(Observation of the two sessions) Five key words to decode China's economic situation in 2022
China News Agency, Beijing, March 8th: Five key words to decode China's economic situation in 2022
China News Agency reporter Liu Liang
The 2022 National Two Sessions are being held in Beijing.
In response to the challenges facing China's economy this year, many members of the National Committee of the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference took the pulse of China's economy around the following keywords.
GDP growth
After achieving a GDP growth rate of 8.1% in 2021, China has proposed a GDP growth rate of around 5.5% this year.
Wang Yiming, member of the National Committee of the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference and former deputy director of the Development Research Center of the State Council, pointed out that last year, China's GDP exceeded 114 trillion yuan, and China can still expect to maintain about 5.5% of such a volume, which is in line with the potential growth level of China's economy at this stage. .
"The setting of the expected target for economic growth this year is a medium-to-high-speed growth on a high base, which reflects China's confidence in the achievement of the expected target. This confidence is not only based on China's accumulated experience in dealing with various challenges such as the new crown epidemic in recent years. On the basis, it also comes from the fact that China has sufficient material conditions." Wang Yiming said.
In his view, the current situation at home and abroad is severe and complicated. To achieve this expected growth target, China needs to better coordinate the internal and external aspects and grasp the counter-cyclical and cross-cyclical regulation.
market subject
"If I were to summarize one of the highlights of this year's government work report, 'market players' is an essential keyword," said Yang Weimin, deputy director of the Economic Committee of the National Committee of the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference.
"Last year, China's total GDP reached 114 trillion yuan (RMB), and the contribution of market players such as enterprises is indispensable." Yang Weimin pointed out that at present, the number of market players in China has exceeded 150 million, of which individual industrial and commercial households have exceeded 100 million. .
The role of the government is to promote the development of market players and help enterprises tide over difficulties.
In his view, the current ability of small, medium and micro enterprises to resist risks is weak, and they are often faced with the dual dilemma of market shrinkage and raw material price increases. The policies proposed in this year's government work report, such as tax reduction and fee reduction, and reduction of corporate financing costs, are hoped to pass These measures allow small, medium and micro enterprises to survive. Only when enterprises survive can they talk about development issues, create jobs for the society, and stabilize the job market.
Foreign trade prospects
Last year, China's foreign trade hit a series of new highs, driving the annual GDP growth by 1.7 percentage points, with a contribution rate of 20.9%.
In Yang Weimin's view, China's foreign trade maintained rapid growth last year partly because many major economies were still mired in the quagmire of the epidemic and their production capacity has not yet fully recovered.
If the epidemic situation in the world's major economies is better controlled this year, production capacity is restored, and external demand weakens, the growth rate of China's foreign trade is expected to decline relatively.
Liu Shijin, deputy director of the Economic Committee of the National Committee of the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference, also pointed out that as the global economy gradually returns to normal, China's foreign trade exports are likely to gradually return to normal development.
In his view, under the background of the normalized development of foreign trade, the growth rate of foreign trade may slow down. China needs to pay more attention to expanding domestic demand and introduce relevant measures to match it.
energy security
In the context of the "dual carbon" goal, last year, there was a "movement-style" carbon reduction phenomenon in some parts of China, which led to the shortage of coal and electricity in some areas, and aroused social concerns about energy security.
Wang Yiming emphasized that carbon reduction should be carried out step by step, and the withdrawal of traditional energy should be based on China's basic national conditions, where coal is the mainstay, and on the basis of safe and reliable alternatives to new energy.
In the process of realizing the "dual carbon" goal, it is necessary to prevent short-termization of long-term goals, turn protracted warfare into assault warfare, prevent "sporty" carbon reduction, and avoid "one size fits all".
He suggested that China needs to establish a pollution reduction and carbon reduction mechanism as soon as possible to avoid simply using administrative measures to decompose indicators layer by layer.
food security
Continuing to protect the jobs of more than 1.4 billion Chinese people is also one of the priorities of this year's government work report.
Li Heyue, a member of the National Committee of the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference and a well-known water conservancy expert, said frankly that although China's grain production achieved 18 consecutive harvests last year, in the face of the uncertainty of the epidemic and the turbulence of the international situation, many countries are facing severe food security, and the world grain market is also extremely high. Instability, these remind China to always tighten the strings of food security.
"China has a population of more than 1.4 billion and a large population base. It is impossible to completely rely on the international market for food security," Li Heyue said.
In his view, to do a good job in China's food security work, the key is to "keep the red line of 1.8 billion mu of arable land."
"Cultivated land is the lifeblood of food production. Only by protecting the area of cultivated land can we better protect the rice bowl in the hands of the people." (End)