“There is a 95% chance that Trump will run,”
Reince Priebus, chief of staff in the previous Trump administration, said of the presidential election two years later.
The mid-term elections in the United States, where voting begins on the night of the 8th in Japan time.
How will Mr. Trump move in the midst of reports that the Republican Party is gaining ground in the House of Representatives?
Are there any other strong candidates?
I will explain in detail with the latest situation.
Momentum to the Republican Party in the final stage ... Why?
The interviewee was Mr. Priebus, who served as the first White House chief of staff in the previous Trump administration.
Priebus, who served as the chairman of the Republican National Committee for many years and has been responsible for the Republican election strategy, said, "I expect the Republican Party to win not only the House, but also the Senate." I was.
▽ Mr. Priebus
It would be good to think about what is most important to the people of America right now.
First is inflation.
How much money do you spend on groceries and household goods?
How much are you paying for gasoline now?
Crime is another issue.
Education is very important for parents who have children.
These are things I don't need to ask.
But what the Democrats want to focus on is abortion, and about January 6th, when Congress burst into action.
Some may say these are important, but other high-priority issues are driving voters.
What Trump Is for the Republican Party
Mr. Priebus Mr.
Trump remains the most popular figure within the Republican Party.
He gave our party tremendous horsepower.
He can pick which Republican he wants to win the primary.
That candidate has a 99% chance of winning just by getting Trump's endorsement.
Just saying “Donald Trump endorses” creates hundreds of millions of dollars in value.
I think that speaks to how much power he infused into the Republican Party.
And Trump-backed candidates are likely to not only do good for the Republican Party, but do very well for Mr. Trump.
Is Mr. Trump's favorability declining?
▽ Mr. Rebus
What about the Democratic Party?
What about President Biden's likeability?
President Biden is 35% and Trump is 43%.
Mr. Trump is winning.
The same thing happened in 2016.
Trump's likeability was only 37%, while Hillary Clinton's was 35%.
Elections always have opponents.
Even if you point out that "this candidate has such a problem," the other candidate may have a bigger problem.
It depends on what happens by 2024.
Trump has built a reputation for the Republican Party as the 'America First' party.
First, to control our borders and protect Americans and American workers.
The second is countering China.
And the third is to end the eternal war and bring the soldiers home.
This is what America First means.
Will Trump run for president?
▽ Mr. Priebus
I think it is clear that Mr. Trump will run for office.
He has a strong desire to run again and achieve his goals.
The only time Trump won't run is when he no longer wants to feel the stress and headaches that come with being president.
But I don't think that will happen.
I think Trump has a 95% chance of running for office.
Trump is the front-runner.
There is no doubt about that.
He remains the frontrunner until someone else shows up and he is not.
I don't know yet if Trump will eventually run for office, but I think he will, and if he does, it will be difficult for other candidates to beat him.
What about other strong candidates?
▽ Mr. Priebus
First of all, I would like to point out that Mr. Trump is at the top.
Beating him is quite difficult.
On top of that, Florida Governor Ron DeSantis is also very strong.
Glenn Yankin of Virginia, former Secretary of State Mike Pompeo, former Vice President Mike Pence, and former Ambassador to the United Nations Nikki Haley are among the leading candidates.
These people need to see if Trump will run for office first.
And that is exactly what it is now.
Republicans are watching Trump's decision closely.
How do you see the movement towards 2024?
This year's midterm elections are focused on Trump's actions.
We asked Washington bureau chief Takagi and News Watch 9 newscaster Tanaka, who served as Washington bureau chief until 2018, about the key points for 2024.
▽ Takagi Branch Chief
Priebus was scheduled to chair the Republican Party Convention in the summer of 2024, and his eyes were already set on the presidential election two years later.
However, there is also data that some of his supporters are away from Mr. Trump because he still refuses to acknowledge the results of the 2020 election.
Florida Governor DeSantis is also on the rise.
He is said to be announcing his candidacy next week, which can be seen as a sign of impatience.
Trump has personally endorsed more than 200 candidates in the midterm elections.
Of course, this is a move with in mind that I will run for the presidential election two years later, and the big point is how much this “Trump candidate” will win.
▽ Tanaka Caster
What I would like to pay attention to is the situation in the state where Mr. Trump won six years ago two years ago, but the presidential election two years ago turned it around and President Biden won.
This time, Mr. Trump has supported and sent people close to his ideas one after another to candidates for posts that have the authority to influence the outcome in the event of a close battle or trouble, such as the governor or the secretary of state who manages election affairs. is.
Looking at this current situation, we can read Mr. Trump's strategy to steadily lay the groundwork for the upcoming presidential election two years from now.
Until now, the midterm elections have received less attention than the presidential election, but this time it will be a very important election in terms of predicting the future of American politics.
Even though he left the White House after the election two years ago, how do American voters judge the phenomenon of a growing number of people who continue to claim that the election was stolen?
We must keep an eye on the ever-deepening divide in America and the future of politics and society.