Ambassador Bradanini on protests for Masha Amini: "They will not overthrow the power"

The hashtag 

 continues to be one of the most viewed on social networks such as Twitter and Instagram.

The protest over the young woman's death continues in Tehran.

Women go down the street, but that's not all.

What will this revolt bring, beyond the repression, which thanks to the videos it shoots on social media?

'' He will not overthrow the Iranian

But women's protest could lead to "openness, greater tolerance".

Because within the

the Iranian Parliament, "right now" the hypothesis of "reducing the presence of the moral police on the streets and squares of Iran" is making its way.

And in this way '' reducing the distance between the population and its leadership ''.

Thus the former Italian ambassador to Tehran,

, analyzes with Adnkronos what is happening in Iran.

Where in the face of the thousands of women protesting, President Ebrahim Raisi organized a counter-demonstration in support of the veil.

'' Pure

of power that cannot show signs of weakness '', defines Bradanini, above all '' in the face of events that can be destabilizing ''.

Especially in a country, like Iran, which '' is not pacified '' and therefore can be '' exposed to rash reactions ''.

But '' the police apparatus is very effective, capable of containing protests '' and '' the regime is able to guarantee its protection with firm control of society, the media and communication ''.

And also because it is '' united internally by external pressure ''.

So the diplomat says '' 

But '' there is a political profile in these demonstrations '', as there was in the past for ''

by economic reasons, such as those for the increase in the price of bread, or those for more structural reasons, as against youth unemployment ''.

The profile is that of an '' Iranian population that, in most cases, hopes for a possibly peaceful transition towards a more liberal and pluralist system that will allow Iran to move from a situation of containment of the West to a more relaxed one. towards the international community also with respect to fundamental freedoms and human rights ''. 

Rights which, in Mahsa's case, concern both those of women and those of

.

'' Iran, in its small way, is an imperial reality and not a nation state - explains Bradanini - Just over 50 percent of the Iranian population is of

.

The rest are 20 percent Azeris of Turkmen ethnicity and then there are the Kurds who are notoriously discriminated against not only in Iran, but also in Turkey ''.

They are '' a little less so in Iraq, where they have obtained a state reality with a military path, they are protected by the

.

The fact remains that the Kurds are "a people that does not find a homeland" and that therefore they represent "an intrinsically destabilizing structural reality" that the Iranian regime intends to repress.

How much the fact that Mahsa was of Kurdish ethnicity ''

in this specific episode we do not know and the Iranian government has no interest in raising an ethnic reaction ''. 

telegram

Protests for Masha

For the diplomat, however, it is '' very likely that the

which oversees compliance with the rules of coverage of the head for women has interpreted this repression in an excessive way, has exceeded the limits also because it was faced with a Kurdish woman and not a Persian ''.

However, citing "Iranian sources heard in the last few hours", Bradanini says he wants to be "positive" and cites "encouraging signs in the government, which would have initiated a reflection that could lead to greater tolerance and a slow opening" '.

The diplomat referred in particular to '' a debate in parliament during which some deputies proposed reducing the presence in the squares and streets of the moral police.

The rule would remain in force, but the physical presence of the police would be reduced '

'.

It is therefore a "sign that the country seems to be becoming aware, not only among the population, but also at the top, that something must be done" to reduce "the distance between people and leaders".

Because '' the importance of this veil rule is symbolic '' and the Iranian regime has stuck to it as a matter of substance.

He is afraid that once the veil has been dropped, society will get out of hand.

But it's one kind of fear

it stuck as a matter of substance.

He is afraid that once the veil has been dropped, society will get out of hand.

But it's one kind of fear

it stuck as a matter of substance.

He is afraid that once the veil has been dropped, society will get out of hand.

But it's one kind of fear

a social neurosis widespread at the top of the country, '' said the diplomat.

Meanwhile, sources close to the protest from Tehran say that "the population, this time, will not leave the streets unless there is a reasonable change in politics".

Protests for

are also spreading in the city of

, the capital of Iraqi Kurdistan, women took to the streets today to denounce "the Iranian regime" and "the repression".

About three hundred protesters chanted in Kurdish '' Down with the dictatorship '' and '' Woman, life and freedom '' gathering in front of the United Nations offices in Erbil.

Some of them set fire to the Islamic veil.

'' Support the Iranian people '', '' People are being killed for freedom in Iran '', read some placards.

`` Jhina, an example of life, the spark of revolt '', was written on another using the Kurdish name of Mahsa.

And "the

" attacked the positions of Kurdish terrorist groups such as Komalaha Barbzin in Iraqi Kurdistan, close to Iran.

The Mehr agency announced today, specifying that armed terrorists and a large number of weapons have entered Iran's border cities to create chaos in the country.