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News summary on the way home from work, Subsletter Evening.
As soon as the Yun Seok-yeol government came up with the 'bold idea', North Korea's Kim Yeo-jeong, vice president of the Central Committee of the Workers' Party of Korea, released a discourse titled 'Don't dream false dreams'.
I didn't just reject it, but the expression of the discourse was so harsh that it was difficult to put it in my mouth.
It also undermined our military's intelligence capabilities against North Korea.
Let's move a part of the discourse.
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▲ Dogs often bark at their thumbs or pups, so the name of the president is no different.
▲ What kind of “…
As the person who claimed to be the “driver” and gave people doubts had disappeared, another person living in his own way, who never matched him, appeared and sat on the throne.
▲ Wasn't Yoon the only person who would be elected president?
▲ “Bold Concept” is as far from realization as it is to make a mulberry field by drying the dark blue ocean at the height of folly.
▲ It must have been written by someone else by mistake, but I have a pity that I read it without knowing what it is.
▲ The idea of exchanging the nuclear power of our nation with something like “economic cooperation.”
▲ It is my earnest wish to live without being conscious of each other.
▲ We don't like Yoon Seok-yeol as a human being.
▲ Make it clear that he will never deal with you.
Several experts are analyzing the meaning of Kim Yeo-jeong's discourse.
"North Korea is likely to pull out a card for its 7th nuclear test"
He has experience in contact with North Korean leaders and has served as the head of intelligence, so he is a politician but also an expert on North Korea.
It is said that Park Ji-won, former director of the National Intelligence Service, read the 'Possibility of a Nuclear Test' after seeing Kim Yo-jung's discourse.
In the YTN radio 'Park Ji-hoon's News King', Park said, "Isn't the most important thing today (19th) Kim Yeo-jeong, Vice President Rodong Sinmun's discourse? Seeing the reaction, I wonder if something else is being prepared. I guess that a nuclear test is approaching."
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It seems very unusual for Vice President Kim Yeo-jeong to announce a discourse in the Rodong Sinmun.
And if you see the immediate reaction, maybe you are preparing something else.
So, I'm cautiously guessing whether a nuclear test is coming or not.
(..) If we go down the path of denuclearization, we will provide economic support, etc., even if we reveal our will for denuclearization.
President Yoon Seok-yeol also criticized that he could have a very personal sense of humiliation, using such a term.
South Korea and the US intelligence authorities are analyzing North Korea's 7th nuclear test as 'preparations are complete and only Kim Jong-un's decision is left'. that brought out
Kim Yeol-soo, head of the Korea Institute for Military Studies, also appeared on YTN and mentioned the possibility of a nuclear test, but it is expected that it will be difficult before the Chinese party congress in October.
To say that I made a statement through the Rodong Sinmun is to warn the North Koreans of this in advance, because we act under this premise no matter what we do.
Because it has such a meaning, I think there is a possibility (nuclear test).
On the other hand, if you think about it, there is the 20th Party Congress in China right now in October.
Xi Jinping's coronation ceremony is being held, and I have endured it until now, but I think that it is difficult in many ways to do it now.
(Kim Yeol-soo, head of the Korea Institute for Military Studies, interview with YTN 'The News')
If North Korea conducts its 7th nuclear test, the international community will impose additional sanctions, and China will be in a burdensome situation.
In addition, China is facing an important party congress that will determine President Xi Jinping's third consecutive term, and it will be difficult for North Korea to conduct a nuclear test while ignoring China's political schedule.
"Necessary to review North Korea policy revision"
Let's take a look at the part mentioned in Kim Yeo-jung's discourse about 'the impossibility of giving up nuclear weapons'.
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In the world, there are other things to bargain for, and the idea of exchanging the nuclear power of our nation with something like “economic cooperation” is Yoon Seok-yeol's lush dream, hope, and idea. felt that
(..) Who would want to exchange their fate for something like corn cake?
Nuclear is expressed as the 'national body', that is, the essence of the national system.
Also, there are many expressions that firmly establish that nuclear weapons cannot be negotiated, that is, that there is no intention to give up nuclear weapons at all.
Jeong Seong-jang, director of the Center for North Korean Studies at the Sejong Institute, said in a column, "The South Korean government's existing policy aimed at denuclearization of North Korea requires fundamental revision and transformation because North Korea has clearly reaffirmed its position that it will never give up its nuclear weapons through this Kim Yeo-jung statement. It seems inevitable.”
Center Director Jeong said, "North Korea's response to President Yoon's 'bold initiative' proposal will never give up nuclear weapons, which is a key means of survival of the regime, and the Yoon administration's idea of exchanging nuclear weapons with 'economic cooperation' is somewhat inconsistent. It can be unrealistic,” he added.
Kim Yeo-jung also said, "The person who once claimed to be a "driver" and gave people wonders has disappeared. They criticized the 'driver theory on the Korean Peninsula' and the 'bold initiative' of the Yun Seok-yeol government.
It seems that there is distrust of the Korean government, regardless of whether it is liberal or conservative.
Park Won-gon, a professor of North Korea studies at Ewha Womans University, told Yonhap News reporter, "Currently, North Korea is in an offensive phase. With North Korea declaring its confrontational policy toward South Korea, it will continue to launch missiles for the time being and move toward the absolute goal of nuclear weapons.・The issue of relations with the US will come after that.”
Ahn Jung-sik, a reporter for North Korea at SBS, suggested, "Now is the time to think about micro-pragmatism rather than big discourses like 'bold up' or 'dismantling the structure of the Cold War on the Korean Peninsula'."
“As the UN sanctions continue, the only things possible between the South and the North are humanitarian aid, social and cultural exchanges, and cooperation in agriculture, health and forestry. You have to talk clearly about it, and have a cool attitude like it's good if North Korea responds, or it can't.'
"It could be a lie to say that our military information is wrong"
North Korea fired two cruise missiles on the same day (17th), the 100th day of President Yun's inauguration, and the South Korean military announced that the launch site was a hot spring in South Pyongan Province.
But Kim Yeo-jung sarcastically said that our military information was wrong, but she should see that passage first.
It is truly unfortunate, but it is revealed that the location of our weapons test firing the day before was not the hot spring area that the South Korean authorities were clumsy and quick-spoken about, but the “Geumseong Bridge” in Anju, South Pyongan Province.
I am really curious as to why people who habitually memorize the words of tracking and monitoring and a firm readiness posture under close cooperation between the U.S. and the Republic of Korea cannot properly disclose the launch time and point, and why they do not disclose the specifications of the weapon system.
The South would be very embarrassed and frightened if the specifications and flight path were known, but now how they will make excuses in front of their people will be something to look forward to.
Anju is located in the north of Pyongyang, and the hot springs are in the southwest.
Since the distance in a straight line is over 90 km, the two points are quite far apart.
It is not uncommon for North Korea to revise the South Korean military's statements, but Kim Yeo-jung's statement may be correct or it may be a deceptive tactic.
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Experts who see it as a deceptive tactic say they intentionally refer to a different launch point and attempt to evaluate the intelligence of South Korean and American intelligence assets.
The military said, "There is no change in the evaluation of the South Korean and US intelligence authorities," but it maintains the position that it was launched from a hot spring.
I didn't reveal any further information analysis, because it could get involved in North Korea's tactics.
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The international pole vault competition was held at Gwangalli Beach in Busan, and it was a scene where a player in the U-20 category jumped over the bar.
(Photo = Yonhap News)