Pnrr, budget law, dear energy: the stages and dossiers that await the new government

Times are uncertain.

The birth of the new government could take several weeks, but the complexity and urgency of the challenges that await it are certain.

From the PNRR deadlines to the war in Ukraine, from the energy emergency to the next budget law.

The economic maneuver will be the first test for the next executive, called to avert the risk of the provisional exercise and with it the alarming possibility of losing the next tranche of aid from the NRP (the National Recovery and Resilience Plan).

In recent days, the EU Commission has given the go-ahead for the second tranche of aid (21 billion euros), after verifying the achievement of the goals and objectives set.

A recognition, in fact, to 

55 objectives will be achieved

(a number greater than the two previous installments) by 31 December of this year and a slowdown in the implementation of the programs is expected due to the time required for training and entry into office of the new executive.

Italy, moreover, is once again "under special surveillance" due to its very high public debt.

If the green light to Nadef (the Update to the Def) could arrive next week in a CDM chaired again by Mario Draghi (only the trend framework is expected), the

, with presentation to the Chambers scheduled by 20 October.

In any case, the outgoing premier invited his ministers to prepare an orderly handover, to "provide the new government with an organic picture of the activities underway, of the obligations and of the tight deadlines", to facilitate a "prompt exercise of their functions. ". 

Among the reforms to be completed is the implementation of the law on competition (with the knot of seaside resorts), then the issue of

, which, barring rapid interventions by the new executive, will undermine Quota 102 to return into force from January 2023. . On the international front, the first major commitment of the next premier could be the

, in Bali, but before that there is the line to be taken with the European allies and with NATO for the

, which risks a new escalation.

Meanwhile, for his part, the outgoing executive, after the vote, would be preparing to sign the fifth decree for the dispatch of weapons to Kiev.

The other node (which the EU could begin to solve in the next extraordinary council on 30 September) is a

, with the hypothesis of a common ceiling on the price of gas and the decoupling of the price of electricity.

At the Community level, Italy should continue to combine its own measures, in terms of aid and tax relief: it is likely that they will be at the attention of one of the first meetings of the newborn Council of Ministers, of whatever color it is. 

A Board that will also have to decide whether to proceed with a budgetary variance and to what extent.

The next negotiation on fiscal policy and, therefore, on the stability pact also concerns the Brussels chapter.

Among the economic dossiers that will pass on the tables of the new Prime Minister and the next Minister of the Economy there are also MPS and, above all, Ita Airways.

The appointment of the new CEO of the Milano-Cortina 2026 Foundation will also arrive after the elections (and in all likelihood the new premier will take care of it). the pandemic and the vaccination campaign.

The first meeting of the Chambers and the formation of the new executive

The first convocation of the Chambers is set for October 13, Article 61 of the Constitution provides, in fact, that the two houses of Parliament are called "no later than the twentieth day" from the vote.

Everything else can vary, depending on the

and the time it will take the various political forces to find an agreement.

And although the average time for the formation of a government, according to some institutional observers, was about a month, there have been examples of much longer periods.

In the last legislature, for example, in the face of elections held on 4 March 2018, the yellow-green government (M5s-Lega) took office only on 1 June.

Unlike in 2001, when a united center-right clearly established itself on 13 May, already on 11 June, so after less than a month, the Berlusconi government swore an oath at the Quirinale. 

because

the senators and elected deputies, after having given life to the parliamentary groups, will have to choose the presidents of the Chamber and Senate as the first act: a vote that in fact indicates a majority and preludes to an agreement in principle on the Government.

Once the leaders of the Parliament have been elected, the

will begin, who will call the group leaders, the leaders of the coalitions, the former presidents of the Chambers and the presidents emeritus of the Republic to the Quirinale to understand the orientations before entrusting the task to form the new executive.   

If the post is full, as in 2001, the chosen one will present himself after a few days with a list of ministers.

If he is "conditional", however, as happened with Carlo Cottarelli in 2018, the president in charge will, in turn, carry out consultations that will lead him to dissolve the reservation and to present the list of ministers to the Hill or to resign.

The Head of State could also oppose the appointment of a minister: it happened in 1994 with Oscar Luigi Scalfaro who said no to Cesare Previti to Justice or in 2014 when Giorgio Napolitano did not want Nicola Gratteri, proposed by Matteo Renzi, in via Arenula.

But also Mattarella in 2018 opposed the indication of Lega and M5S for Paolo Savona to the Economy. 

In the event that a clear picture does not emerge from the consultations, the Head of State will be able to entrust an

to a third person to see if a new majority can be created.

A precedent, in this sense, always occurred in 2018 when Mattarella entrusted this type of assignment, first to the President of the Senate, Elisabetta Casellati, and then to that of the Chamber, Roberto Fico.

Once the person in charge has agreed on the list of ministers with the Colle, the Government will be able to swear an oath at the Quirinale and at that point it will consider itself formally installed.

Within 10 days, then, he will have to

.

And only after that, the Executive will be in full force, called upon to quickly deal with the emergencies affecting the country.