Experts: Excluding the National Conference and reviving the partnership between the military and civil components are its most important pillars

An imminent agreement between Al-Burhan and "Freedom and Central Change" to end the Sudanese crisis

• Al-Burhan: The army is not loyal to a specific party and does not have a party or group.

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• Sudanese during a protest demonstration south of the capital, Khartoum.

  AFP

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Sudanese experts said that a political agreement is in the process of being formed between the military and civilian components in Sudan, the most prominent of which is the convergence of the two parties on the necessity of excluding the National Congress Party, the "Brotherhood", and elements of the regime of ousted President Omar al-Bashir, from the political scene, and reviving the partnership between the military components. and civil regarding the transitional phase through new formulations.

The experts acknowledged the existence of opponents to the agreement on the part of some forces of the December revolution on the one hand, and on the part of the “deep state,” the old regime, and the “Brotherhood” on the other. To the need to expand the forces participating in the agreement, to ensure broader opportunities for its success.

simmer over low heat

The spokesman for the previous government, which was headed by Dr. Abdullah Hamdouk, and journalist Fayez Al-Sulaik, told "Emirates Today", "The signs of the emergence of a political settlement between the military component led by the head of the Sovereign Council, Lieutenant-General Abdel Fattah Al-Burhan, and the Forces of Freedom and Change - the Central Council, began since Last March, under the auspices of the Quartet Mechanism, and it is still cooking on a quiet fire, amid opposition from some forces of the December revolution, such as the Resistance Committees and the Communist Party on the one hand, and from old forces such as the National Congress Party, which was led by ousted President Omar al-Bashir, and members of the (Brotherhood) On the other hand.

While the first camp seeks to completely overthrow the status quo, adopting what is called (radical change), describing its former allies of the forces of freedom and change as the forces of soft landing that betray the principles of the December revolution, the second camp, which includes the remnants of al-Bashir, the (Brotherhood) and Islamists, seeks to Returning the political scene to before April 11, 2019.”

big challenge

Al-Silik added that “this situation, represented by the presence of opposition on both sides of the agreement, represents a major challenge to the settlement project, at a time when Sudan is experiencing a state of security laxity and economic collapse, which has worsened greatly since October 25, 2021, and the measures taken by Al-Burhan in it, which he called corrective, While she called it (Freedom and Change - the Central Council), and most of the political forces, and the forces demonstrating in the street, a coup.

Al-Silik added that "Sudan is on the verge of collapse and sliding into total chaos due to political tension, the rise in tribal strife and conflicts in the Blue Nile and Darfur, and the security chaos."

He added that "the main goal of the settlement by (Freedom and Change - the Central Council), is to end the October 25 coup, and to form a government and a presidency with a full civilian leadership, with national competencies and independent personalities." Al-Madani, regarding the status of army leaders, and ensuring that they are not held accountable for violations attributed to them, including what happened in the dispersal of the sit-in of the General Command, and in the ongoing demonstrations since October 25, and the Military Council demands that the agreement include a Supreme Council of the Armed Forces headed by Al-Burhan, which is responsible for the army and security , the Central Bank of Sudan, and foreign relations, while (Freedom and Change - the Central Council) calls for a National Defense and Security Council, headed by the Prime Minister.

troubled birth

Al-Silik expected that “the settlement will take place through a faltering birth, under the supervision of the Quartet, the United Nations, the African Union, and (IGAD).” He also noted the “necessity of establishing a Legislative Council to be a watchdog over institutions, provided that it includes a broad political and social spectrum, to avoid the negatives of the partnership experience.” previous ».

Al-Silik called for “convening a founding conference for the forces of the December revolution, to confront the adventures of the (Brotherhood) and the Islamists, dismantle their parallel state, and block the way in front of their plans that represent a threat to Sudan, the region, and the international community. This threat includes the possibility of them contemplating a military coup, especially after they lost confidence in To be a political incubator.” Juba Agreement review

Al-Silik concluded that "the agreement, in order to succeed, must include a review of the Juba Agreement, cancellation of the tracks, and the inclusion of the SPLM wing of Abdulaziz Al-Hilu, and the Sudan Liberation Movement led by Abdul Wahed Nour, for peace efforts."

For his part, political analyst, Abdul Jalil Suleiman, told "Emirates Today" that "the political settlement came as a result of the failure of the post-partnership dissolution phase, and the transitional phase on October 25, which passed a whole year in which there was no possibility of forming a government, and the demonstrations did not stop." The continuous and local pressures led by the resistance committees and the gathering of professionals. The October 25 regime tried to bring back the elements of Al-Bashir’s regime to support it, but this did not produce anything, but rather aggravated the matter, so it must end in a political settlement.”

Suleiman added that “this settlement began to show its features on the fourth of last July, with the proof of the withdrawal of the Sudanese armed forces from the political process, and this announcement was considered by many at first as a kind of maneuver, but soon it was confirmed that the settlement was serious, especially after the committee announced The management of the Bar Association adopted a new draft constitution that was submitted to the United Nations, which provided for the civil state, the formation of a military council headed by Al-Burhan, a defense council with civilian leadership, a cabinet of independent competencies, and the integration of the Rapid Support Forces and armed movements into a unified national army.

Suleiman pointed out that “the aforementioned settlement, and for it to succeed, needs broader consultations, and that if it is limited to negotiations between the military component and the Freedom and Change-Central Council, it will not succeed, and it will end in crisis and conflicts.”

Suleiman explained that “there are other forces that must be taken into account, there is a force that calls itself Freedom and Change - National Consensus, and it includes the armed movements that signed the Juba Peace, which stood by Al-Burhan in the October 25 coup, and it also includes small political entities, and Sufi orders.” , and tribal leaders, and all of these are significant forces, and they must be absorbed in the settlement, especially since there are leaks that (Freedom and Change - the Central Council) called for reconsidering the Juba Agreement, although it was a covenant and agreement in the presence of international witnesses, and it cannot be reconsidered. Consider it without their presence and the consent of its original signatories.

We must also bear in mind that there are parties that reject the agreement, such as the Sudanese Communist Party, which despite its smallness, has the ability to mobilize and incite the street, and there are resistance committees, and the gathering of professionals. against the agreement.

Not everyone

Suleiman added that «this does not mean that the agreement includes everyone, because this is impossible, but I mean expanding the umbrella of the agreement and political consultation to include the largest possible segments, at least the large parties, foremost of which are (the federal) and (the nation), the armed movements, and the forces of consensus, and the influential forces in eastern Sudan.

Suleiman concluded that "the settlement project is certainly a good project, because Sudan is going through very difficult and complicated circumstances, and in my estimation, the recent statements of Al-Burhan indicate that it will be comprehensive."

warning

It is worth noting that Abdel-Fattah Al-Burhan recently warned in a speech at the Hattab military operational base, Al-Bashir’s party and the Islamic movement loyal to him, against “trying to take shelter in the army, or spreading rumors that they will return to power through the military establishment.”

Al-Burhan said in the letter that “the army is not loyal to a particular party, does not have a party or group, and did not defend a party or group,” stressing that “the military institution is innocent of rumors that say it supports the National Party or the Islamic movement, this is a lie that they will not return.” To rule through the army.”

Al-Burhan added that “there is a consensus between the military component, the Forces of Freedom and Change, and other parties, which stood against the Bashir regime, to complete the remainder of the transitional period, and that the military component is waiting for the political forces to agree to form a government of independent competencies, and that in case the consensus fails, it will take A positive step in order to preserve the security of the country,” according to Sky News, BBC, and agencies.

The Military Council demands that the agreement include a Supreme Council of the Armed Forces headed by Al-Burhan, which will be responsible for the army, security, the Central Bank of Sudan and foreign relations, while Freedom and Change - the Central Council, demands a National Defense and Security Council headed by the Prime Minister.

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