China News Service, Washington, January 25 (Reporter Sha Hanting) The International Monetary Fund (IMF) released the updated content of the "World Economic Outlook Report" on the 25th local time. It is expected that the global economy will grow by 4.4% in 2022, compared with last October. The forecast was lowered by 0.5 percentage points.

  The IMF believes that the current global economic conditions are lower than expected, mainly due to the reintroduction of measures to restrict the movement of people as the mutant strain of Omicron spreads widely, and the increase in inflation under the influence of rising energy prices and supply chain disruptions. and spread beyond expectations.

  The IMF expects global economic growth to slow from 5.9% in 2021 to 4.4% in 2022, down 0.5 percentage points from its October 2021 forecast.

The IMF also expects global economic growth to slow to 3.8% in 2023, 0.2 percentage points higher than the October 2021 forecast.

This forecast is premised on a significant improvement in the situation in most countries by the end of 2022.

  Specifically, the economy of developed economies is expected to grow by 3.9% this year, down 0.6 percentage points from the previous forecast; next year, it will grow by 2.6%, up 0.4 percentage points from the previous forecast.

The economy of emerging market and developing economies is expected to grow by 4.8% this year, down 0.3 percentage point from the previous forecast; next year, it will grow by 4.7%, up 0.1 percentage point from the previous forecast.

  Among the major economies, the US economy is expected to grow by 4% and 2.6% respectively this year and next; the euro zone economy will grow by 3.9% and 2.5% respectively; the Chinese economy will grow by 4.8% and 5.2% respectively.

  The IMF believes that global economic growth faces downside risks.

The emergence of new mutant strains could make the outbreak more persistent, once again disrupting economic activity.

Supply chain issues, energy price volatility and local wage pressures mean there is greater uncertainty about inflation trends and policy paths.

Higher interest rates in advanced economies could raise financial stability risks and could put capital flows, currencies and fiscal conditions in emerging market and developing economies at risk.

In addition, escalating geopolitical tensions will lead to other global risks, while increased climate change means a higher chance of severe natural disasters.

  IMF指出,在当前形势下,实施有效的全球卫生战略比以往任何时候都更加重要。为了防止更多危险变异毒株的出现,必须在全球范围内确保民众能够获得新冠疫苗、检测工具等。各经济体需加强生产、改善国内供应并增强国际分配公平性。货币政策方面,多国需要继续收紧银根,以控制通胀压力;财政政策方面,各经济体应优先考虑公共卫生和社会保障支出。

  IMF第一副总裁吉塔·戈皮纳特当天发表博客文章说,各经济体应进行有效国际合作,确保全球在今年摆脱疫情困扰。(完)