China News Service, November 17th (Reporter Meng Xiangjun) Recently, along with the huge explosion on the border between Poland and Ukraine, missiles fell from the sky and 2 civilians were killed.

　　Europe, the United States, and NATO were startled, and they urgently need to figure out one thing, that is, whether the missile came from Russia.

After the initial noise, all parties had some clues, all pointing to the same clue - the missile may have been launched by Ukraine.

　　Ukrainian President Zelensky denied that the missile came from Ukraine. Unexpectedly, U.S. President Biden immediately refuted it, saying that Zelensky's statement was "not evidence."

Obviously, this matter has once again warned the world that the situation around the Ukraine crisis is getting more and more complicated!

europe is scared

　　On the night of November 15, local time, two explosions were heard in Hrubeszow County in eastern Poland next to Ukraine, killing two citizens.

Not only Poland, but another neighboring country, Moldova, was also hit by a missile, causing a partial blackout.

　　This incident set alarm bells ringing in Europe.

　　Being beaten is really being beaten, and being afraid is also really scary, especially in a small country.

It can be seen from the increase in the combat readiness level of Poland's military units and the re-introduction of the Baltic countries to set up a "no-fly zone" in western Ukraine. It can be seen that the small European countries have suffered a wave of severe psychological shocks, and they feel sympathy.

The site of a missile explosion in Poland.

　　Europe, Europe, once a peaceful and peaceful continent, now brothers fight against each other, the flames of war are spreading, and the people are in dire straits.

　　People not only worry about gasoline, heating bills and bread, but also worry about the high inflation of 6%-7%. Now they also worry about whether there will be "missiles without long eyes" that will fall on their heads "randomly" one day?

　　This is a tragedy for Europe and a warning to the world.

Everyone is thinking, how did things become like this?

America is difficult

　　Europe is of course very anxious, and they all look at the United States on the other side of the ocean.

　　The missile path is likely to exceed the psychological expectations of the United States, that is, it flew beyond Ukraine.

This incident immediately made the United States stand up, and even affected the established agenda of the G20 summit held in Bali, Indonesia.

　　U.S. President Biden urgently called the leaders of the Group of Seven (G7) and NATO to discuss together, and several photos of "famous scenes" were born.

Let’s take a look at this picture first. In the photo, everyone’s expressions are intriguing, and the photographer’s shooting angle is even more intriguing.

On November 16, 2022, leaders of NATO member states, including US President Biden, French President Macron, German Chancellor Scholz, and Spanish Prime Minister Sanchez, talked about the incident of a missile falling into Poland.

　　There were only two people sitting at the scene, one was the "big brother" the President of the United States, and the other was No. 10 Downing Street, whose buttocks were still warm, and the new British Prime Minister Sunak, who was seeing such a big occasion as the G20 for the first time.

　　US President Biden pointed his finger under his nose, seemingly thinking about something.

French President Macron, German Chancellor Scholz, Spanish Prime Minister Sanchez, Canadian Prime Minister Trudeau and others stood around, and Biden's "military adviser" US Secretary of State Blinken also came over.

　　Let’s look at this photo posted by Biden on his Twitter account. He himself is the absolute center and the absolute protagonist, reflecting the status of the United States, and the leaders of allied countries surround him.

U.S. President Joe Biden convened G7, NATO, and EU leaders to discuss how to respond to the missile incident.

Image source: Screenshot of Biden’s Twitter account

　　In the photo, Trudeau, Sunak and others are listening attentively; Macron and Scholz are meditating on their cheeks; President of the European Commission von der Leyen and President of the European Council Michel are listening to the speech; in the corner there is Being blocked, the only leader who brought an English interpreter to the meeting - Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida.

　　The mystery does not stop there. Logically speaking, when NATO holds a small meeting, Turkey, a senior member country, should also be on the list. However, Turkish President Erdogan who also attended the G20 meeting could not be found at the scene.

It turns out that Erdogan has already stated that Turkey believes that the missile explosion has nothing to do with Russia...

　　Unexpectedly, after the meeting, Biden came to a conclusion similar to that of Turkey: it is "unlikely" that the missile was launched by Russia.

Biden further revealed that the explosion may have been caused by Ukrainian air defense missiles.

　　Not only to help Russia get rid of the relationship, but also directly name Ukraine?

Is this still the America we are familiar with?

　　There is reason to believe that the U.S. government is starting to worry:

　　——Biden is worried that after the mid-term elections, the opponent Republican Party will trip him up and hinder the large-scale aid to Ukraine.

　　——The United States is worried that Ukraine is becoming more and more "disobedient". For example, it has begun to push Ukraine and Russia to resume talks, but Ukraine has fired missiles into Poland.

　　——The United States is worried that the crisis it provoked will eventually get out of control and push Russia into a hurry.

　　——The United States is worried that this fire will be burned on NATO member countries, and it will put itself in a moral dilemma of whether to send troops or not.

　　In short, Russia can be "bloodletted", Ukraine can be sacrificed, and Poland can be implicated, but as the only profiteer in the chaos, the United States must not be involved.

Therefore, this time, the United States personally "slapped" Ukraine.

Poland is aggrieved

　　At first, Poland, which was beaten, immediately stood up and accused Russia. Not only did it agree with Ukrainian President Zelensky that this was a "Russian terrorist attack", Poland also summoned the Russian ambassador.

On November 16, 2022, police vehicles drive through the blockade after an explosion on the Polish border.

　　As a result, the "big brother" the United States and the Russian Ministry of Defense agreed that Ukraine did it.

　　The opinion of the Russian Ministry of Defense is that Russian military experts judged after studying the photos of the damaged facilities in Poland that the missile fragments were S-300 air defense missiles equipped by Ukraine.

Failed to intercept Russian missiles?

Deviation when launching?

In short, Uzbekistan has repeatedly denied any connection.

　　Intriguingly, Russian President’s Press Secretary Peskov emphasized two points:

　　1. The "anti-Russian sentiment" generated by the Polish side due to the missile downing incident is unacceptable.

　　Second, the "restraint" and "more professionalism" of the US side and the US president are worthy of attention and consideration.

　　Calling the "mortal enemy" the United States "restraint and professionalism"?

Such wording also allows us to see a different Russia.

　　It is also interesting that Polish President Duda changed his statement.

At first he suggested to reporters that it might be a "Russian-made missile," before adding:

　　Poland is coping with it calmly.

There is currently no conclusive evidence that the bombing on the border was a deliberate attack on Poland, and it may have been an isolated incident.

This missile was not aimed at Poland.

Poland also has no evidence that the missile was launched by Russia.

Most likely Ukrainian anti-aircraft missiles.

　　At the critical moment when the United States "slapped Ukraine in the face", Russia came to beat it again, so that Poland, which was punched inexplicably, was dumb and ate coptis, so it could only "respond calmly".

nato is delicate

　　The situation is very embarrassing now, because the missile explosion has changed from the thrilling assumption of "Russian missiles attack NATO member states, and NATO will fight back" to a reversal of "NATO member states attack themselves".

　　Poland originally planned to convene NATO council negotiations under Article IV of the North Atlantic Treaty Agreement.

According to this clause, when the territorial integrity, political independence or security of NATO member states are threatened, at the proposal of any member state, NATO member states will conduct emergency consultations.

　　However, an emergency meeting of the G7 in Bali with NATO members was not called under this clause, German sources said.

Since then, Polish Prime Minister Morawiecki said that Poland has given up the activation of the clause this time.

It is unknown what twists and turns it has experienced.

Data map: The scene of the NATO defense ministers meeting.

　　NATO stipulates that "when any of the contracting parties is attacked by an armed force, it shall be regarded as an attack on all the contracting parties." But this time, no matter whether the United States, NATO, Russia or Poland itself, all said that the missile is more likely to come from Ukraine.

Anyway, not from Russia.

　　NATO's embarrassment is a matter of face, and the use of force is a matter of face.

NATO is unwilling at this stage, or in other words, will not have a direct conflict with Russia for the sake of Poland.

Don't lose face, save your face.

What's more, the Russian side has realized that someone is "trying to provoke a direct military conflict between Russia and NATO."

the situation is complicated

　　In fact, people should notice that, as a military alliance that has not disintegrated since the end of the Cold War, it is NATO that is constantly updating its strategic concepts and intensifying its global expansion. It is the root cause of conflicts and chaos.

　　A "restraint" by the United States and NATO does not explain anything.

It cannot be ruled out that NATO will not have a large-scale direct conflict with Russia in the future.

On May 1, local time, in southeastern Ukraine, a Russian soldier guarded an area of ​​the Zaporozhye nuclear power plant.

　　Everything can be traced.

Just when Biden was trying to "extinguish the fire" for the missile incident, US Secretary of Defense Austin still "bombarded" Russia on the 16th local time, saying that "no matter what conclusions are drawn, Russia bears the ultimate responsibility for this matter."

Polish ambassador to NATO Satkowski also attributed the ultimate responsibility to Russia.

　　The situation is complex, the struggle is fierce, and the lessons are profound.

　　Don't forget how the previous "Bucha incident", the shelling of the Zaporozhye nuclear power plant, the explosion and leakage of the "Beixi" pipeline, and the "dirty bomb" storm all became one after another "Rashomon" .

And in the end, who is the winner?

　　Perhaps, the more dangerous moment of the situation is still ahead.

(Finish)