After the National Bureau of Statistics released the 2021 population data, local data have also been released in various places.
The first financial reporter combed the public data and found that as of now, 28 provinces have released the population data for 2021.
Judging from the published data, the resident population of Guangdong has reached 126.84 million; the population of Zhejiang has increased by 720,000, ranking first, and the population of 15 provinces has decreased.
In terms of birth population, Guangdong has been the No. 1 fertility province for four consecutive years, and Henan's birth population ranks second in the country.
Only 2 provinces have a population birth rate of more than 1% (that is, 10 per 1,000), and 10 provinces have a natural negative population growth.
Guangdong's total population ranks first for 15 consecutive years
Data show that the total population of Guangdong, the largest economic province, will reach 126.84 million in 2021. Since Guangdong first surpassed Henan to become the most populous province in 2007, the total population of Guangdong has ranked first in the country for 15 consecutive years.
Data show that Guangdong's total population in 2021 will surpass Japan's for the first time.
From the perspective of incremental changes, Guangdong's population will increase by 600,000 people in 2021, ranking second only to Zhejiang in all provinces. However, unlike Zhejiang's incremental population, which mainly flows from outside the province, Guangdong's incremental population is larger , mainly due to the high birth rate, the large number of births, and the high natural population growth rate.
Data show that the birth rate of Guangdong last year was 9.35‰, ranking fifth among the 24 provinces that have published birth data; the natural population growth rate was as high as 4.52‰, second only to Guizhou.
Last year, Guangdong had 1,183,100 births, continuing to be the No. 1 birth-producing province.
Peng Peng, executive chairman of the Guangdong Provincial Institutional Reform Research Association, analyzed the first financial analysis that there are several factors in Guangdong's large number of births: First, Chaoshan and other places are influenced by traditional clan culture, and their willingness to bear children is relatively high; second, Guangdong has a large population base. , in proportion, the total number of births is also large; third, Guangdong has a large inflow population, and the inflow population is mainly young and middle-aged.
In recent years, with the transformation and upgrading of the industry, the degree of citizenization of the foreign population has increased, and the proportion of these people who have children in Guangdong has also increased.
Peng Peng analyzed that such a huge population and such a large economy mean that Guangdong itself is a very large consumer market.
Outside Guangdong, Shandong has a resident population of 101.6999 million, continuing to rank second; Henan has a resident population of 98.83 million, ranking third.
The population of 15 provinces has decreased, and only 2 provinces have had a birth rate of more than 1%.
Judging from the change in the resident population in 2021, 13 of the 28 provinces with published data have increased population.
Among them, Zhejiang, Guangdong, Hubei, Jiangsu and Fujian ranked the top five, with a total population of more than 200,000 in these five provinces.
Among the five provinces, Hubei is due to the large population increase due to the return of many people after the full economic recovery in 2021.
The other four provinces are located on the southeast coast, namely Zhejiang, Guangdong, Jiangsu and Fujian, with a combined net population increase of 1.861 million.
Among them, Zhejiang increased by 720,000 people, ranking first in the country in terms of population increase.
Guangdong increased by 600,000, Jiangsu and Fujian increased by 281,000 and 260,000 respectively.
Among the 28 provinces, 15 provinces saw a decrease in the permanent population. Among them, Henan decreased by 580,000, Heilongjiang decreased by 460,000, and Yunnan decreased by 320,000.
Dong Yuzheng, a population expert and director of the Guangdong Population Development Research Institute, analyzed the first finance and economics. Although the total population has almost reached the warning line of negative growth, from the overall situation, the total population of the Pearl River Delta, the Yangtze River Delta and other places is still There is slow growth.
Peng Peng said that the current flow between regions is still continuing, showing a parallel trend of inter-provincial flow and intra-provincial concentration.
Among them, in the internal aspect of the province, the population of prefectures and cities is agglomerating to central cities and advantageous areas.
Taking Guangdong as an example, although Shantou in the east of Guangdong and Zhanjiang in the west of Guangdong have become provincial sub-center cities and can gather a part of the population, the current population from east, west and north of Guangdong is still gathering in the Pearl River Delta, Guangzhou and Shenzhen and other core cities. , which also reflects the development of urbanization.
In terms of birth population, 24 of the 28 provinces have released birth population data. Among them, 4 provinces will have more than 500,000 births in 2021, and Guangdong will become the only province with more than 1 million births.
For three consecutive years, Henan, the province with the largest registered population, ranked second in the number of births, second only to Guangdong.
In addition, the number of births in Henan in 2021 will be 793,000, which is also the second consecutive year that the birth population in Henan is less than 1 million.
Judging from the birth rate, only two provinces have a birth rate of more than 1%, or 10 per 1,000, namely Guizhou and Qinghai.
In addition, Guangxi, Gansu, Guangdong and Yunnan accounted for more than nine per thousand; and Jiangxi, Henan, and Fujian accounted for more than eight per thousand.
Including Shaanxi, there are 10 provinces with a birth rate higher than the national average of 7.52‰.
The vast majority of these provinces with high birth rates are located in the central and western regions, especially some western provinces, where the current economy is still underdeveloped and the urbanization rate is low.
In addition, Guangdong and Fujian, two developed provinces along the southeast coast, have a relatively high urbanization rate. These two places are affected by traditional clan culture and other factors, and their willingness to bear children is relatively high.
There are 14 provinces whose birth rate is lower than the national average, of which Heilongjiang's birth rate is only 3.59‰.
There are 10 provinces with negative natural population growth rates, mainly distributed in Northeast China, North China, the Yangtze River Delta and the central region.