The

7.6% rise in prices

recorded in Spain in February, when Vladimir Putin had not yet launched his invasion of Ukraine, places the country as one of the countries with the

highest inflation among Western European powers

,

a

gap

that

will worsen in March

due to rising gas prices and

the lack of government measures.

According to

Eurostat

data published this Thursday,

Spain exceeds the average inflation of the EU

(6.2% in February) and

that of the Eurozone

(5.9%), due to the significant

disparities

that exist with other markets close as

France

(where the CPI rose

4.2%

in February) or

Portugal

(where the rise was

4.4%

).

Our neighboring country has spent months enjoying an inflation that is practically half that of Spain, despite the similarities in both energy markets.

In

Germany

, prices rose 5.5% in February;

in

Ireland

, 5.7%;

in

Italy

, 6.2%;

in

Greece

, 6.3%;

and in

the Netherlands,

7.3%.

However, Spain is not the continental leader in inflation, but is surpassed by

Belgium

(9.5%) and the

countries of Eastern Europe

, which have suffered a sharp rise in prices.

Lithuania

is the European country with the biggest inflation problem (14% in February), followed by Estonia (11.6%), the Czech Republic (10%), Latvia (8.8%),

Hungary

(8.4% ), Bulgaria (8.4%), Slovakia (8.3%),

Poland

(8.1%), Romania (7.9%) and Luxembourg (7.8%).

Far from improving in March,

it is foreseeable that Spain's position

among European countries

will worsen this month

, due to the fact that the Government has decided

to wait until the 29th to approve measures

that will contain the price of electricity, gas and electricity. Petroleum.

Its impact on inflation will not be registered until

April

, compared to the measures approved in other European countries in which the incidence will already be perceived this month.

The Executive is working on

three levers:

grant

direct aid

to those most affected by higher prices (a measure that would have no impact on inflation), approve

tax cuts

and

cap prices

, which would reduce the final price paid by consumers and yes it would serve to contain the index.

The delay in taking measures will not only prevent the situation from being fixed, but could

further accelerate the rise in prices.

In fact, the

strike

that transporters are carrying out to protest the rise in gasoline is already causing shortages of some basic goods, which in turn generates price increases for the little gender that is available.

Average inflation of 7.8% in 2022

Although the rise in prices began last year, long before Russia unleashed the war in Ukraine, it is true that

the invasion has aggravated the situation

and has forced inflation forecasts for this year to be updated upwards.

Today, the Funcas

panel of economists

revised its

average CPI expectation for 2022 upwards by more than two points, to 5.4%,

although some of the study services that make up the panel were even more pessimistic and were already talking of an

average inflation of 7.8%

in the twelve months (more than double that of 2021, which was 3.1%).

The consensus, at 5.4%, is

biased lower

because some of the panel members have not submitted their most up-to-date projections.

In fact, the lowest forecast is 3.2% for Spain, a figure that has already been widely exceeded by the expectations of

the European Central Bank,

which forecasts

an average CPI of 5.1% in Europe

that could reach up to

7 .1

%

if the conflict becomes entrenched.

Given the gap between national and European inflation, an average inflation of around 3% for our country is out of the question.

"

Pre-existing upward tensions,

stemming from higher commodity prices and bottlenecks,

have worsened after the invasion of Ukraine

, making the inflation outlook even more uncertain. The median forecast for the headline inflation rate in 2022 has been raised by 1.9 percentage points to 5.4%, and the core figure stands at 2.8%, eight tenths more than in the previous consensus", explained Funcas.

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Know more

  • Europe

  • Petroleum

  • Vladimir Putin

According to AirefHacienda, it is collecting 3,500 million euros more per year of VAT due to inflation

CPIThe INE corrects itself and announces that inflation grew by 7.6% in February, the highest rise since 1986

Inflation The war raises the average monthly energy bill of Spanish households to 170 euros, 30% more

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