Make good use of the industry stably and have a window of entry
Gu Yang
Industry is the mainstay of the national economy, and if the industry is stable, the economy is stable.
To stabilize the growth of the industrial economy, it is necessary to break through the blockages and ensure the smooth circulation of the industrial economy, but also to tap the potential of demand, expand the new space for industrial development, improve the industrial development environment, and improve the accuracy of policy support.
The timing and intensity of policy implementation should be properly grasped, and the relationship between short-term goals and long-term goals should be handled in a coordinated manner.
The November data released by the National Bureau of Statistics showed that the year-on-year growth rate of my country's industrial value added above designated size further rebounded to 3.8%.
Industrial production was better than expected, thanks to the support of strong exports and guaranteed energy supply.
In November, the production of industrial products such as mobile phones and integrated circuits maintained a relatively high level of prosperity, and the supply scale of electricity and heat increased significantly. The production and sales of new energy vehicles that were once affected by the shortage of chips reached a record high.
Industry is the mainstay of the national economy, and if the industry is stable, the economy is stable.
Since the beginning of this year, my country’s industrial production has overcome unfavorable factors such as the new crown pneumonia epidemic, flood conditions, and tight supply of some energy sources and raw materials, and has generally continued a steady recovery.
Especially since the beginning of the fourth quarter, under the combined efforts of energy supply and price stabilization and policy relief, the recovery of industrial production has further accelerated, making an important contribution to maintaining the stable operation of the macro economy.
However, it should also be noted that the recovery of the industrial economy is still unstable and uneven, the structural differentiation among industries, regions and enterprises is still expanding, and the cost impact of rising raw material prices on downstream enterprises, especially small and medium-sized enterprises, continues to appear. , Foreign trade imports and exports are also facing a high level of correction.
In addition, the lag in the recovery of household consumption and investment, the tightening of energy factor constraints, and the obstruction of key links in the supply chain of the industrial chain have also had a greater impact on the recovery of the industrial economy, and market expectations have fallen.
On the whole, my country’s industrial economy will continue to advance under pressure next year, and industrial production should seek “progress” in a timely and appropriate manner on the basis of maintaining “stability”, and strive to balance the relationship between short-term response and medium- and long-term development.
On the one hand, in the short term, we must properly respond to the impact of the epidemic on industrial production caused by the spread of the epidemic, and strive to maintain a stable and orderly industrial production; on the other hand, we must continue to deepen the supply-side structural reform in the medium and long term to promote the high-quality development of the industrial economy.
To stabilize the growth of the industrial economy, it is necessary to break through the blocking points and ensure the smooth circulation of the industrial economy.
The Central Economic Work Conference pointed out that to deepen the supply-side structural reform, the focus is on smoothing the domestic cycle, breaking through the supply constraints, and opening up production, distribution, circulation, and consumption.
For the industrial economy, efforts should be made to do a good job in the "three stability", that is, to stabilize supply, stabilize prices, and stabilize the supply chain of the industrial chain.
Stabilizing supply means solidly promoting energy security and supply; stabilizing prices means increasing the effective supply of bulk raw materials in the market and flexibly using national reserves to carry out market regulation; stabilizing the supply chain of the industrial chain means promoting the upper, middle and lower reaches of the industrial chain, large and small enterprises Integrate innovation and promote the development of the industrial chain and supply chain.
To stabilize industrial economic growth, it is necessary to tap the potential of demand and expand new space for industrial development.
Demand contraction is one of the three pressures facing my country's economic development, and it is also a key factor affecting industrial economic growth.
Expanding effective demand is an important way to expand the supply space, and the improvement of the supply space is inseparable from the support of effective investment.
In this regard, it is necessary to accelerate the implementation of major projects, promote technological transformation of enterprises in key areas, cultivate new consumption models and new business forms, tap consumption potential, and stabilize the basic situation of stable and positive foreign trade in foreign trade.
To stabilize industrial economic growth, it is necessary to improve the industrial development environment and improve the accuracy of policy support.
A good development environment is an important starting point for the industrial economy to respond to external shocks and achieve stable growth, and precise and powerful policy support is a strong engine to promote high-quality industrial development.
In this process, we must not only pay attention to the combined effect of various policies such as fiscal finance and industrial development, but also earnestly mobilize the enthusiasm and initiative of industrial enterprises themselves to form a two-wheel drive effect of the government and the market.
Stabilizing industrial economic growth is a prerequisite for promoting high-quality industrial development. It is necessary to make full use of the current window period for industrial economic stability and progress, properly grasp the timing and intensity of policy implementation, and coordinate the relationship between short-term goals and long-term goals. , To truly promote the quality, efficiency, and power changes of industrial development.