Six highlights highlight China's economic stability and improvement
【Economy Interface】
Editor's note
In the first half of this year, under the impact of the epidemic, China’s economic efforts to nurture new opportunities amidst the crisis and open up new opportunities amidst changes, handed in an exciting answer: the year-on-year growth in the second quarter turned from negative to positive, achieving rapid recovery and steady recovery. In the context of the raging epidemic abroad and the severe shrinking of world economy and trade, such achievements are truly commendable and demonstrate the strong resilience and vitality of China's economy.
Not only that, the Chinese economy has shown many bright spots in the test of wind and rain: summer grain harvest, employment situation is stable and improving, high-tech manufacturing is rebounding strongly, modern service industry is growing well, the popularity of online retailing continues, and the import and export of goods is better than It is expected that these new trends will not only bring about rapid changes in people's lives, but also inject continuous confidence and momentum into economic and social development, and will surely promote China's economic ship to ride the wind and waves and travel steadily.
Summer grain harvests, "three rural" ballasts are stable
【data】
In the first half of the year, the value-added of agriculture increased by 3.8% year-on-year, and the growth rate was 0.3 percentage points faster than the first quarter. Among them, the second quarter increased by 3.9%, 0.4 percentage points faster than the first quarter. The total output of summer grains nationwide was 142.81 million tons, an increase of 1.21 million tons or 0.9% over the previous year. The agricultural planting structure continued to be optimized, and the sown area of rapeseed and other cash crops increased.
【Case】
After more than 10 days of agricultural machinery competition, 1,147 acres of wheat grains from Jiankun Family Farm in Huagou Town, Gaoqing County, Shandong Province returned to the warehouse, and the newly sown summer corn was growing. With the successful completion of the three summers production, "farmer" Zhou Jiankun finally made room to take stock of the first season's harvest this year.
"This year's wheat has a double harvest, with a yield of nearly 600 kilograms per mu. It continues to maintain a steady growth momentum." Speaking of the initial state, Zhou Jiankun was not as relaxed as it is now. During the epidemic, the masses could not hire people in isolation at home, and even the transportation of production materials was not smooth. What to do with this thousand mu of winter wheat? Seeing that the spring plowing was about to come, Zhou Jiankun ran into the wheat field wearing a mask every day, looking for a solution.
At this time, the Gaoqing County Agriculture and Rural Bureau was more anxious than Zhou Jiankun. According to Wang Yunhe, head of the Agricultural Technology Extension Service Center of Gaoqing County, the county has a good foundation for winter sowing of 628,000 mu of wheat and management measures are in place. Farmers must not be damaged by an epidemic. In response to the problems encountered by large grain farmers, the county relies on leading agricultural technology service companies such as Sinochem and Lunong to provide farmers with socialized agricultural production services in a timely manner in the whole link, the whole process, and the integration of production and marketing. At the same time, it actively opens up green channels for the purchase and sale of production materials to ensure adequate supply to the fields. In response to the concentrated occurrence of wheat stripe rust in May, the county implemented unified prevention and control to completely eliminate the source of reinfected bacteria, laying the foundation for a bumper wheat harvest.
More than 7000 sets (sets) of agricultural machinery in Tangfang Town are all on the battlefield, "diddling agricultural machinery and serving the land"; townships such as Gaocheng and Muli "buy on the Internet" through agricultural materials...The problem of wheat management has been solved. The machinery went to work in the ground, and Zhou Jiankun felt that farming was easier than in previous years. Now that the epidemic has eased, he took off his mask, stood in the cornfield and breathed the fragrance of the soil, looking forward to the next harvest...
【Expert Reviews】
Kong Xiangzhi, Professor of School of Agriculture and Rural Development, Renmin University of China:
In the first half of the year, my country's agricultural and rural economic operations were generally stable, stable and improving, and effectively played the role of "agriculture, rural areas and farmers" ballast. In particular, summer grains have overcome the adverse effects of local drought, warm winters and prosperous years, "cold spring", and wheat diseases and insect pests, and have reaped a bumper harvest. The output hit a record high. The harvest is hard to come by. With the increase in wheat production, the quality has improved significantly. The first- and second-class wheat has increased, and the area of strong-gluten and weak-gluten wheat has increased. The area of early rice has reversed its downward trend for seven consecutive years. A large area has been harvested, and a bumper harvest is in sight. Good foundation.
(Reporter Li Hui interviewed and compiled)
New business formats drive employment and new positions
【data】
According to the latest data from the Ministry of Human Resources and Social Security, from January to June this year, 5.64 million new jobs were created in cities and towns across the country, and 62.7% of the annual target has been completed.
【Case】
A sudden epidemic caught the graduation season in 2020 by surprise. Civil service exam? Go to work in a big city? Or continue to study? Standing at the crossroads of life, Jiang You, a fresh graduate of Hunan University of Science and Technology Xiaoxiang College, chose to stay in his hometown of Xiangtan, Hunan and work hard, becoming a Dingding digital manager. "I think digitalization is the trend of future enterprise development, especially for companies in third- and fourth-tier cities. The degree of digitalization is much worse than that in first-tier cities. I am willing to help more hometown companies complete digital transformation." Jiang You told reporter.
At the beginning of June, Jiang You saw the news that the Ministry of Human Resources and Social Affairs and Dingding jointly launched a new vocational online learning platform to carry out digital manager and other new vocational training in the school’s admissions and employment office. He decided to sign up for training and study. Once he graduated, he found his favorite. jobs. Nowadays, it has become Jiang You's daily work to understand the current management situation of the company, understand the pain points of the industry where the company is located, and optimize the work process through Dingding digital management tools. In Jiang You's view, new occupations are the future employment trend. "Understanding new occupations, learning new occupations and engaging in new occupations can help graduates to better complete employment."
【Expert Reviews】
Zhao Wen, associate researcher of the Institute of Population and Labor Economics, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences:
In the first half of the year, the Party Central Committee and the State Council adopted a series of powerful measures to stabilize employment and protect people's livelihood. The unemployment rate has gradually declined and employment policies have achieved positive results. The urban surveyed unemployment rate fell to 5.7% in June, the lowest point since the outbreak of the epidemic. The total employment in cities and towns exceeds the scale before the epidemic, and the proportion of employees who are not working has dropped to less than 1%, which has returned to normal levels.
At the same time, it should be noted that the magnitude and breadth of the impact of the epidemic on employment is unique in the history of the past 100 years, and the difficulty of dealing with it is unprecedented. Under the normalization of epidemic prevention and control, consumer demand and trade demand are changing rapidly, and investment structure and industrial structure are also changing rapidly. This means that the employment pattern has inevitably undergone structural changes. In this regard, we should prepare in advance to prevent one-time shock unemployment from turning into normalized structural unemployment.
In the second half of the year, we will continue to do everything possible to stabilize and expand employment. First of all, we must stabilize the main players in the market, implement policies such as tax reduction and fee reduction, and reduction or exemption of social insurance costs and house rents to help companies tide over the difficulties. Secondly, encourage new forms of employment and flexible employment, encourage workers to actively adapt to changes in the industrial structure, promote the employment of college graduates, and drive more rural laborers to find local employment.
(Reporter Qiu Yue interviewed and compiled)
High-tech manufacturing industry is resilient and vigorous
【data】
In the first half of the year, the added value of high-tech manufacturing increased by 4.5% year-on-year, accounting for 14.7% of the added value of industrial enterprises above designated size, an increase of 0.9 percentage points from the same period last year.
【Case】
During the epidemic, BOE launched a variety of professional medical display products and solutions, of which 10.4-inch, 12.1-inch and other professional medical display products have been used in medical monitors, ventilators and other equipment in Wuhan Huoshenshan Hospital and Leishenshan Hospital. In addition, innovative products and solutions such as smart conference all-in-one machines and remote consultation platforms have also been used in many hospitals, providing technological support for the fight against the epidemic.
【Expert Reviews】
Qin Hailin, researcher at China Electronics Information Industry Development Research Institute:
In the first half of this year, the resumption of work and production in the high-tech manufacturing industry progressed in an orderly manner, showing the characteristics of rapid recovery, strong resilience, and sufficient vitality, which constituted a strong support for the industrial economy. High-tech manufacturing is the earliest recovery in the manufacturing sector. As early as March, the added value of high-tech manufacturing has achieved positive monthly growth. At the same time, investment in high-tech manufacturing has continued to increase. In the first half of the year, investment in high-tech manufacturing increased by 5.8% year-on-year. The accelerated recovery of high-tech manufacturing in terms of output and investment has provided a strong driving force for the overall stability of the industrial economy.
Under the dual pressures of the epidemic in the first half of the year and the cyclical economic downturn, the proportion of high-tech industry added value can still increase, showing the strong resilience of the high-tech manufacturing industry: First, the construction of major projects has accelerated, and the Yangtze River Storage and Hefei Development Major new technology manufacturing projects such as Xinxin, Huaxing Optoelectronics, and BOE have advanced steadily, becoming an important driving force for investment in high-tech manufacturing. Second, the production and demand of the high-tech manufacturing industry are booming, the production capacity of the pharmaceutical industry is accelerating, and the offline consumption is accelerating to switch to online, which provides certain support for the production and sales of the high-tech industry. Third, the digital transformation of the economy has accelerated the development of high-tech industries. Digital infrastructure provides a better development platform for the development of new technologies and industries. The enrichment of new scenarios has also accelerated the development of high-tech industries, especially high-tech manufacturing.
The high-tech manufacturing industry has a long industrial chain and strong penetration into other industries. Key enterprises in the electronic information manufacturing, biomedicine, medical device and other industries can effectively drive the resumption of upstream and downstream production and accelerate the recovery of the overall manufacturing industry. In the medium and long term, the rapid development of high-tech manufacturing can greatly increase the labor productivity of my country's industry, help increase total factor productivity, and drive the overall industrial economy to achieve higher-quality development. In the second half of the year, my country's high-tech manufacturing industry will surely achieve faster, higher-quality, and more efficient growth under the dual promotion of the market and policies, and contribute more to the overall high-quality development of the economy.
(Reporter Liu Kun interviewed and compiled)
Modern service industry creates new growth poles
【data】
In the first half of the year, the added value of the information transmission, software and information technology service industries increased by 14.5%.
【Case】
Post-90s Yang Meiling is an online learning service teacher in the field of art, mainly responsible for online teaching and service guidance such as sketches, comics, and children's creative sketches. “During the epidemic, people’s enthusiasm for online learning is very high. Sometimes it’s past 1 a.m. and students exchange drawing skills with me on WeChat and QQ. My workload now is several times larger than before. I believe there will be More people choose to study online, and I am full of confidence in the future." She said.
【Expert Reviews】
Yuan Xiaoqing, Chief Researcher of Industrial Internet, China Electronics Information Industry Development Research Institute:
In the first half of the year, China’s modern service industry achieved counter-trend growth, creating new growth points and new growth poles for economic development. This indicates that the modern service industry is moving towards new infrastructure, accelerated development of new models, and accelerated development of new business types. stage. In terms of the layout of new infrastructure, new-generation information technologies such as 5G, big data, and artificial intelligence have accelerated the integration and penetration of various fields of the real economy, fully releasing data element dividends, and providing important technical support for the sound development of the modern service industry. During the epidemic, new models such as unmanned production, online education, telemedicine, online office, and live marketing have accelerated their popularization, accelerated the transformation and upgrading of traditional service models, and innovated the value creation mechanism of the modern service industry. At the same time, new industrial forms such as shared manufacturing, industrial chain finance, modern supply chain, and gig economy based on the industrial Internet platform have accelerated the transformation of traditional production and lifestyle, and effectively expanded the development space of the modern service industry.
In the second half of the year, in order to promote the sustained and rapid development of the modern service industry, it is urgent to adhere to the "three combinations": First, adhere to the combination of government guidance and market leadership, and continue to implement national special projects such as the industrial Internet innovation and development project. The second is to adhere to the combination of technological research and industrial cultivation, breakthrough key core technologies in key areas such as 5G, artificial intelligence, and industrial Internet, and accelerate the cultivation of new products, new models, and new business forms. The third is to adhere to the combination of the cultivation of new kinetic energy and the transformation of old kinetic energy, promote the acceleration of the integration of a new generation of information technology and various economic and social fields, continuously improve the level of industrial digitalization, and inject new vitality into economic development.
(Reporter Liu Kun interviewed and compiled)
Online economy promotes rapid recovery in consumption
【data】
In the first half of the year, the national online retail sales of physical goods increased by 14.3% year-on-year, and the growth rate was 2.8 percentage points faster than that from January to May; the online retail sales of physical goods accounted for 25.2% of the total retail sales of consumer goods, an increase of 5.6 percentage points year-on-year.
【Case】
"Hello everyone, I’m Lu Yaming from Lubolang. Today I’m going to teach you how to make a lady's set." At 5pm, the live broadcast of Shanghai’s time-honored restaurant, the “head of Lubolang” and national dim sum master Lu Yaming, began. Up.
Since the beginning of this year, with the recovery of urban commerce under the prevention and control of the epidemic and the rise of emerging consumption, a number of time-honored brands in Shanghai have rapidly transformed online and have begun many unprecedented innovative attempts: live webcasts, Internet celebrity shops, cross-border Marketing, research and development of "new Internet celebrities" popular with young people. In February of this year, Lu Yaming took on a new task: live online live delivery of goods. Stimulate online consumption through new product marketing and live broadcast promotion. There was anxiety, discomfort, and even thought of "retiring", but he worked hard to persist, and gradually made his own characteristics in the online live broadcast, which also promoted the time-honored brand to explore the new online economy. Through live broadcast to bring goods for brands and online pre-sale of offline products, a number of time-honored brands have laid the foundation for the resumption of dine-in food in stores.
【Expert Reviews】
Gao Baohua, PhD and Associate Researcher, Institute of Service and Trade, Institute of International Trade and Economic Cooperation, Ministry of Commerce:
In the first half of 2020, online retail sales of physical goods grew rapidly year-on-year, and their proportion increased significantly, indicating that under the normalized prevention and control of the epidemic, online retail has performed outstandingly and the overall retail structure of goods has become better.
The outstanding performance of online retail is that the epidemic has promoted a surge in the number of mainstream online consumers. The epidemic has changed the behavioral habits of consumers, pushing them to switch from physical consumption to online consumption, and then promote the mainstream online consumption population from urban and rural post-80s and post-90s to urban and rural post-60s, 70s, 80s, and 90s. Extension. Second, the epidemic has prompted companies to embrace the Internet to a greater extent. The impact of the epidemic has prompted companies to realize that long-term development can only be achieved by making full use of "Internet +". Not only the rapid development of online shopping, fresh food e-commerce, live delivery, online education, online travel, takeaway catering and other models, but also the rapid development of new business models and new models such as shared employees, contactless delivery, and Internet medical care. The third is that the epidemic promotes the introduction of policies related to "Internet +". On the one hand, the government has strengthened the implementation of the “rice bag” governor responsibility system and the “vegetable basket” mayor responsibility system, and has adopted specific measures such as issuing “consumption coupons” on a large scale to ensure residents’ consumption; Policy documents such as the intensity of tax cuts and the encouragement of the healthy development of new business models and models have promoted the resumption of work and production.
(Reporter Zhang Yi interviewed and compiled)
Foreign trade rises up against difficulties
【data】
According to data released by the General Administration of Customs, the total value of China's imports and exports of goods trade in the first half of the year was 14.24 trillion yuan, down 3.2% year-on-year, and the rate of decline narrowed by 1.7 percentage points compared with the previous five months. Both exports and imports achieved positive growth in June, with exports increasing by 4.3% and imports by 6.2%. Since April, exports have achieved positive growth for three consecutive months.
【Case】
"At the end of January this year, the foreign trade supply chain was greatly impacted. Many foreign trade companies have reduced orders and lost customers. Our company mainly engages in export consolidation. In the first quarter, our business volume fell by about half, and our operations are facing unprecedented pressure." Speaking of the epidemic Chen Yixin, general manager of the small commodities division of Sinotrans South China, has lingering fears about the difficulties foreign trade companies have faced.
To change and strain, but to think about change. For enterprises to survive, on the one hand, they should adjust their internal standardized operation and management model, do everything possible to find new opportunities and open up new market space. At the same time, they also put forward some opinions and suggestions to customs and other foreign trade authorities. Faced with the impact of the epidemic, it is important for companies to take action to practice their internal skills. The customs clearance timeliness also determines competitiveness and survivability.
Facing the demands of enterprises, the Huangpu Old Port Customs comprehensively promoted "advance declaration" and "two-step declaration", shortened the customs clearance time, optimized and improved the port business environment; used system docking to achieve "networked supervision" and adopted "homeopathic supervision" to enterprises During the packing process, video recording, system traces and other technological means are used for auxiliary monitoring, which greatly simplifies the operation process of the enterprise system. The enterprise tried the "smart checkpoint" 24-hour smart customs clearance mode, and realized "zero delay" from the warehouse declaration to the arrival at the dock checkpoint through the "advance declaration, arrival inspection and release".
The Guangzhou Central Warehouse of the Small Commodities Division of Sinotrans South China is a wholly-owned subsidiary of Sinotrans Co., Ltd. in Guangdong Province. Its annual export volume is nearly 500 million US dollars. It has formed the largest bulk export consolidation platform in Guangzhou. Today, while the company's foreign trade export data has recovered year-on-year, more than 10 export companies have also returned to the platform for export. In the course of responding to the epidemic, the company expanded its business, boosted confidence, and laid a good foundation for the subsequent resumption of work and production.
【Expert Reviews】
Yang Changyong, researcher at the Institute of Foreign Economic Research, China Academy of Macroeconomics:
Since the beginning of this year, the epidemic has brought severe challenges to the development of foreign trade, such as sharp shrinking of external demand, poor international transportation, and blocked supply chains. Under this situation, China has introduced a series of policies and measures to stabilize foreign trade in a timely manner, including improving export tax rebates, increasing foreign trade credit, increasing export credit insurance support, adding cross-border e-commerce comprehensive test zones, and improving the capacity of international freight channels. Understanding the difficulties of foreign trade enterprises has stimulated the vitality of market players, promoted the recovery of foreign trade, and strengthened the confidence to stabilize the basic market of foreign trade and foreign investment. In the second quarter, the import and export volume of goods fell by only 0.2% year-on-year, and the decline was significantly narrower than that in the first quarter. From April to June, exports achieved positive growth for three consecutive months. Imports also resumed positive growth in June, especially for masks and protective clothing. The scale of material trade has increased significantly. At the same time, foreign trade continues to move in the direction of improving quality and efficiency. The international market layout, domestic regional layout, business main structure, export product structure, trade mode structure, etc. are further optimized, and new trade businesses such as cross-border e-commerce and market procurement are countering the trend. And on the rapid development. Looking at the world, this achievement is not easy. This not only provided an important impetus for my country's economic growth rate to turn from negative to positive in the first half of the year, and continued recovery in the second half of the year, but also provided an important momentum for the development of an open world economy in the context of a deep recession in the world economy and a sharp contraction of international trade. In the next step, with the further implementation of policies and measures to increase orders, stabilize jobs and ensure employment, as the domestic economy continues to improve and increase import demand, China has great potential to stabilize foreign trade and will surely make greater contributions to the recovery of the world economy and trade. .
(Reporter Zhang Yi interviewed and compiled)