Geoffrey Branger / Photo credit: MORTEZA NIKOUBAZL / NURPHOTO / NURPHOTO VIA AFP 6:55 a.m., April 7, 2024
This Sunday, six months after the Hamas attacks in Israel, American, Qatari, Israeli and Hamas negotiators are expected in Cairo to try to reach a truce. On the other hand, the risk of regional conflagration has increased since Monday, because Iran has promised severe reprisals against Israel.
The Hamas offensive in Israel was 6 months ago this Sunday. Six months of clashes raging. According to the latest reports, 32,000 Gazans have lost their lives since October and just under 2,000 Israelis. And the pressure is not decreasing in the region, on the contrary. In recent days, it has risen stronger than ever, the fault of Iran, which, since Monday, has accused Israel of having carried out an attack on its embassy in Damascus, Syria, killing seven soldiers including senior officers. The Tehran regime has promised severe reprisals, without specifying how it will carry out the response. But how far can Iran go?
A “quite disturbing” attitude
For General Jean-Paul Paloméros, expert on geopolitical issues, Iran's position is not simple. "They could strike Israeli settlers. Maybe try to find targets that are not very well defended and perhaps not strategic, because that would result in a considerable response from Israel," he said at the microphone of Europe 1. According to him, Iran's room for maneuver is not enormous.
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War in Gaza: negotiators expected in Cairo to talk about truce
"What Iran fears is obviously that if they move forward openly, Israel will respond firmly. This would further inflame the region. Iran's attitude is quite disturbing. That said, Israel, who had to face this Hamas attack, also wants to fight against Hezbollah, because he knows very well that it is a united front,” he concludes.