One catty rose by 1 yuan, almost every day!
No "egg" set!
Will it continue to rise?
Since July, the price of egg futures has continued to fall, but the sales price on the spot market has been on the contrary, showing a rapid upward trend. The increase in the most recent month has exceeded 20%.
One catty rose by one, and the wholesale price of eggs rose rapidly
The reporter came to an agricultural product wholesale market in Shanghai, where more than 60 tons of eggs are traded every day.
Li Zengping has been engaged in egg wholesale for more than 20 years. He told reporters that his eggs come from all over the country and sell more than 16 tons a day. Since July, the purchase price has risen almost every day, and the wholesale price has also risen sharply.
Shanghai egg wholesaler Li Zengping: At the beginning of last month, it was about 4 yuan per catty, and now it has risen to about 5 yuan and 8 yuan per catty, which is an increase of one yuan.
Li Zengping said that although prices have risen, his sales have remained stable.
The reporter also visited other wholesalers. They all stated that the wholesale price of eggs rose by about 1 yuan per catty in the past month.
And these days are still rising, the overall sales are stable, but the current price is at a high level.
The reporter went to a farmer's market in Lanxi, Zhejiang. It mainly sells local eggs. Merchants said that since July, the purchase price of eggs has risen, the wholesale price has also risen, and the overall sales have declined.
Ms. Wen, an egg wholesaler in Lanxi, Zhejiang: The sales volume in July was about 30% lower than that in June. Today, it has increased by a jin per catty. We don’t know how to do it.
According to data from the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, the national average wholesale price of eggs was 4.44 yuan per catty on July 1, and has continued to rise since then, reaching 5.25 yuan on August 8, an increase of 0.81 yuan per catty.
The purchase price of eggs has risen sharply, and farmers have expanded their scale
The wholesale price of eggs has risen sharply, have the upstream farmers benefited?
What do they think about price increases, and how do they respond?
The reporter came to a chicken farm in Lanxi, Zhejiang. Zhang Lizhong, the person in charge, was packing today’s eggs. She told the reporter that she now has 40,000 laying hens and lays about 4,000 catties a day. Eat less, and the daily egg production has dropped by one to two hundred catties, but the price of eggs has risen recently, and the income is not bad.
Zhang Lizhong, the person in charge of a laying hen farm in Lanxi, Zhejiang: In early July, it reached RMB 4 and RMB 4, but now it has risen by nearly one RMB. All expenses add up to one pound per catty, and 4,000 catties earn 4,000 yuan per day.
Zhang Lizhong said that raising layer chickens always lose money for a few months and make money. The whole thing is enough. Now it is normal to make one pound per catty. He still has 40,000 chicks in the brooding house and waits until the end of the year to start production. If the eggs are left, the output will double.
At another local chicken farm, Xu Ruixin, the person in charge, was checking the growth of laying hens in the chicken coop. He told reporters that there are 70,000 laying hens. Because of the automated production line, 4 people can manage them. Recently, the price of eggs is high. Increase, the income is naturally good, but their own costs are also rising.
Xu Ruixin, the person in charge of a laying hen farm in Lanxi, Zhejiang: The cost per catty was around RMB 4, but last year was only RMB 5 and RMB 3, which was an increase of 20 to 30%. Now the ex-factory price is around RMB 5.1, which is still a little bit profit.
Xu Ruixin said that the cost of eggs is mainly feed, with an average of 2.2 to 2.3 catties of feed, yielding a catty of eggs. In the past, corn was 1 yuan per catty, but now it has risen to 1.5 yuan. Soybean meal is also rising, so the cost is rising rapidly.
My own farm is expanding, because only the larger the scale and the higher the degree of automation, the cost will be lower.
Xu Ruixin, the person in charge of a laying hen farm in Lanxi, Zhejiang: The new hen house has been built, and we plan to raise 40,000 more laying hens. By then, the daily output may exceed 10,000 catties.
Zhu Zhaohui, deputy director of Zhejiang Lanxi Animal Husbandry, Agriculture, Machinery and Fishery Development Center: To develop into scale and mechanization to reduce costs, the benefits are good, and the enthusiasm is also high. Everyone is still willing to breed.
Egg prices are strong in the short term and are expected to fall in late September
The purchase price and wholesale price of eggs have risen rapidly, but at the same time, the price of egg futures has continued to fluctuate downward. What is the reason for this, and what will the future trend of egg prices be?
According to data from the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, since May this year, the average wholesale price of eggs has remained at about 4.5 yuan per catty.
After mid-July, it began to rise rapidly and broke the 5 yuan per catty mark.
According to market analysis, affected by the low egg prices and the losses of farmers last year, the number of laying hens in the country continued to decline. In April of this year, it was 1.183 billion, which was at a historical low level. Since then, it has started to rebound.
Zhou Xiaoqiu, chief agricultural analyst at Guotai Junan Futures: First, the stock of laying hens is low; second, the high temperature has led to a decline in the rate of laying hens, resulting in relatively tight supply and relatively stable demand. Therefore, spot prices have seen seasonal increases.
Industry insiders believe that the increase in the price of eggs has accounted for a large part of the increase in feed costs. From a historical point of view, it is normal to earn 1 yuan per catty of eggs. The profitability of farmers is not very large, and for the next market situation , The industry said it remains optimistic in the short term, and prices are expected to remain high.
Zhu Chaohui, deputy director of Zhejiang Lanxi Animal Husbandry, Agricultural Machinery and Fishery Development Center: After the school starts, the sales of eggs are still quite large, and we need to replenish some goods.
Immediately after school starts, it is National Day and Mid-Autumn Festival, and the demand for eggs is still relatively large.
In the futures market, after reaching the highest price of 10,162 yuan per ton in late April this year, the main egg contract began to fluctuate downwards. As of the afternoon of August 6th, it closed at 9154 yuan per ton.
According to industry analysts, in April and May this year, a large number of laying hens have been restocked across the country, and the stock volume has begun to rise. Coupled with the colder weather after September, egg production is expected to rise sharply. Futures and spot prices are trending opposite, reflecting investors’ Not optimistic about the future price of eggs.
Zhou Xiaoqiu, chief agricultural analyst at Guotai Junan Futures: Short-term egg spot prices will continue to remain high. Around mid-September, after the Mid-Autumn Festival stocking season is over, it will be superimposed on the increase in the stock of laying hens, and the price will drop significantly after the Mid-Autumn Festival. state.