The tenth round of voting is still unsuccessful. How will the chaos in the US House of Representatives election end?

　　China News Service, January 6th, comprehensive report, on January 5th local time, the tenth round of the US House of Representatives election still failed. With the support of conservatives in the country, the position of speaker continued to be "difficult to deliver".

McCarthy said that although the Republicans failed to reach an agreement, the negotiations have made great progress.

However, his opponents warned that this "speaker battle" may drag on for weeks.

　　CNN pointed out that after the failure of the tenth round of voting, the current election for the Speaker of the House of Representatives has become the most voted in 164 years.

The previous record was in 1859, when there were 44 rounds of voting.

If the Speaker of the House of Representatives cannot be elected, all members of the House of Representatives cannot be sworn in, and the normal work of the House of Representatives cannot be advanced.

Data map: McCarthy.

Photo by China News Agency reporter Sha Hanting

'Negotiations make McCarthy look weak'

　　After 10 rounds of balloting, the House of Representatives has yet to win the simple majority of at least 218 votes needed to be elected speaker.

The Republicans accounted for 222 seats in the new House of Representatives, of which 200 voted for McCarthy, 21 voted for Republican Congressman Donalds, and one voted for "absentee vote"; 212 votes for Democrats unanimously voted for the Democratic leader of the House of Representatives jeffries.

　　After failing to win six consecutive rounds of voting over the past two days, McCarthy has privately agreed to more demands from the opposition, including allowing a lawmaker to force a snap vote at any time, the New York Times reported, citing three people familiar with the matter. , "Drive him down" from the position of speaker, which will greatly weaken the speaker's power.

　　McCarthy has also pledged to allow right-wing factions to pick a third of the party on a powerful rules committee, according to a person familiar with the matter.

In addition, he promised to open the spending bill to free debate, in which any lawmaker can propose changes, including those aimed at destroying or defeating the bill.

　　"The fact that (McCarthy) is negotiating with Republicans makes him look very, very weak to the point of desperation," said one GOP lobbyist.

　　According to another report by the British Broadcasting Corporation (BBC), although the Republicans narrowly won control of the House of Representatives in November, there have been long-standing rifts within the Republican Party. A group of hard-line conservatives united against McCarthy's nomination.

　　"McCarthy hasn't made friends with some of the caucus in a while, and he has a lot of enemies," another Republican lobbyist said on condition of anonymity.

"Some people don't like him for political reasons or personal reasons."

Where should McCarthy go?

　　Political observers in Washington have begun to offer various hypotheses about how the House speaker election should end.

They projected a range of possible outcomes: McCarthy persisted and won, but made various major compromises, to possibly dropping out of the election entirely in favor of his deputy, Rep. Steve Scalise of Louisiana.

There's even an unlikely outcome where five Republicans decide to vote for Democrat Jeffries and give him control of the House.

　　For now, McCarthy is "essentially a hostage to one side of the party," said Ruth Bloch Rubin, a political scientist at the University of Chicago who studies partisanship.

　　McCarthy has pledged not to back down, but may have no choice.

He could try to win over die-hard Republicans in Congress by doing well on committees or taking on new leadership roles.

　　"He's got to give those who are against him something to hang their hat on," said Aaron Cutler, a former congressman lobbyist.

Another Republican lobbyist, however, argued that "there is simply no path to victory."

　　Singapore's "Lianhe Zaobao" stated that it seems more and more likely that the Republicans will elect a "compromise candidate" with the help of the Democrats.

Rep. Khanna, a progressive Democrat, has indicated that he could support a moderate Republican for speaker if he agrees to share subpoena power with Democrats and avoids brinkmanship over government funding and the debt ceiling.

　　The British "Independent" stated that this is not the first time McCarthy has run for the position of speaker of the House of Representatives. After the resignation of the Speaker of the House of Representatives John Boehner in 2015, McCarthy participated in the election, but then announced his withdrawal and caused the vote to be postponed.

Why is the House Speaker

　　In American politics, the Speaker of the House of Representatives is the "No. 3 person", second only to the President and Vice President.

The Speaker of the House of Representatives is the political leader of the House of Representatives and controls the House of Representatives agenda.

The House of Representatives controls the power of impeachment and the "pocket" of the government.

　　According to the BBC, the Speaker of the House of Representatives is one of the most important roles in American politics, controlling the legislative agenda and timetable of the House of Representatives, as well as the seats on various committees.

　　Analysts say the protracted election for the speaker of the House of Representatives could undermine hopes for House Republicans to make quick progress on priorities, including investigations into the Biden administration and his family, as well as legislation on the U.S. economy, energy independence and border security.

　　The fiercest opposition in the Republican Party has come from the right.

The "New York Times" analyzed that even if McCarthy won enough votes, he would obviously be coerced by the right wing as speaker, because he had to give them some promises during the canvassing process.

But on the other hand, some opponents in the Republican Party expressed that they did not believe in the promise McCarthy made to them at the last moment.

　　The 11th round of voting for the Speaker of the House of Representatives is underway, and it is unclear whether the deadlock will be broken.