China News Service, November 4th. Chen Guanghua, deputy director of the Animal Husbandry and Veterinary Bureau of the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, said on the 4th that from the overall situation of animal husbandry, the country's animal husbandry production has developed steadily since the beginning of this year, and the market supply of major animal products is relatively abundant.
It is expected that this year's meat and milk production may hit a record high, and the production of poultry and eggs will remain stable, ensuring a good production basis for market supply during the New Year's Day and Spring Festival.
Data map: Consumers are buying eggs in a supermarket in Taiyuan City, Shanxi Province.
Photo by China News Agency reporter Zhang Yun
The Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs held a press conference on the afternoon of the 4th. At the meeting, reporters asked questions. Since October, the price of live pigs in my country has stopped falling. My question is how is the current situation and trend of my country's pork supply?
Will there be a substantial rebound in pig prices in November and December, and will the supply and prices of livestock products such as meat, eggs and milk in my country be affected this winter and next spring?
Chen Guanghua first introduced the production of live pigs.
Live pig production can be said to have fully recovered in the second quarter of this year. From June to September this year, the national average price of fat pigs for slaughter dropped all the way and fell below the cost line.
The fourth quarter has entered the peak season for pork consumption, and market prices have rebounded, and they have oscillated and stabilized in recent days.
According to the monitoring of the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, on November 3, the national average price of live pigs was 16.04 yuan per kilogram, which was slightly higher than the breeding cost line, and the breeding losses were alleviated.
Data map: Consumers are buying pork.
Photo by China News Agency reporter Zhang Yun
"According to our analysis, the main reason for the recent rebound in pork prices is consumption driven, and the fundamentals of relatively loose market supply have not changed." Chen Guanghua pointed out that in September, the number of live pigs slaughtered by slaughter companies above designated size was 25.09 million, a year-on-year increase of 95.2%. .
In October, more pigs were slaughtered, reaching 30.23 million, a year-on-year increase of 111%.
In the breeding link, according to the monitoring of the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, since March, the number of newborn piglets per month in large-scale pig farms across the country has been more than 30 million, and it has continued to grow.
These piglets can be put on the market after six months of fattening. It is expected that the number of fat pigs on the market will increase significantly from the fourth quarter of this year to the first quarter of next year, and the relative oversupply of live pigs will continue for some time.
At present, the national stock of reproductive sows is still 6% more than the normal holding, and it is expected that it will not be adjusted to a reasonable level until the beginning of next year.
"I hope everyone buys more pork and eats more pork. This will not only enrich the nutrition of the people, but also alleviate the management difficulties of the farmers." Chen Guanghua said.
Chen Guanghua said that in the next step, the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs will follow the requirements of the pig production control plan, closely follow the changes in the number of reproductive sows across the country and across the country, issue early warnings in a timely manner, implement hierarchical control responsibilities, and link up and down to stabilize pig production.
All localities must maintain the continuity and stability of policies on land use, environmental protection, loans, and insurance, and in particular, prevent borrowing and suspension of loans, and provide assistance to farmers who are experiencing serious difficulties in their operations.
To take advantage of this opportunity, it is recommended that the majority of farm households arrange live pigs for slaughter in an orderly manner, and do not blindly gambling on the market outlook because of the current rise in pig prices, and do not rush to expand production capacity to avoid greater losses in the future.
Regarding the supply of eggs and other livestock and poultry products, Chen Guanghua said that after the National Day, due to the increase in consumer demand and the increase in breeding costs, the price of eggs has risen in a wave. The national egg market price has risen from 4 yuan per catty to October. The price of 5.2 yuan in the last ten days has returned to below 5 yuan in recent days.
Due to the high reproduction rate of laying hens and a relatively short production cycle, producers can adjust production plans relatively quickly based on market signals.
With the recent start of production of new laying hens and the reduction of phased out laying hens, egg production will increase simultaneously, and subsequent market supply is guaranteed.
Chen Guanghua said that from the overall situation of the animal husbandry industry, the country's animal husbandry production has developed steadily since this year, and the market supply of major livestock products is relatively abundant.
According to statistics from the National Bureau of Statistics, the national pork output in the first three quarters was 39.17 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 38%; beef output was 4.68 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 3.9%; mutton output was 3.41 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 5.3%; poultry output was 17.02 million tons , An increase of 3.8% year-on-year; milk production was 25.14 million tons, an increase of 8% year-on-year.
It is expected that this year's meat and milk production may hit a record high, and the production of poultry and eggs will remain stable, ensuring a good production basis for market supply during the New Year's Day and Spring Festival.