Marisa Cruz Madrid

Madrid

Updated Monday, February 12, 2024-13:28

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The CIS of Tezanos points out that if general elections were held today, the left would be the winner and could revalidate the coalition government. PSOE and Sumar together would monopolize 43.2% of the votes compared to PP and Vox, which would bring together 41.1%.

The PP would be the most voted force with 33.2% of the ballots, thus registering an increase of 1.1 points compared to the Center's barometer from last January. For its part, the PSOE would drop one point compared to last month's forecast, now standing at a voting intention of 33%.

The January national survey, which coincided with the last survey prior to the Galician elections, also points to an increase in Sumar of half a point. In January, after Podemos split from the platform, Yolanda Díaz's party had a voting intention of 9.7%. Now, a month later, it has recovered slightly to 10.2%.

For its part, Vox, according to the CIS, would definitively lose its position as the third political force, obtaining only 7.9% of the votes, four tenths less than in January.

This month's barometer reflects the effect that the difficult vote on the Government's first three decrees may have had on the electorate, in which one of them, sponsored by second vice president Yolanda Díaz, was defeated and the other two came out ahead later. that the PSOE agreed in extremis to make new concessions to Junts, the party of the fugitive Puigdemont. It also contemplates the electoral repercussion of the parliamentary setback of the Amnesty Law that could not be approved by Congress after encountering the rejection of the seven Junts deputies.

After the 23-J elections, the CIS kept the PP in the lead in its monthly barometers. That trend, however, changed in the survey last January in which the Center recorded a record jump for the PSOE to 34%, thus marking a distance of almost two points with respect to the PP, which fell to 32.1%.

Now, in the February barometer the popular ones are recovering again but the distance with respect to the socialists is minimal: barely two tenths, a difference that even falls within the margin of error of the survey.