KHARTOUM - Ending a long silence, and a lot of speculation, Mohamed Hamdan Dagalo

(Hemedti), Vice-President of the Sudanese Sovereignty Council came out, declaring for the first time his support for the decisions of the Army Commander, General Abdel Fattah Al-Burhan, which he announced on the fourth of July this year to withdraw the military component from the political negotiations, To allow the civil forces to agree on the formation of the government and the completion of the transitional structures.

And the decisions of Al-Burhan, which he suddenly disclosed while Hemedti was in Darfur, at that time raised many interpretations that Hemedti - the second man in the Sovereignty Council and head of the negotiating delegation with the civilian component - was not satisfied with stopping the negotiations that had begun under Saudi-American auspices.

This speculation was reinforced by Hemedti's stay in Darfur for weeks, in conjunction with the circulating reports of muffled disputes with Al-Burhan, which amounted to the military mobilization of each party.


Refutation of interpretations

And in the statement he issued on Friday, Hemedti sent signals that he and the proof of the heart of one man, and that the decision to withdraw from the political negotiations was taken in consultation, saying, “These decisions we worked to formulate together, and through continuous consultation, and in the spirit of one team, and with a sincere intention to provide solutions to the national crisis, whatever it costs us.” of concessions.

He added, "We will not cling to an authority that leads to the spilling of the blood of our people and the erosion of the stability of our country. Therefore, we decided together to allow the revolutionary forces and the national political forces to negotiate and agree without our interference in the military establishment, and we decided honestly to leave the matter of governance to civilians, and for the regular forces to devote themselves to performing their tasks." The supreme patriotism enshrined in the Constitution and the law.”

In line with Al-Burhan’s speech, Hemedti went on to stress that power will not be transferred to civilians until after a broad consensus among all components.

From the point of view of observers, both Al-Burhan and Hemedti are convinced that the stormy differences between the political components make it difficult to agree on minimum constants, as well as consensus on a civilian government with integrated structures, which means that the military will remain in power for a long time.

And journalistic writer Muhammad Hamid Juma believes that Hemedti's statement included assurances of support for and protection of the transitional phase, and that it "renewed loyalty to the proof." He told Al Jazeera Net that the speech of the second man in the Sovereign Council indicated that "perhaps others expect that they may seize power."

"The wholesale statement is intended for references related to the army and flirting with civilian parties, and some of the signatories of the peace agreement," Gomaa continues.

Hemedti stressed that the military component would not cling to power (Reuters)

prospective alliance

It is noteworthy that Hemedti’s statement was quickly welcomed by a number of the leaders of the Darfur armed movements, in addition to the Revolutionary Front, an organization that includes the signatories of the peace agreement. As for the front, it strongly objected to the decision to withdraw the soldiers from the negotiation, declaring that it “will not participate in any dialogue in which the component is absent. military, because this deepens the political crisis in Sudan.”

Juma explains the transformation of the Revolutionary Front's position as an indication of an upcoming alliance between Hemedti and a number of its factions.

However, the leader of the Freedom and Change Coalition, Ahmed Hazrat, looks at Hemedti's speech from another direction, which is that the man affirmed that he "is a complete partner in the coup, and that he is the cause of the great crisis that has threatened the country and its unity and the dangers of its division and the ignition of tribal conflicts among its people."

He added in his speech to Al-Jazeera Net, "The speech did not recognize the state of the state, and that its fate is in the hands of individuals, not real agencies, government and institutions," and Hemeti - according to His Holiness - did not declare the coup decisions to be nullified, shake his hand from them and retract the continuous mistakes.

The leader believes that the continuous declaration of asceticism in power and the desire to hand it over to civilians are nothing but “words of truth that are intended to be false,” and that Hemedti could have announced his resignation and not bearing responsibility for everything that happens to prove his seriousness to move away from power.

The writer and political researcher, Muhammad Al-Mabrouk, believes that Hemedti's statements "confirm that he and the proof despair of betting on the fragmented civilian component, and subsequently a political project cooking on a quiet fire centered on the army."

He added to Al-Jazeera Net that international capitals, including Washington, and regional capitals, including Cairo, are not far from contributing to the weaving of this long-term project that has prioritized stability and preserving the state from collapse.

Al-Mabrouk stresses the need for the civilian component - including the forces of freedom and change - not to become a completely lost bet in the eyes of other actors in the Sudanese political scene, calling on this component to recalculate and accept a short consensual dialogue that leads to the formation of a government of national competencies with a limited program and a specific task, which is to prepare for the elections. public and end this labyrinth called the transitional stage.

The statement of the Rapid Support Commander came in support of President Al-Burhan’s speech and confirmed the harmony and seriousness of the military institution in completing the democratic transition. The national consensus is holding consultations with the political forces to agree on a constitutional reference, structures and tasks of the government and elections, and calls for a transition conference to nominate the Prime Minister of #Sudan

— Mohamed Zakaria Dr.

Muhammad Zakaria Farag Allah (@mzakeria) July 23, 2022

loyalists' movements

So far, there are no indications of the start of a dialogue between the civilian components, except for what the tripartite mechanism (the United Nations, the African Union, and the Intergovernmental Authority on Development in Africa / IGAD) announced this month of its intention to resume consultations between the Sudanese parties without specifying a definitive date for the step.

In parallel, the Freedom and Change Coalition, represented by the National Accord Group, announced the formation of a political communication committee headed by the governor of Darfur, Minni Arko Minawi, at the end of last week.

To make contacts with all the political spectrum to achieve consensus, and to begin its tasks during this week.

The coalition also decided to form a committee that works to develop an integrated political vision that includes the issues of government formation, its tasks, the selection of the prime minister, and the program of the transitional government, leading to elections at the end of the transitional period. Prime Minister and members of the government.

And because the advocates of these movements are accused of being loyal to the military component, many parties from the civilian fronts will apologize for meeting with the Minawi Political Committee, which would complicate the political situation if these moves go towards agreement on a government and a prime minister without paying attention to the opponents.