Political analysts believe that Netanyahu is on a collision course with the US administration (agencies)

Occupied Jerusalem -

The administration of US President Joe Biden has intensified its pressure on the Israeli government headed by Benjamin Netanyahu, in order to bring about changes in the means and mechanisms of fighting in the Gaza Strip, avoid implementing a large-scale military operation in Rafah, formulate a clear strategic plan for the day after the war, and provide a comprehensive response to the humanitarian issue. In the sector.

These demands and pressures carried within them the features of the postponed clash between Biden and Netanyahu, which began to rage and intensify with the passage of half a year since the Israeli war on Gaza, due to the essence of the differences between the far-right government in Tel Aviv and the White House administration in Washington, which, despite the apparent differences, reiterates the argument Israel's right to continue fighting and defending itself to avoid a repeat of the "Al-Aqsa Flood."

The United States’ abstention from using its veto and abstaining from voting, which opened the way for the UN Security Council to adopt a resolution calling for an immediate ceasefire in Gaza without the condition of releasing the kidnapped Israelis, indicates that the tension in relations between the two sides has reached its peak.

Returning to the reality on the ground in Gaza, which is experiencing a worsening humanitarian crisis, where the residents of the Strip face the risk of famine with high levels of food insecurity, due to Israel’s obstruction of humanitarian relief and the prevention of the arrival of food trucks, Israel rejects Washington’s request to conclude a comprehensive exchange deal and a temporary ceasefire, and insists on Rafah invasion.

turning point

According to the estimates of Israeli analysts, researchers, and research centers, with the passage of half a year since the Israeli war on Gaza, it has become clear that the patience of the American administration has begun to run out and diminish. They estimated that the invasion of Rafah without coordination from the White House could constitute a turning point in the Biden administration’s relationship with the Netanyahu government. It prompts her to implement pressure by moving from talk to action.

In reading the features of the pressures and some practical steps and measures that the White House may implement towards Israel, the researchers do not rule out Washington imposing restrictions on the supply of weapons to Israel, reducing financial, security and military aid, as well as restricting the movement and operations of the Israeli army in the Gaza Strip by the American forces that will participate in establishing the port. Floating in Gaza.

The former consul of Israel in Los Angeles, Yeki Dayan, reviewed the impact of the Biden administration’s internal political considerations on the nature of relations with Israel in light of the continuation of the war on Gaza, saying that “despite the differences that have reached the point of clashing between Biden and Netanyahu, the United States remains supportive and incubating of Israel, but we need “To see that the rifts and clashes do not extend to strategic issues between the two countries.”

Dayan explained in an article in the Israeli newspaper “Globes” that “the strategic scene shows that Biden is maneuvering between two things, one of which is his love for Israel and his complete identification with it, and on the other hand the internal political pressures he is exposed to within the Democratic Party, which are increasing with the approaching presidential elections that will take place.” It will take place next November, and his lack of affection for the current Israeli government.”

Dayan believes that Israel should worry about the next generation in the Democratic Party, and the transformations taking place on the American political and partisan map, saying, “We see that the political center in America has disappeared, and this is a very big problem for Israel, because it leads to support for Israel becoming a matter of one party, while the strength of “Israel is so far the partisan support of Republicans and Democrats in the White House and Congress.”

Saddam with Netanyahu

Political analyst Akiva Eldar says, “With the prolongation of the war, Netanyahu is keen to continue the policy of tug-of-war with the American administration regarding the Rafah operation, and he even deliberately makes statements indicating the existence of disagreements and a crisis with Washington in everything related to the conduct of the war and negotiations of the exchange deal, and thus he continues to inflame... The crisis with the United States.

The political analyst added to Al Jazeera Net, "As things appear now, Netanyahu - and not Israel - is on a collision course with the American administration, and it is not clear how this will end, and Biden has already hinted through leaks to the American media that at some point he will be harmed." With defense supplies and reducing arms shipments to Israel.”

He explains: “What is happening today in relations between Israel and the United States constitutes a serious crisis, but crises have occurred in the past between the two countries, even in cases of war,” noting that during the October 1973 war there were deep disagreements between former US Secretary of State Henry Kissinger. And the government of Golda Meir, and says, “After the 1973 war, the United States used weapons supplies to force Israel to accept the interim agreement with Egypt.”

Restriction leads to friction

Looking to the future, a position assessment issued by the National Security Research Institute at Tel Aviv University, a copy of which Al Jazeera Net received, concluded that the recent developments and disagreements between Washington and the Netanyahu government regarding the conduct of the military operation in Rafah threaten to increase the restrictions facing the Israeli leadership, when it comes to... The order to take decisions related to the continuation of fighting in the Gaza Strip.”

This shift came, according to researcher Eldad Shavit, who participated in drafting the situation assessment, after months in which the twinning, support and assistance provided by the United States to Israel was a major influencing factor in the scope of military operations in the Gaza Strip, indicating that the critical American position accelerates the expansion of the scope of criticism directed against Israel on the international scene.

Shavit says, "While the American administration is still keen to emphasize that it shares Israel's goal of defeating Hamas, as it has refrained from joining calls for an immediate ceasefire, and the Biden administration is still not translating its criticism into action, it aims to prevent a large-scale military operation in Rafah, which will make it difficult for it to continue supporting Israel.”

According to the researcher, “Israel must also take into account that the establishment of the American port in Gaza, which is expected to last for approximately two months, and requires the presence of thousands of American engineering, maintenance, and naval forces, may restrict the freedom of action of the Israeli army at all levels, and make its plans "It's even harder to keep fighting."

Therefore, Shavit does not rule out that the port will become a point of friction between the American forces and the Israeli army, and cause more tension between the countries, especially in light of the possibility that Hamas will try to cause an incident that would lead, for example, to an exchange of fire between the American and Israeli forces.

Source: Al Jazeera