In his opinion, initially the "rosy picture" of the unity of the West seemed true, but everything can change "when European support collapses."
“Over the past two months, not a single EU member has promised Ukraine new material support.
EU High Representative for Foreign Policy Josep Borrell admitted this week that maintaining the bloc's integrity is a "daily struggle."
His struggle will become more difficult, ”the columnist writes.
In addition, French President Emmanuel Macron no longer has a majority in his parliament, which will prevent him from supporting Ukraine in the long term, Kemp said.
He also expects Italian elections next month to likely lead to a coalition that will include parties strongly opposed to support for Ukraine.
“The main factor, of course, is the recession in Europe, fueled by Moscow’s energy blackmail,” the article says.
The journalist expressed confidence that Moscow would “tighten the screws” when it starts to get colder in Europe.
At the same time, a similar situation is developing "on the other side of the Atlantic", where US President Joe Biden consistently blames the special operation for the economic troubles of the United States.
According to the British journalist, if the West fails to provide unified support for Ukraine, "Vladimir Putin's main calculation will turn out to be correct - his will to win is stronger than the West's will to resist."
Earlier, Kemp expressed the opinion that the supply of weapons to Ukraine could be stopped in three months due to the onset of cold weather and internal problems of Western countries.