• Politics The bases of Junts vote to break the Government and take instability to the limit in Catalonia

Salvador Illa will be able to assert now, 20 months after the scrutiny of the ballots, his status as winner of the last elections in Catalonia.

The sum of the pro-independence forces prevented the former Minister of Health from accessing the presidency of the Generalitat and relegated him to the background of the opposition caucus, but the coalition between ERC and Junts per Catalunya (JxCat) broke into pieces. -which the Executive of Pere Aragonès abandoned yesterday after consulting the militancy- now grants the leader of the PSC a leading role in this new political stage.

Although the specific details about the next movement of pieces on the political board will not be known until Monday, when Illa has convened an extraordinary Executive Commission of the party, the President of the Government already advanced this Friday that the intention is to promote "stability" in Catalonia and, incidentally, guaranteeing in return support for their electoral Budgets in Madrid.

"Whatever the situation, we will always have

our hand out

for the sake of that dialogue for the reunion within Catalan society," Pedro Sánchez assured in an appearance from Prague, where he participated in the summit of EU leaders.

This same week, Gabriel Rufián, ERC spokesman in Congress, had warned Sánchez that he would not admit "pressure" when negotiating the Budgets and added that to have his votes he would have to "sweat".

The president, however, seems to have chosen a flatter and friendlier path, but not a more disinterested one, to obtain that support.

His disposition is to prop up the stability of Pere Aragonès after the breakup of Junts from the Govern coalition.

In short, provide the support of the PSC at least in the key issues that allow the continuity of the Executive of the Generalitat at least until the next municipal and regional elections.

In return, Sánchez would be able to place the 13 ERC representatives in the Congress of Deputies in a much weaker position in the budget negotiation, the most important that the president faces in order to exhaust the legislature and reach the general elections in the best possible way. possible situation.

The equation is simple.

If the Socialists support ERC in Catalonia to carry out their regional accounts and continue in the Generalitat, the Republicans must at least facilitate the approval of the

2023 General Budgets

.

The

13 ERC votes

in Congress are key for the public accounts to pass all the procedures and see the light of day before the end of the year.

Added to the 154 of PSOE and United We Can, plus the six practically certain of the PNV, they leave the calculation to only three of the absolute majority.

From that sum, the president will be able to carry out the Budget with a vast majority fattened with the more than sure support of Más País and EH Bildu.

Parallel negotiations on the sidelines, the PSC's short-term strategy would be to offer occasional support to ERC for parliamentary votes.

However, the socialist objective is to reissue a tripartite like the ones that led the socialists

Pasqual Maragall

and

José Montilla

to the head of the Generalitat for seven years, although it would surely be after new regional elections as long as Illa returns to be the most voted candidate .

The idea also convinces the

comuns

, who consider that JxCat's departure from the Government "opens up a new opportunity to start Catalonia with a progressive majority."

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  • Pedro Sanchez

  • PSOE

  • PSC

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  • Together for Catalonia

  • Pere Aragones