China News Service, July 9, according to the National Post Bureau website, on July 9, the State Post Bureau held a regular press conference in the third quarter of 2020 to release the "China Express Development Index Report for June 2020" to interpret the first half of the industry Operational status. The data shows that in the first half of the year, it is expected to complete a total of about 34 billion pieces of express delivery business, an increase of more than 22% year-on-year. It is estimated that the completion of the express delivery business will exceed 382.5 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of more than 12%.
Data show that China's express delivery development index in June was 364.2, a year-on-year increase of 75.1%, a significant increase. Among them, the growth scale index, service quality index, development capability index and development trend index of the four first-level indicators have increased by more than 36%, indicating that my country's express market is prosperous and active, and the quality and efficiency of development are constantly improving.
In the first half of the year, the industry gradually got rid of the impact of the epidemic, quickly rebounded and repaired, and grew rapidly. The main economic indicators exceeded the level of the same period last year, showing four characteristics:
First, the market returned to the high operating range. In the first half of the year, the average growth rate of express delivery business reached 22.5%, close to last year's average. In the first quarter, the industry quickly resumed production and resumed production, and it took only one month to realize the growth of business volume from negative to positive. In the second quarter, the industry's growth rate accelerated significantly, and remained at around 40% in May and June. In the second quarter, the average daily shipment volume reached 240 million pieces, which was basically the same as the highest daily volume processed in the same period last year.
Second, the livelihood role of express delivery services is fully highlighted. In the first half of the year, the average daily service users of the company exceeded 370 million, of which the average daily service users reached nearly 500 million in the second quarter. Especially during the epidemic period, the express delivery industry gave full play to its network advantages, channel advantages, platform advantages and scale advantages to protect people's livelihood and promote Make important contributions to production and circulation.
The third is the accelerated growth of the western region. In the first half of the year, the growth rate of express delivery business in the western region is expected to exceed 24%, which is higher than the national average, and the growth rate will increase by about 5 percentage points year-on-year.
Fourth, e-commerce courier synergy helps upgrade consumption. In the first half of the year, e-commerce promotions such as the “Double Product Online Shopping Festival”, “May 5th Shopping Festival” and “6.18 Shopping Festival” were frequently held. The express delivery industry provided strong support and protection. New kinetic energy to drive domestic demand.
Hu Kai, deputy director of the Development Research Center of the State Post Bureau, said that in the first half of the year, the postal courier industry could overcome the impact of the epidemic and realize the change in the growth rate of express delivery business from negative to positive to return to the high range. First, thanks to the rapid recovery of the industry Production, the national (including Hubei) resumption of production rate of over 99% at the end of April, achieving resumption of production and full recovery of the industry; second, thanks to the accelerated shift of China’s consumer market to online, express delivery is the main delivery channel for online consumption The vigorous development of e-commerce has become the main source of growth in express delivery business; third, thanks to the rapid increase in sinking markets such as third- and fourth-tier cities and rural areas, while consumers enjoy low-cost online shopping services, it also makes express delivery The market gains new scale expansion.
Judging from the four first-level indicators of China's express delivery development index, in June, the express delivery development scale index was 297.2, a year-on-year increase of 37.1%. In terms of sub-indicators, the volume of express delivery business is expected to exceed 7.6 billion pieces, an increase of approximately 40% year-on-year, and the growth rate for three consecutive months is stable at more than 30%; the revenue of express delivery business is expected to complete nearly 80 billion yuan, an increase of over 24% year-on-year. In the first half of the year, it is expected to complete a total of about 34 billion pieces of express delivery business, an increase of more than 22% year-on-year. It is estimated that the completion of the express delivery business will exceed 382.5 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of more than 12%.
In June, the express service quality index was 667.2, an increase of 124.3% year-on-year. Satisfaction, on-time rate and effective appeal rate have been improved simultaneously. In the first half of the year, the industry was affected by the epidemic situation, and the service time limit in certain months was slightly extended year-on-year, but the overall quality of service continued to improve. Mainly due to the enhancement of infrastructure, the continuous improvement of smart warehousing capabilities, and the innovation and upgrade of service products, targeted improvement of the consumer experience.
In June, the express delivery capacity index was 216.4, a year-on-year increase of 38.9%. In terms of sub-indicators, it is expected that the online retail sales of express delivery services will exceed 1.1 trillion yuan. In the first half of the year, it is expected that the online retail sales of express delivery will exceed 4.4 trillion yuan, accounting for 25% of the total retail sales of consumer goods and about 27% of the retail sales of commodities. It is estimated that the proportion of express delivery revenue in GDP will reach 8.8‰, an increase of 1.2 thousand points year-on-year. In the first half of the year, the express delivery industry made efforts to make up for shortcomings and unclog international channels, transporting anti-epidemic materials for more than 100 countries; rural service capabilities have steadily improved, and village-level network coverage has reached 42%.
In June, the development trend index was 100, a year-on-year increase of 42.2%. In the second half of the year, the express delivery industry will gradually enter the peak business season, and the growth rate in the third quarter is relatively stable. It is expected that the volume of express delivery business in July will increase by about 38% year-on-year. From the perspective of capital market expectations, China's express delivery market led the world in the first half of the year. With the apparent improvement of the domestic epidemic, the capital market is full of confidence in China's express delivery industry and continues to be optimistic about the development of the industry.
Hu Kai said that in the first half of the year, the courier industry performed well in the overall promotion of epidemic prevention and control and resumption of production. In this epidemic, express delivery workers turned around for the safety of the lives of the masses and medical staff, opened emergency logistics guarantee channels, and sent warmth to thousands of households. As of June 10, the postal express industry had transported and delivered a total of 498,900 times of epidemic prevention and control materials, 398 million parcels, 87,500 vehicles shipped, and 779 freight flights. Since the central government promoted the work of resuming production, the express delivery industry has taken the lead in resuming production, and has played the role of "first officer" in resuming production and resuming business. This is inseparable from the strong leadership and policy support of the party and the country. It depends on the brave retrograde of cadres, workers and front-line couriers throughout the industry, as well as the strong emergency delivery capabilities of the express network.
Hu Kai pointed out that the express delivery industry has become a strategic and basic facility, which plays an important role in the smooth economic cycle. In the context of the current work of coordinating epidemic prevention and control and economic and social development, the completion of the express delivery industry's annual goals and tasks is not only for express delivery. The development of the industry itself is very important, and it is also of great significance to do a good job of "six stability" and complete the "six guarantees" task to ensure the smoothness of the industrial chain and supply chain. The current demand for express delivery from online consumption is strong, and the supply capacity is continuously released. It is fully conditional to achieve the annual target. It is expected to complete the target of 74 billion pieces of express delivery business throughout the year. In order to ensure the realization of the annual goal, the express delivery industry will coordinate the promotion of normal epidemic prevention and control and industry development in the second half of the year, accelerate the implementation of the "two-in, one-out" project, and continue to promote the safe and green development of the industry.