According to the Tankan released by the Bank of Japan on the 1st, it is expected that the economic judgment three months from now will improve significantly in accommodation and eating and drinking services, which will continue to be severely affected by the new coronavirus.
Whether or not vaccination proceeds as expected will have a major impact on the future economic recovery.
In the Bank of Japan's Tankan = Corporate Short-term Economic Observation Survey, the index showing the outlook for economic judgment three months ahead is expected to improve by 2 points from this time to +3 points in the non-manufacturing industry of large companies. ..
The overall improvement is expected to be small, of which 27 points are expected to be improved for accommodation and eating and drinking services, and 23 points are expected to be improved for personal services such as amusement parks and theaters. In response to this, the outlook is expected to improve significantly in industries where the difficult situation continues.
This is because it is expected that the number of customers will recover due to the acceleration of vaccination, and the prospect of improvement is particularly large among all industries.
Therefore, whether or not vaccination proceeds as expected will greatly affect the future economic recovery.
Expectations for recovery of accommodation facility usage
At accommodation facilities that have been suffering from a decrease in the number of passengers due to the effects of the new coronavirus, we expect that the number of passengers will return in the future as vaccination progresses.
At the ryokan in Akiho Onsen, Taihaku-ku, Sendai, reservations have increased since June, and usage has recovered to about 70% of the average year on weekends.
At this ryokan, vaccination has progressed mainly among the elderly, and the number of infected people in the prefecture has decreased, which is believed to have eased the sense of caution about travel.
In the future, if vaccination progresses even among people under the age of 64, I expect that the number of customers will approach the same level as usual after autumn.
For this reason, in anticipation of a recovery in demand, we plan to renovate the hall for banquets and other events into a semi-private restaurant and open it around February next year in order to create an environment where guests can spend more peace of mind.
We are also planning to increase the number of rooms with beds that are popular with the elderly.
Kansaburo Sato, president of Hotel Sakan, said, "I feel that everyone's desire to go out has gradually taken shape. It's because everyone's tastes and the way they travel are changing. I want to offer new products. "