It is estimated that the population of the metropolitan area, such as Seoul, Gyeonggi, and Incheon, will exceed the population of the non-metropolitan area for the first time.

It is the aftermath of the youths in their teens and twenties moving from local to Seoul in search of work and school.

However, many of them move to Gyeonggi.

It seems to be due to the expensive house price.

The National Statistical Office announced today the results of'Population Movement in the Metropolitan Area and Future Population Forecasts in the Last 20 Years' that include such information.

The National Statistical Office estimated that the population of the metropolitan area this year will be 26.95 million, exceeding the population of the non-metropolitan area (25.8 million).

This is the first occurrence in demographics held by the National Statistical Office since 1970.

The National Statistical Office does not have statistics prior to 1970, but sees it as the first phenomenon in history.

The National Statistical Office predicts that the phenomenon that the population in the metropolitan area exceeds the population in the non-metropolitan area will continue.

The overall population will decrease, but the concentration in the metropolitan area is expected to continue.

The movement of the metropolitan area of ​​the non-metropolitan population has been going on for decades, but in the 2010s, the government moved to the provinces and the government departments relocated to Sejong City, and restarted in 2017.

This is the aftermath of the fat transfer to some extent.

Looking at the movement of the metropolitan area into the metropolitan area by age group, the influx of the metropolitan area in the teens and twenties has continued for the last 20 years.

The population in their 30s turned to net inflows in 2018.

This means that more people have flowed into the metropolitan area than those that have flowed out of the metropolitan area.

Over 40s are net outflows since 2008.

By region, there are many cases of moving from Yeongnam and Honam regions to the metropolitan area.

Seoul is the largest city in the metropolitan area.

Looking at the reasons for transfer, there are an overwhelming number of jobs (64,000 in 2019) and education (21,000 in 2019) is the second highest.

It is also characterized by the fact that the family does not move together, but that there are many single-person movements.

In summary, there are many cases where teenagers and teens who lived in Yeonghonam moved to Seoul alone in search of a school or job.

The movement from the non-metropolitan area to the metropolitan area is an overall phenomenon, but Sejong and Jeju are areas where the influx of the population in the metropolitan area continues for about 10 years.

However, looking at the topographic map inside the metropolitan area, Seoul is an area where people escape.

Net outflows have continued for the past 20 years.

Gyeonggi-do is where the population who escaped is headed.

For example, in 2019, 96,000 people from Seoul and 4,000 people from Incheon moved to Gyeonggi-do.

The general analysis is that there are many cases of escaping Seoul due to expensive house prices.

When looking at the age group of the population moving from Seoul to Gyeonggi, the entire age group moved relatively evenly, rather than focusing on a specific age group.

This is in contrast to the population moving from non-metropolitan areas to Seoul, mostly young people in their twenties and twenties. 

(Photo = Yonhap News)