumer goods was 7,442.6 billion yuan, an increase of 6.7% year-on-year, 5.0 percentage points faster than last December; investment played a prominent role, with investment in fixed assets reaching 5,076.3 billion yuan. A year-on-year increase of 12.2%, 7.3 percentage points faster than the full year of 2021; foreign trade grew steadily, with a total import and export of goods of 6,204.4 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 13.3%... The economic recovery has shown a positive momentum, laying a solid foundation for a good start in the first quarter.
Since March, especially in April, some economic indicators have weakened. This is a short-term change brought about by the impact of the epidemic, and it is a periodical fluctuation affected by external influences.
However, in the face of new downward pressure and more severe challenges, my country's economy still shows strong resilience.
——Looking at the guaranteed supply, the basic industries have strong support.
Under the impact of the epidemic, my country's basic industries such as food and energy have maintained growth, providing strong support for fighting the epidemic and promoting economic recovery.
From the perspective of agriculture, the situation of winter wheat seedlings continues to improve, and the preparation for spring planting is progressing smoothly, and the progress is faster than the same period last year.
In terms of energy, the added value of the coal mining and washing industry increased by 13.2% year-on-year, and the added value of the oil and natural gas mining industry increased by 7.2%.
These are all conducive to ensuring the normal operation of production and life.
——Looking at stable prices, the production and sales of basic living commodities continued to grow.
In April, the added value of food manufacturing, alcoholic beverages and refined tea manufacturing above designated size increased by 0.1% and 0.5% year-on-year respectively; the output of fresh refrigerated meat and quick-frozen food increased by 20.4% and 9.3% respectively.
All of these are conducive to meeting the basic living needs of residents.
——Looking at the structure, the main engine of domestic demand is still prominent.
On the one hand, consumption is still recovering. Although the total retail sales of consumer goods in April fell by 11.1% year-on-year, e-commerce and online retail continued to grow.
From January to April, online retail sales of physical goods increased by 5.2% year-on-year, accounting for a higher proportion of retail sales of consumer goods.
On the other hand, investment in manufacturing increased by 12.2%, the fastest growth among all investment.
Meanwhile, infrastructure investment grew by 6.5%.
These all mean that investment will also play an important supporting role.
——Looking at the new kinetic energy, the resilience of new industries, new formats and new models is demonstrated.
In April, the added value of high-tech manufacturing above designated size increased by 4% year-on-year, which was better than that of all industries.
From January to April, investment in high-tech industries increased by 22% year-on-year, which was better than all investment.
Numbers and facts are the most persuasive.
Despite the trials and tribulations, the fundamentals of my country's long-term economic growth remain solid.
This is why the New York Times published an article: "China's development is an important driving force for the globalization of trade and investment, both past and present."
Steady word at the head, seek progress while steady
Over the past 40 years of reform and opening up, China's economy has been making breakthroughs, accelerating growth and creating miracles amid various difficulties, pressures, problems and challenges.
Looking back at the economic situation after the 18th National Congress of the Communist Party of China, externally, the world economy continued to slump after the international financial crisis; Sexual contradictions continue to accumulate, and the traditional development model is unsustainable.
Over 10 years, let's look at China's economy: the development balance, coordination and sustainability have been significantly enhanced, the GDP has increased from nearly 52 trillion yuan to more than 114 trillion yuan, and the per capita GDP has increased from 6,100 US dollars to more than 114 trillion yuan. 12,000 US dollars, economic strength, scientific and technological strength, and comprehensive strength have jumped to a new level, and embarked on a higher quality, more efficient, more equitable, more sustainable and safer development path.
The extraordinary 10 years, running through it is the general tone of the work of "seeking progress while maintaining stability".
Guided by new development concepts, with high-quality development as the theme, and supply-side structural reform as the main line, improve macroeconomic governance, build a modern economic system, promote scientific and technological self-reliance, grasp the strategic basis for expanding domestic demand, and fight three tough battles... …create conditions for deepening reform and opening up with a stable and sound economic environment, and promote the orderly transformation of development momentum through deepening reform and opening up to achieve sustained and stable economic growth.
Steady words take the lead, take advantage of the momentum, and achieve remarkable results.
The Central Economic Work Conference held in December 2016 clearly stated that "the general keynote of seeking progress while maintaining stability is an important principle of state governance and a methodology for doing a good job in economic work."
This is our party's precise grasp of the general trend of development and objective laws, and a brand-new summary of our party's experience in leading economic work, demonstrating strategic determination, courage and wisdom.
Adhere to the pursuit of progress while maintaining stability, whether it is facing the violent storm of anti-globalization, or the severe test of the new crown pneumonia epidemic, whether it is to solve the old problems accumulated in the process of rapid development, or the new problems that have emerged in the process of transformation and upgrading. Requirements are the general tone.
In accordance with this methodology, we will maintain our composure, respond calmly, and fight steadily, achieve the goal of the first century of struggle as scheduled, and stride forward to a new journey of modernization.
The melodious chant of "people also work and stop, can be well-off" has become a reality in the new era of socialism with Chinese characteristics.
Focusing on the current economic work requires us to uphold the requirement of "seeking progress while maintaining stability", and take the weight of "steadiness at the forefront".
This weight lies in the superposition of current economic pressures in China—it is more difficult to stabilize growth, the situation of stabilizing employment is severe, and the pressure on stabilizing prices is rising.
Faced with the intertwining of various problems, development is like sailing against the current. We must rise to the challenge, work hard, and play a greater policy role in stabilizing the economy and helping enterprises.
This weight also lies in the fact that the economic and social development during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period should be based on the promotion of high-quality development. High-quality development is the development of enhanced macroeconomic stability. Stability becomes a scarce and precious resource.
Whoever can continue to stabilize the economic market will be able to overcome the impact of the epidemic, stabilize the bottom line of people's livelihood, and seize the first opportunity in the new round of growth.
Take the overall situation into consideration, keep the word steady; follow the road and seek progress while maintaining stability.
The more complex the situation is, the more we must adhere to "steady words at the head and seek progress while maintaining stability".
Strengthen the combination of far and near strength
To do great things, there must be money.
China's economic development is facing the triple pressure of demand contraction, supply shock, and weakening expectations, and some new unfavorable factors are increasing and evolving. The complexity, severity, and uncertainty of the economic development environment are rising, and social anxiety is inevitable. .
In this regard, on the one hand, we must face up to all kinds of difficulties, pressures and challenges, so as to understand the crux and know what to do; on the other hand, we must see the overall situation. China is still the second largest economy in the world, and there is room for manoeuvre. There is a huge market, and the long-term good hard chassis will not change.
Although the pressure and difficulties exist objectively, we have a "stable" foundation and strength, the motivation and space for "advancement", and the firm confidence and strong ability to resist risks and overcome challenges.
——A series of infrastructure renovations and upgrades contain huge business opportunities.
Today's China is an economic powerhouse with increasingly perfect infrastructure, scale effects, spatial allocation effects, structural effects and social welfare effects.
my country is still in the process of industrialization and urbanization, and there is still great potential for investment.
The construction of 102 major projects in the "14th Five-Year Plan" is being accelerated. More than 2,600 projects have been decomposed and implemented in an orderly manner. Various localities have reserved 71,000 special debt projects. The annual investment in water conservancy projects and projects can be completed. About 800 billion yuan... …these engineering projects have huge growth opportunities.
——The huge consumption power released by the super-large market contains unlimited opportunities.
Today's China is an economic powerhouse with a per capita GDP of over 12,000 US dollars, a middle-income group of over 400 million people, and a total of over 150 million market players.
Affected by the outbreak of the epidemic this spring, some consumption has been suppressed, but demand has not disappeared.
The transformation and upgrading of traditional consumption, the release of new consumption potential, and the strong “blood supply” of online consumption. As the world’s second largest consumer market and the largest trader of goods, China is still a key hub of the world economic cycle, with unlimited market opportunities.
"Cultivate new types of consumption, develop information consumption, digital consumption, and green consumption, and encourage the development of new models and new formats such as customization, experience, intelligence, and fashion consumption." The "14th Five-Year Plan" and the outline of the long-term goals for 2035 will serve this big market. Outline an attractive prospect.
No one wants to miss out on such a big market.
The preparations for the 5th China International Import Expo are progressing smoothly. The contracted area of exhibitors exceeds 70% of the planned area of the exhibition area. The number of Fortune 500 and industry leaders exceeds 240, and the pharmaceutical, medical equipment, automobile and other industries are ranked among the top 10 in the world. Most of the companies have signed up to participate in the exhibition.
Many overseas exhibitors expressed their hope to continue to deepen the Chinese market and achieve greater development.
——A complete industrial system and a complete industrial chain contain strong resilience and advantages in terms of compression and impact resistance.
Today's China has a complete, independent and complete industrial system. It is an economic power with the largest industrial economy in the world.
The vast land of China can produce everything from daily necessities such as needles, threads and brains to aircraft carriers, aircraft and other heavy equipment of major powers.
This independent and complete industrial system, although the problem of "growing from big to strong" remains to be solved, it has consolidated the material foundation for modernization, and its significance in national development and security is even more significant.
Furthermore, over the years, we have unswervingly integrated into the global industrial division of labor system. Advanced manufacturing has steadily moved towards the mid-to-high end. Enterprises in various industries are deeply embedded in the global industrial chain. They are often very resilient when dealing with shocks and alleviating pressure. Large room for adjustment.
Since last year, a package of policies has been targeted and continuously increased to promote the stability and smoothness of the industrial chain and supply chain. A group of fast-growing "specialized, special and innovative" small and medium-sized enterprises have become an important cornerstone for enhancing the resilience of the industrial chain and supply chain.
At the same time, focusing on key areas such as artificial intelligence and new materials, the layout of emerging industrial chains is also being further strengthened.
The increasingly stable and competitive industrial chain and supply chain provide important support for maintaining the "stable" fundamentals and creating new momentum for "progress".
——The potential energy of a country with large human resources is gradually manifested, providing a solid support for competition in the main economic battlefield.
Today's China is an economic powerhouse with a population of more than 1.4 billion, a workforce of more than 900 million, and more than 170 million highly educated and skilled human resources.
The competition of comprehensive national strength in today's world is, in the final analysis, the competition for talents, and talents are increasingly becoming a strategic resource for promoting economic and social development.
In recent years, the central government has vigorously implemented the strategy of strengthening the country with talents. Relevant departments, provinces, autonomous regions and municipalities have successively launched a series of policies and measures to deepen the reform of the talent development system and mechanism. Significant progress has been made in the reform of key links and the construction of talent teams.
High-skilled talents polish the name card of intelligent manufacturing of manufacturing powers, scientific and technological R&D talents enhance the level of value created in China, and talents in higher education and vocational education accumulate surging power to support development.
With the deepening of reform and the advancement of the "14th Five-Year" talent development plan, a vivid situation of "everyone desires to become a talent, everyone strives to become a talent, everyone can become a talent, and everyone can develop their talents" can be expected.
The gurgling waters of thousands of industries have converged into the vast ocean of China's economy.
The Chinese people are united in their efforts, not afraid of any storms, and have the backing and confidence to overcome all difficulties and face all challenges.
Strong foundation and healthy body
"Stable" is not passive waiting and doing nothing, but a bottom line, calmness, and tension; "advance" is not just moving forward, regardless of the depth, and blindly attacking is often too hasty.
"Stability" and "progress" require not only rules and regulations, but also the support of hard work and responsibility.
To achieve the economic growth target set for this year, we must make greater and more arduous efforts.
For short-term shocks and fluctuations, we need to prescribe the right medicine and solve problems; for medium- and long-term potential release, we need to strengthen the foundation and strengthen the body.
——Relieve the difficulties of enterprises and solve the difficulties of employment.
Only when employment is stable can residents' income and livelihood be guaranteed, social wealth increase steadily, and stable growth can be supported.
Micro, small and medium-sized enterprises and individual industrial and commercial households are the main source of employment. Relieving the difficulties of enterprises is the solution to the difficulties of employment.
Since the beginning of this year, we have implemented a package of relief and assistance policies for industries, small, medium and micro enterprises and individual industrial and commercial households severely hit by the epidemic, especially tax rebates and tax reductions. The total amount for the year will reach 2.64 trillion yuan.
This is the "timely rain" and "charcoal in the snow" for the main body of the market.
The key is that various policies must be made ahead, and the pace of each work must be accelerated, whether it is tax rebates, tax reductions and fee reductions, or the issuance and use of special bonds, the start of construction of key projects, financial assistance to the real economy, and support for enterprises to stabilize jobs. The policies should be put in place as soon as possible, and the policies to be introduced should be made as early as possible to produce greater policy effects, so as to ensure that the economy operates within a reasonable range in the first half of the year and the whole year, so that the economy can return to the normal track quickly.
At the same time, efforts should be made to stabilize consumption and comprehensively implement policies to release consumption potential; tap effective investment, make up for weak links and shortcomings in infrastructure and people's livelihood, and open up broader investment space.
——Consolidate the foundation of the market and cultivate the foundation of innovation.
Giving full play to the decisive role of the market in resource allocation and better playing the role of the government is an important experience for doing economic work well in the new era.
The practice of reform and opening up has proved that which field can handle the relationship between the government and the market well, and play the decisive role of the market in allocating resources under the guidance of national policies, which field can be full of innovative vitality and all kinds of production factors can be brought into full play. .
Fairness and justice is the guarantee of market vitality and social creativity, and it is also a measure of market participants' satisfaction with policies. The government is the guardian of fair and just competition.
In recent years, my country has vigorously promoted the reform of "delegating power, delegating power, regulating services", and simplifying administration with respect for the people, which has stimulated market vitality and social creativity.
In the future, we must take advantage of the trend and continue to deepen the reform of "delegating power, regulating and serving". In terms of "delegation", we will standardize administrative power, deepen reform, reduce complexity and eliminate harshness, and create a market-oriented, legalized and international business environment. In terms of "management", Pay close attention to clear, transparent, stable and predictable regulatory rules, focus on key areas that are directly related to the safety of people's lives and property, and public interests, and severely investigate and punish illegal acts such as counterfeiting, cheating, and intellectual property infringement; , We must better assume the responsibilities of employment, education, medical care, pension, etc., and do a good job of people's livelihood with heart and emotion.
——Strengthen the foundation of development and strengthen the body of the system.
If the system is stable, the country will be stable, and if the system is strong, the country will be strong.
Resisting all risks and challenges with significant institutional advantages is the foundation for our party to unite and lead the people to create a miracle of rapid economic development and long-term social stability that is rarely seen in the world.
Since the 18th National Congress of the Communist Party of China, under the strong leadership of the Party Central Committee with Comrade Xi Jinping at its core, China has continuously improved the basic socialist economic system and basic political system, and increasingly enriched important systems that are innovative and supportive in different fields... China The institutional system of socialism with characteristics is well-defined and complete, and it is increasingly showing great institutional effectiveness in national governance.
We have to see that it is a dynamic process for the system to become more mature and stereotyped, and the modernization of governance capacity is also a dynamic process, which cannot be accomplished overnight or once and for all.
It can be expected that with the comprehensive deepening of reform and the in-depth advancement of my country's national system and national governance system, China's national system and national governance system will consolidate the foundation, enhance the advantages, make up for the shortcomings, and strengthen the weak points. Exuberant vitality.
This is also a strategic favorable condition on which my country's development and progress can rely, and an important guarantee for us to overcome all risks and challenges.
The policy toolbox has been opened, and good strategies have taken effect one after another, all aiming at one thing - one's own business.
Unswervingly do your own thing well, and you must have the spirit of "giving up whoever you are, and taking responsibility for it".
For leading cadres at all levels, it is necessary to have a sense of responsibility of "being at ease at all times", have a "big mind" in mind, be good at integrating regional and departmental work into the overall situation of the party and the country, and organically combine political economy, macro and micro, strategies and tactics. , so that the overall situation when planning, the operation is meticulous and precise; for everyone, it is to keep moving forward for their dreams and create a better tomorrow with both hands.
With the guidance of General Secretary Xi Jinping, the strong leadership of the CPC Central Committee, and the unity and struggle of the people of the whole country, China's economy is the greatest strength to move forward.
Keep going and keep going, thousands of miles can be expected.
Towards the second centenary goal, the "China" economic giant is cutting waves and sailing far away!