China News Service, April 3. According to the website of the Ministry of Emergency Management, recently, the Office of the National Disaster Prevention, Reduction and Relief Committee and the Ministry of Emergency Management jointly held a meeting with the Ministry of Natural Resources, the Ministry of Water Resources, the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, the China Meteorological Administration, and the National Forestry and Grassland Administration. The consultation meeting will conduct consultations and judgments on the national natural disaster risk situation in April 2024.

  Comprehensive analysis shows that as temperatures continue to rise and heavy rainfall and strong convective weather increase, there will be risks of floods and hail disasters in central and eastern China; the forest and grassland fire danger levels in northern, northeastern, southwest, southern and northwest China are higher; The risk of geological disasters is higher in local areas such as the south and northwest; local drought in the southwest will still maintain or develop; and there is a risk of sandstorm disasters in some areas such as northwest, Inner Mongolia, and North China. details as follows:

  One is the risk of floods and wind and hail disasters. In April, precipitation in northeastern Inner Mongolia, northwest Heilongjiang, Jiangsu, Shanghai, Anhui, southeastern Henan, central and eastern Hubei, Hunan, Zhejiang, Jiangxi, northwest Fujian, Tibet, and northern Xinjiang is expected to be higher than normal for the same period. Among them, Shanghai, southern Jiangsu, southern Anhui, northwestern Zhejiang, northern Jiangxi, southeastern Hubei, northeastern Hunan and other places have an excess of 20% to 50%. Some areas such as Central China and East China are prone to short-term heavy rainfall and strong convective weather such as thunderstorms, strong winds, and hail, and there are risks of floods and wind and hail disasters. Floods exceeding warning levels may occur in the Dongting Lake system, Poyang Lake system, and some major rivers in the Zhejiang and Fujian regions in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River.

  The second is the risk of forest and grassland fires. It is expected that in April, some provinces in North China, Northeast China, Southwest China, South China, and Northwest China will have higher forest and grassland fire danger levels, including western and northern Beijing, eastern and northern Hebei, eastern Inner Mongolia, western Liaoning, central and eastern Shandong, northwest Guangxi, Periods of high fire danger levels may occur in southern Sichuan, southwestern Guizhou, central and eastern Yunnan.

  The third is geological disaster risk. It is expected that in April, Shanxi, Zhejiang, Anhui, Fujian, Jiangxi, Hubei, Hunan, Guangdong, Guangxi, Chongqing, Sichuan, Guizhou, Yunnan, Shaanxi, Gansu, Qinghai and other local areas will have a higher risk of geological disasters. Among them, the risk of local geological disasters in southern Anhui is high.

  The fourth is the risk of drought disaster. It is expected that in April, local temperatures will be 1-2°C higher in southeastern Fujian, Guangdong, Guangxi, Hainan, most of Chongqing, most of Sichuan, Guizhou, Yunnan, eastern Tibet, and southeastern Qinghai, and in northwest Inner Mongolia, central and eastern Xinjiang, and Gansu Precipitation in the northwest, southwestern Sichuan, Yunnan and other places was 20-50% less. Meteorological drought will remain or develop in southwestern Guangxi, Yunnan, western Guizhou, southern Sichuan and other places.

  The fifth is the risk of strong wind and dust disasters. In April, the sand source areas in western Inner Mongolia and central and southern Xinjiang have less precipitation and higher temperatures. Coupled with active cold air, northwest, Inner Mongolia, North China and other places are at greater risk of encountering sand and dust. Local sand and dust storms may occur, and attention needs to be paid to agriculture. Adverse impacts caused by production, outdoor construction, human health and transportation.

  Sixth, agricultural disaster risks. As wheat enters the jointing stage, its cold resistance decreases, and "late spring cold" may occur in northern winter wheat areas, affecting the growth of wheat and other crops. The local drought in southwest China will continue to develop, which may affect land preparation and timely sowing of crops such as corn and sorghum.

  In addition, affected by factors such as cold air, a disastrous temperate storm surge process and 1-2 disastrous wave processes may occur in my country's coastal and offshore waters. Tibet, Xinjiang and other places need to guard against avalanches and snowmelt floods that may be triggered by rising temperatures.