my country's economy continues to recover and has not changed
The latest data shows that according to preliminary calculations, in 2021, my country's gross domestic product (GDP) will be 114.367 trillion yuan, an increase of 8.1% over the previous year at constant prices.
This year, in the face of a complex and severe development environment, my country's epidemic prevention and control and economic and social development continued to maintain its leading position in the world. The main goals and tasks of economic and social development throughout the year were well accomplished, and the "14th Five-Year Plan" achieved a good start.
How will my country's economy trend in 2022?
What specific measures will be taken to expand domestic demand, especially in promoting consumption?
How to do a good job of ensuring energy supply and price stability?
On January 18, the National Development and Reform Commission held a press conference to respond to relevant hot issues.
Confidence in a smooth start to the first quarter
At present, the international environment is becoming more complex and severe, and the problem of unbalanced and insufficient domestic development is still prominent.
Yuan Da, director of the National Economic Comprehensive Department and spokesperson of the National Development and Reform Commission, said that in 2022, my country's economic development will face many pressures and challenges. Partial epidemics will directly affect residents' consumption, investment growth is also subject to some constraints, and foreign trade imports and exports are uncertain. The production of enterprises is faced with problems such as shortage of factors.
"Looking forward to the trend of the whole year, we have the confidence, conditions and ability to promote the stable, healthy and sustainable development of the economy." Yuan Da said, from the perspective of development foundation, the advantages of my country's complete industrial system have continued to be demonstrated, the resilience of the industrial chain has been continuously enhanced, and people's lives have continued to grow. Improvement, the society maintains harmony and stability, and the ability to resist risks and shocks is further improved.
From the perspective of factor conditions, the ability to guarantee the supply of energy and raw materials has been significantly enhanced.
High-quality coal production capacity has been released, prices have dropped significantly, thermal coal inventory has been available for more than 20 days, and power supply has been stable and orderly.
Chip output has grown rapidly. In 2021, the output of integrated circuits will increase by 33.3% over the previous year, and the supply of automotive chips will gradually increase.
Yuan Da said that from the perspective of endogenous power, my country has accelerated the promotion of the formation of a strong domestic market and taken new steps to build a new development pattern.
The income of residents continues to increase, the level of social security has been steadily improved, the consumption structure has been continuously upgraded, and the potential for consumption growth is huge.
Traditional industries are accelerating their expansion towards digitization, networking and intelligence, green and low-carbon transformation is accelerating, and emerging industries are booming.
From the perspective of policy support, my country has strengthened the organic combination of cross-cyclical and counter-cyclical macro-control policies, and has accelerated the opening of "stuck points" and "blocking points" that restrict the economic cycle, and policies conducive to economic stability have been introduced one after another.
At the same time, there is still a lot of room for macro policy, and there are many policy reserve tools.
"Generally speaking, the situation of my country's economic recovery and development has not changed, the factors of production that support high-quality development have not changed, and the fundamentals of long-term improvement have not changed. The reasonable range is full of confidence." Yuan Da said.
Consumption will maintain recovery growth
Traditional festivals such as Spring Festival and Lantern Festival are coming soon.
A few days ago, the National Development and Reform Commission issued the "Notice on Doing a Good Job in Promoting Consumption in the Near-term", proposing ten measures such as adapting measures to local conditions to meet holiday consumption needs, expanding county-level rural consumption, and expanding ice and snow consumption.
"Since the outbreak of the epidemic, various localities and departments have introduced a series of policy measures to promote consumption, and the effects have continued to show, and the consumer market has gradually recovered." Jin Xiandong, director of the Policy Research Office of the National Development and Reform Commission and spokesman, said that in 2021, final consumption expenditure will The contribution rate of economic growth was 65.4%.
With the effective control of the epidemic, the further effects of consumption-promoting policies, and the further introduction of new policies, consumption will continue to maintain a recovery growth.
Jin Xiandong introduced that the National Development and Reform Commission will, on the basis of unremitting efforts to prevent and control the epidemic, adhere to the strategic basis of expanding domestic demand, deepen the supply-side structural reform, open up all links of production, distribution, circulation, and consumption, and tap residents' consumption. Potential, promote the expansion of total consumption and quality improvement, enhance people's sense of gain, happiness, and security, and constantly consolidate the fundamental role of consumption in economic development.
Jin Xiandong said that it is necessary to combine the expansion of consumption with the improvement of people's quality of life, promote the creation of a high-quality consumption supply system with rich content, excellent quality and reasonable structure, guide enterprises to increase the supply of cost-effective goods and services, and fully meet the needs of residents. change and improve consumer demand.
We will formulate and issue relevant policies and measures in a timely manner to increase residents' income and reduce burdens, and support the continued expansion of consumption with the general increase in the income of urban and rural residents.
"Encourage green consumption to lead green production." Jin Xiandong said that it is necessary to vigorously improve the comprehensive level of e-commerce, express delivery into rural areas and the modernization level of agricultural product circulation, and improve the county and village three-level e-commerce service system and express logistics distribution system.
Strengthen the construction of the consumer credit system and quality standard system, improve the diversified consumer rights protection mechanism and dispute resolution mechanism, standardize the market order, strengthen the supervision of the quality and safety of consumer products, and create a safe, honest and trustworthy consumption environment.
Ensuring a secure and stable supply of energy
Affected by a variety of factors at home and abroad, at the end of September 2021, there will be a shortage of coal power supply in some areas of my country.
In this regard, the National Development and Reform Commission, together with all relevant parties, gave full play to the role of the inter-ministerial coordination mechanism for coal, electricity, oil and gas transportation guarantee work, strengthened overall coordination in response to prominent contradictions and problems, and promoted the work of ensuring energy supply and stabilizing prices to achieve phased results. Returning to a reasonable range, the coal storage in power plants has reached the highest level in history for the same period, the power supply has continued to be stable, and the supply of natural gas resources is relatively sufficient.
Li Yunqing, director of the Economic Operation Regulation Bureau of the National Development and Reform Commission, said that at present, the national energy supply is generally stable, but the supply and demand situation and the international market environment are still relatively complicated.
In response to the difficulties and challenges faced in ensuring energy supply, the National Development and Reform Commission will adhere to problem orientation and goal orientation, continue to deepen the construction of the energy production, supply, storage and marketing system, and provide a solid and reliable energy guarantee for economic and social development.
Li Yunqing said that it is necessary to ensure a safe and stable supply of energy.
Guide coal-producing provinces, regions and coal production enterprises to maintain normal production, sales and delivery during the Spring Festival, and to do a good job in connecting coal production, transportation and sales in a timely manner.
Strengthen the operation and management of coal-fired and gas-fired units, and increase the output of new energy power generation through multiple channels.
Promote full-load production of domestic oil and gas fields, and maintain safe and stable imports of crude oil, pipeline gas, and liquefied natural gas (LNG).
Make sure the masses are warm for the winter.
Resolutely adhere to the bottom line of energy consumption for people's livelihood, and continue to optimize natural gas, electricity, and coal plans for "suppressing non-profits and protecting people".
The clean heating in the northern region insists that electricity should be used for electricity, gas should be used for gas, and coal should be used for coal.
"Coordinate power generation and heating supply and guarantee the use of coal for raw materials, and urge enterprises to sign and fulfill medium- and long-term coal contracts." Li Yunqing said, optimize the operation mode of the power grid and make full use of cross-provincial and cross-regional transmission channels.
Give full play to the advantages of "one network in the whole country" for natural gas, and focus on strengthening the dispatching guarantee for the northern region, especially the resource-constrained regions.
Take multiple measures to ensure supply in a scientific way to meet the demand for rational energy use in economic and social development.
(Our reporter Liu Kun)