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The key to the measure that the president of the United States,
Joe Biden
, and that of the European Union,
Ursula von der Leyen
, are going to announce today to reduce the dependence of the latter on
Russian gas
stems from something that happened in 2016 in Port Arthur, on the Texas-Louisiana border.
On the outskirts of that city, next to the natural channel of
Sabine Pass
, which connects the
Gulf of Mexico
with Lake Sabine - which is actually a bay - there is a regasification plant of the Cheniere company.
The facility was built to receive liquid natural gas at 160 degrees below zero from ships and return it to a gaseous state.
But in the past decade the United States has seen an unprecedented increase in oil and gas production due to the use of the technique known as 'hydraulic fracturing', or simply 'fracking'.
Today, that country
is the largest oil producer in the world
, and this year it will also become the 'number one' in gas, surpassing
Russia
(it would have achieved it even if
Vladimir Putin
had not invaded
Ukraine
and despite the hostility of the
Joe Biden administration
towards fossil fuels).
So
Cheniere
decided to transform
Sabine Pass
: instead of turning the gas from a liquid to a gas, he would do it in the opposite direction.
Once liquefied, the gas would be loaded onto ships for export.
The first shipment went to
South Korea
.
The second, to Spain, a country that has more regasification plants than any other in the EU, but that cannot forward it to its northern partners because
France
has always vetoed the construction of gas pipelines in order to protect its electricity sector, based on nuclear energy.
Six years later, natural gas from the United States is going to play a major role in the war in
Ukraine
.
The US and the EU are going to announce today
Washington
's commitment to send more natural gas to Europe so that Europe can advance in its objective of stopping importing this energy raw material from
Russia
this year.
On top of that, the measures that are expected today will not end dependence on
Russian gas
, nor will they make energy cheaper, despite the fact that yesterday, after the announcement that the US was going to export more to the EU, the reference price in the gas futures market fell 4.6%.
The first problem is that the increase in exports that is being considered
-15,000 million cubic meters-
is barely 30% of what the EU buys in
Russia
.
Second, that the gas industry in the United States is based on the free market.
That is, there are no production quotas or preferential agreements.
LNG is fixed,
therefore
, through contracts, and most of the production is already awarded.
An LNG
ship
can change destination, but for that you have to pay.
As explained by
Jason Feer
, director of intelligence at energy brokerage and consultancy
Poten & Partners
To Reuters, "almost all of the gas in the United States is already owned. It's under contract."
That means that "if Europe wants more gas, it will have to pay for it."
The reality is that there is a lack of gas all over the world.
The gas sector believes that the United States Government has a limited action maneuver to send
LNG
ships to Europe.
Last week, the Department of Energy authorized
Cheniere
to export more.
And
Washington
has asked its allies to be willing to give up certain gas shipments if the Europeans make offers for them.
But, at least in theory, the influence of these measures is limited.
Gas is expensive everywhere and the world is in danger of falling into stagflation
-inflation and recession simultaneously-
and even facing food shortages, so no government is out to do anyone any favours.
When the Fukushima
nuclear disaster occurred
in Japan in 2011, that country temporarily shut down its nuclear power plants and bought all the gas circulating in the ocean.
The ships, thus, were redirected to Japan, and the price skyrocketed.
Now, the same thing is happening, only on a much larger scale.
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