Europe 1 11h18, 02 June 2023, modified at 11h22, 02 June 2023

A "big day of strikes and demonstrations"? This is the objective of the inter-union in view of the 14th day of mobilization against the pension reform scheduled for Tuesday. According to information from Europe 1, between 400,000 and 600,000 demonstrators are expected throughout France, including 40,000 to 70,000 in Paris.

What will be the face of the demonstration against the pension reform next Tuesday, a month after May 1st and a month before the traditional summer social break? According to a note from the territorial intelligence that Europe 1 has consulted, between 400,000 and 600,000 demonstrators are likely to take to the streets, including 40,000 to 70,000 in Paris. In total, 250 actions are anticipated by Place Beauvau.

In the capital, Parisian intelligence anticipates the presence of 200 to 400 yellow vests and 800 to a thousand elements considered "at risk", composed of radicalized yellow vests and ultra-left activists including foreigners. In the provinces, the largest processions could be in Toulouse (12,500 people), Grenoble (12,000 people), Nantes and Lyon (10,000 people), Bordeaux (9,000 people) or Dijon (7,500 people).

Declining participation

According to the intelligence, youth participation "will remain low overall at the national level", due to "the imminence of the baccalaureate exams". There will be "a risk of excesses and disturbances to public order in several cities," warn the police.

Overall, since April 14 and the promulgation of the law on pension reform, the movement "tends to decrease". But this 14th national day of action "raises a hope of rebound for the main organizers and a baroud of honor for the most skeptical opponents," analyzes the intelligence. He concluded: it "should not reach the historic levels of participation observed during the first quarter".