The war on Gaza... its consequences for Palestinians and Israel

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Observers and analysts agree that the October 7, 2023 station, and the subsequent war on the Gaza Strip, will not be considered a passing stage in the history of the Palestinian-Israeli conflict, as it will not only leave an immediate impact, but rather its consequences will extend for years.

After more than 130 days of Israeli aggression on the Gaza Strip, Al Jazeera Net and the Vision Center for Political Development sought to extrapolate the opinion of a number of analysts and experts to understand the consequences of the war on the Gaza Strip at its various levels.

The induction started from these questions:

  • How could this war affect the political future of the Palestinians?

  • Did the war differentiate between the roles of the actors in the arena?

  • How can the war and its events be reflected in the Israeli internal situation and the map of political governance? Did the war enhance the effectiveness of the idea of ​​resistance in the Palestinian street?

Expert opinions can be summarized as follows:

  • It is the steadfastness of the resistance and the Palestinian society that will decide the outcome of the war in its political and military dimensions.

  • Palestinian actors must capture the historical moment of union and capitalize on Palestinian steadfastness.

  • The Palestinian political map will be affected by the balance of power, with a decline for the Fatah movement and the Palestinian Authority and an advance for the Hamas and Islamic Jihad movements, an acknowledgment of the legitimacy of Hamas, and the failure of its marginalization in the political equation.

  • The blow achieved by October 7th to the status and image of the Israeli occupation cannot be erased, no matter how many massacres the occupation carries out.

  • The continuation of the war on Gaza and its expansion to include the Rafah area will make Israel face a double loss of its political reputation at the international level.

  • Israel seeks to replicate the West Bank experience in Gaza, attract Arab countries to provide financing and reconstruction, and reach free normalization in the region.

  • The outcome of the war will be based on a change in the structure of Israeli society, or at least a change in its vision, similar to the experience of the first Intifada, which brought about a change in the concepts of the Israeli-Palestinian relationship after the occupation no longer felt safe and stable.

  • One of the consequences of the war is that it will lead to changing a class of Israeli soldiers and politicians who will be subject to accountability and will not be able to achieve their future vision.

  • In addition to the extreme right, which was dealt a strong blow. The American administration wants to weaken Netanyahu to bring about internal Israeli change as an obstacle to the American vision for the Middle East.

  • There is an international consensus on the necessity of establishing a Palestinian state. We may witness movements and initiatives to revive the settlement process. To be more than self-rule and less than a state for the Palestinians.


Source: Al Jazeera