In France, Parliament is back.
From Monday, October 3, work resumes in the hemicycles at top speed, between the reform of unemployment insurance, the powder keg of the budget or even abortion in the Constitution.
From Monday, after a debate on Ukraine, MEPs will start with a sensitive bill on unemployment insurance.
This text aims, initially, to extend the rules resulting from a controversial reform of the previous five-year term, which expire on October 31.
"The Assembly is manageable!"
By doing it differently, with more dialogue and consultation, but it works.
đź—ž
I answered questions from @OuestFrance on the occasion of the return to parliament.
My interview to be found here 👇 https://t.co/aemUd0hSKH
– Yaël Braun-Pivet (@YaelBRAUNPIVET) September 25, 2022
Ukraine in the debate
The debates promise to be heated, because it also contains the prelude to a reform already rejected by the unions, the Nupes and the RN, but which the right should not oppose.
The idea is to change the number of months required to access compensation, or the duration thereof, depending on indicators such as the unemployment rate for example.
For its part, the Senate, dominated by the right, starts with a week of debates, including a topical one on Wednesday on Iran.
The first bill - orientation and programming of the Ministry of the Interior - will be examined from 11 October.
It provides for an additional 15 billion euros in the budget over five years, and an increase of 8,500 police and gendarme posts.
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The unemployment insurance bill will arrive in the upper house the last week of October.
The senators will also have their own debate on Ukraine on the 26th, but will scrap first on France's energy policy on October 12.
In the Assembly, the deputies will continue on October 10 with a public finance programming bill, but above all with a hot main course: the State budget.
"To the nearest euro"
A budget "to the nearest euro" according to Bercy, which intends to contain the public deficit at 5% of GDP, despite growth prospects of 1% in 2023, the OECD even counting on 0.6%.
The oppositions all reject the text as it stands: too spendthrift for the right, not protective enough for the left, which demands taxation of the superprofits of big business.
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The government is preparing to have to light the fuse of 49.3, to pass the text without a vote, which will earn it motions of censure promised by the left and the RN.
The same scenario could be repeated on the Social Security draft budget, starting October 20.
The highly flammable track of an amendment to reform pensions this fall has cooled a little, the government announcing a "consultation" for a text before "the end of winter".
But the postponement of the starting age to 65, dear to Emmanuel Macron, remains a casus belli.
LFI deputies are already refusing to participate in the consultations.
The Senate will debate, from November 17, the finance bill, after the examination of the Social Security budget from November 7, on the occasion of which the right-wing majority intends to put the file of pensions on Table.
IVG, training account and consulting firms
For a little harmony in the Assembly, it will be necessary to look at the day dedicated to the MoDem group on October 6th.
The group member of the majority will propose in particular to prohibit the canvassing of training organizations, and to limit "the engrillage of natural spaces", two texts widely adopted in committee.
The Senate, at the origin of an explosive report during the presidential election on government spending on consulting firms, will examine a cross-partisan bill to regulate these services on October 18.
He will work the same day on an LR text against medical deserts, which anticipated the measure proposed by the government in the Social Security budget.
Finally, on the subject of the inclusion of the right to abortion in the Constitution, the Senate will open the ball on October 19 during the "niche" reserved for environmentalists.
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The text is supported by left-wing groups and representatives of the presidential majority, but its adoption is far from certain in a hemicycle dominated by the right.
The subject could also be brought to the Assembly by the LFI group on November 24 and/or by the Renaissance group a few days later.
With AFP
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