With less than two months to go until the midterm elections on November 8, the parties are gearing up the campaign tours around the United States.

President Biden and Trump, who is seen as the informal leader of the Republican Party, are putting their energy where strategists believe it is most needed. 

In Trump's first appearance after the FBI raid of the Mar-a-Lago residence, he steered the private plane toward Wilkes-Barre, Pennsylvania.

The assignment was, among other things, to the controversial TV doctor Dr. Oz, the Republican candidate for the Senate election.

Even more gassed President Biden who in a few days managed three appearances in his old home state.

Worker support

In the last presidential election, Biden won back states like Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania from the Republicans.

The foundation for the election victory was laid in the success in the so-called "rust belt", which got its name after the wave of closures that globalization triggered in heavy American industry in the 70s.

But Donald Trump still has great support among voters who have felt forgotten by the establishment in Washington.

Trump's simple message and promises of "America first" have given him a hold on, for example, the important working-class state of Ohio.

Donald Trump's strategy was and is to become the leader of the broad working class, and now Trump's influence will once again be brought to a head.

Perhaps the outcome of the mid-term elections will also be decisive for whether Donald Trump again runs for the presidency.

The working class signum

The American working class is complex and growing.

The financial crisis of 2008 meant that new groups from the middle class had greatly deteriorated conditions.

Now approximately 35 percent of the country's able-bodied population is described as working class.

About a third of them are "influenceable" and these are the voters the parties are fighting for.

Despite the 2020 election loss, Trump, at the time, attracted more labor votes than any Republican since Ronald Reagan.

Those voters are crucial, and therefore the Republicans want to wash away the perception that the party primarily works for big business and Wall Street.

Voters have also historically had the greatest confidence in the Republicans' way of handling the country's economy - something that conservatives want to exploit in the midst of the current financial storm.

The Democrats' comeback

However, there are signs that the Democrats will make a better congressional election than the polls have long pointed to.

After spending much of the summer trailing leadenly low poll numbers, support for Joe Biden and the party has recovered somewhat.

The reason is above all the Supreme Court's decision to enable the country's states to ban abortions.

There is strong support for a woman's right to control her own body, and voters seem to want to punish the court's conservative members.

In addition, Joe Biden has passed a comprehensive climate reform, which for many became proof that Biden can unite his party after all.

Uncertain exit

Several surveys indicate that the Democrats can retain control of the Senate.

However, most indications are that the Republicans will gain control of the House of Representatives.

The polls are many and uncertain, but the trend suggests that the Democrats may not make as bad a choice as previous polls suggested.

In political contexts, nine weeks is almost an eternity.

Gaining the trust of the working class will be crucial.